Weather Will Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 WB 0Z GEFS 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:11 AM, Heisy said: Hard to know for sure if that’s coming up the coast. At 144 on the map MJO posted it had some decent confluence out ahead. Still, more support for the 7th so we take . Expand Nice to see some aggreement in models 7 days out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:11 AM, Heisy said: Hard to know for sure if that’s coming up the coast. At 144 on the map MJO posted it had some decent confluence out ahead. Still, more support for the 7th so we take . Expand Considering you’ve already given up on winter, I’ll gladly take the GFS, CMC, and UKMET runs so far tonight. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 4:55 AM, Scraff said: OMG! First the Cowboys win. And now I’m looking at the HoCo / MoCo deathband making its triumphant comeback. Best night ever! Expand *Decker did indeed report as eligible and Canadian reports as SECS. Haha. But congrats anyway. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1011 mb --> 1002mb, pretty sig shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Cmc ensembles are jacked, better for N&W. Probably a lot of tucked solutionsI’m sure Psu will find a way to jackpot. Long way to go but at least we’re def tracking something this week . 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:13 AM, Weather Will said: WB 0Z GEFS Expand Signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:13 AM, Weather Will said: WB 0Z GEFS Expand Now that's what we want to see just over a week away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:16 AM, wasnow215 said: *Decker did indeed report as eligible and Canadian reports as SECS. Haha. But congrats anyway. Expand He still wasn’t eligible because of the formation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Who’s staying up for the Euro? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:24 AM, psuhoffman said: He still wasn’t eligible because of the formation. Expand Possibly but that wasn’t the explanation to Lions coach. The explanation was only 70 reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Way out there- but after a brief warmup, check out the cold air in the conus. Hopefully the GFS has a clue here 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:26 AM, nj2va said: Who’s staying up for the Euro? Expand For me staying up for the Euro isn't really staying up since most nights I'm up that late anyway, lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:26 AM, SnowDreamer said: The top row is all fails. Any insight?Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:38 AM, Ji said: The top row is all fails. Any insight? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Expand P11 gives you 4-5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 GEPS continues its trend from the last 2 runs. Getting really close to that IT look now 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:26 AM, nj2va said: Who’s staying up for the Euro? Expand Count me in. I am now severely addicted to models. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/28/2023 at 4:36 AM, WEATHER53 said: This is the look for DC snowstorms. Low might be south but not in OV. Expand And that look has gotten better and approaching special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:38 AM, Ji said: The top row is all fails. Any insight? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Expand There are several ways to fail LOL. 2 are too warm, 3 miss south, and P11 is pretty good but lacks the QPF of the bigger hits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:29 AM, Prestige Worldwide said: Way out there- but after a brief warmup, check out the cold air in the conus. Hopefully the GFS has a clue here Expand Cold air misses Texas thank goodness but it targets the mid atl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:44 AM, psuhoffman said: GEPS continues its trend from the last 2 runs. Getting really close to that IT look now Expand You don't mind that N. Pacific high? It's been overpowering the NAO since 2018-19. I know it is not as strong on model but it still has been holding more weight. look at the N. American pattern starting to flatten out a bit too with more of a SW trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 5:44 AM, psuhoffman said: GEPS continues its trend from the last 2 runs. Getting really close to that IT look now Expand On 12/31/2023 at 5:58 AM, Stormchaserchuck1 said: You don't mind that N. Pacific high? It's been overpowering the NAO since 2018-19. I know it is not as strong on model but it still has been holding more weight. look at the N. American pattern starting to flatten out a bit too with more of a SW trough. Expand The N Pac high does bother me. My concern was well documented. Look at the trend the last 3 runs there. It’s developing a trough west of AK which will shift the pac ridge into the epo domain. The trend on the geps is better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 6:04 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Meanwhile the gefs doesn't seem to know what the frickle it's doing and goes back to that NAO link-up again. Expand It’s only out to day 13 for me but from what I can see it doesn’t bother me as much as yesterday’s runs. The block is more west based and there is a trough closer to where we need it in the pac. Adjust the north pac a bit and that goes from meh to great easily. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Hmmm... 00z Euro has a 1006mb SLP in extreme SW VA at 168... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 168 raining in most of VA. Mix along i81 corridor. Snow in W MD (pretty much west of HGR) and S PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/31/2023 at 6:38 AM, yoda said: Hmmm... 00z Euro has a 1006mb SLP in extreme SW VA at 168... Expand Not a great look. Some positive changes though. High up north is not great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Euro doesn’t have the same phase between the northern stream and the wave on 4th which lead to a much stronger 50/50 on the GFS etc. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 At this range, it’s good to see that each of the 3 major global models at 0z now have us in the game with 1 week to go. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Thankful for the precip showing now. Just need to fix a few things so bigger things can happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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