osfan24 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 I am greedy. Let's start bumping those totals up a little. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: Splitting hairs here but it’s not a week out. Euro gets precip in Saturday evening. Yes, keep expectations in check and go with the ensembles at this range. Right I was gonna say the same thing. We are in the 5 day range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: Splitting hairs here but it’s not a week out. Euro gets precip in Saturday evening. Yes, keep expectations in check and go with the ensembles at this range. Were almost down to 5 days nows. Would be nice to get s region wide event. It's been a while lol. And the ski resorts need it so badly. Just looked around and no local resorts are open. You'd have to drive 2 - 3 hours west to find one. Looks like whitetail and Round top opened briefly before shutting down operations. How's wisp? I know there open but is it pretty limited at this point? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Chris78 said: Were almost down to 5 days nows. Would be nice to get s region wide event. It's been a while lol. And the ski resorts need it so badly. Just looked around and no local resorts are open. You'd have to drive 2 - 3 hours west to find one. Looks like whitetail and Round top opened briefly before shutting down operations. How's wisp? I know they’re open but is it pretty limited at this point? Snow shoe is doing ok, but I think they are the exception this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 will be an interesting 12z suite......icon currently out to 48hrs ......any thoughts that this nudges even more S/E ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 13 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Is suppression the bigger risk now? Or is it possible the models flip flop again and retreat the cold air more like 48 hours ago? Imo- equal chance. Storm is going to want to punch into any strength of confluence. Strength of shortwave will determine how much force and strength of confluence will determine how much resistance. Small changes in both = sizeable changes in our yards. These types of details will likely wobble back and forth for another couple days b4 we can set narrow enough goal posts to make accurate, bold, and unrealistic snowfall calls. 8 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 4 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Were almost down to 5 days nows. Would be nice to get s region wide event. It's been a while lol. And the ski resorts need it so badly. Just looked around and no local resorts are open. You'd have to drive 2 - 3 hours west to find one. Looks like whitetail and Round top opened briefly before shutting down operations. How's wisp? I know there open but is it pretty limited at this point? Just got back on Saturday from a few days at Wisp. I’d say about half the runs were open with the base eroding quickly after that big rainer last week. Good to see they’re snowing lightly now and should continue to do so over the next day or so…and I imagine they’ll be in pretty good shape come the end of next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, mattie g said: Just got back on Saturday from a few days at Wisp. I’d say about half the runs were open with the base eroding quickly after that big rainer last week. Good to see they’re snowing lightly now and should continue to do so over the next day or so…and I imagine they’ll be in pretty good shape come the end of next week. Yeah, agree with this. We’re heading out to ski later this afternoon so will let you know @Chris78. They’ll probably finish with 6”+ over these last two days, another few inches later this week with more upslope, and this weekend’s potential threat. They could be in for the best conditions they’ve had in well over a year if this weekend pans out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 I’m undecided on whether to head to Timberline next weekend. I think this will be a great storm there, but if we get a big one in the cities then I want to be home for that and might opt for Whitetail or Liberty in the evenings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Fozz said: I’m undecided on whether to head to Timberline. I think this will be a great storm there, but if we get a big one in the cities then I want to be home for that and might opt for Whitetail or Liberty in the evenings. This is probably an NW suburbs event. Closer to I-95 is really walking the fence with this one. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gunny23 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 5 minutes ago, mattie g said: Just got back on Saturday from a few days at Wisp. I’d say about half the runs were open with the base eroding quickly after that big rainer last week. Good to see they’re snowing lightly now and should continue to do so over the next day or so…and I imagine they’ll be in pretty good shape come the end of next week. Timberline is completely open except one double black. Base was getting a little sketchy after the rain last week but they got some new snow and started blowing again. It was packed on Saturday but they kept the lines moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, Fozz said: I’m undecided on whether to head to Timberline next weekend. I think this will be a great storm there, but if we get a big one in the cities then I want to be home for that and might opt for Whitetail or Liberty in the evenings. I'm hoping Liberty and Whitetail can get open soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Snowshoe is 20 degrees and dumping right now. They have had a really good early season this year. Fully snow covered. https://www.snowshoemtn.com/media-room/skidder-slope-live-cam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 23 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Imo- equal chance. Storm is going to want to punch into any strength of confluence. Strength of shortwave will determine how much force and strength of confluence will determine how much resistance. Small changes in both = sizeable changes in our yards. These types of details will likely wobble back and forth for another couple days b4 we can set narrow enough goal posts to make accurate, bold, and unrealistic snowfall calls. Was just going to reply to him pretty much same thing. We are getting near the windshield wiper part where we wobble back and forth but slowly start tightening the goalposts . Feeling pretty good about this one tbh....period has been on my radar for a while and I know @CAPE's as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Happy Icon run for those who celebrate it is an absolute crush job for nw burbs into I-95 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 ICON is a pummelling all the way into the city this run. Absolute mauling 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 What a CCB that would be if the 12z icon ever scored a win my dear god. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 First media post I’ve seen regarding this weekend on Google news feed…Richmond station…it says Richmond’s most accurate forecast…so it has my attention now…you can’t say that if it’s not true 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Icon destroys us. Couldn’t ask for a better start to the first 12z runs of 2024. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 What a nuking on the icon. Lol. MA special track to a tee 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Who is doing PBP for this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Icon is about as tucked as we can afford. Nothing further NW or it's going to be weenie suicide. 3 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 If 12z is all like Icon, I’m pushing chips to the middle. Idc, it’s been too long 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: Better map Wow. If that happened id shit my drawers!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 That's impressive for the Icon. Icon always stingy with snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Icon cleaned up some of the disjointed upper level energy with the track across the deep south. Kept dirty air away and also kept the primary track away from the danger zone. What a beaut Clark! 12 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, Heisy said: Icon destroys us. Couldn’t ask for a better start to the first 12z runs of 2024 . Need that a lil farther east 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Icon is about as tucked as we can afford. Nothing further NW or it's going to be weenie suicide. Lol. Glass half empty? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: Wow. If that happened id shit my drawers!!! Better than shitting the blinds, that's for sure!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Icon is about as tucked as we can afford. Nothing further NW or it's going to be weenie suicide. It was an improved run and you could see it by d4. I don't pay much mind to the ICON but the run was sweet. All we should care about is keeping the primary as far south of OH as possible for now. ICON had that door closed early 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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