psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 20 minutes ago, nj2va said: Exactly what many here have predicted. Seems like things are still on track despite yesterday’s panic. Last 7 years have scarred me. I won’t feel totally safe until we have 10” otg and the Nino be like…. 2 1 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 WPC seems to agree with latest modeling on their day 7 prog.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 WB 0Z GEFS 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, Heisy said: Hard to know for sure if that’s coming up the coast. At 144 on the map MJO posted it had some decent confluence out ahead. Still, more support for the 7th so we take . Nice to see some aggreement in models 7 days out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 3 minutes ago, Heisy said: Hard to know for sure if that’s coming up the coast. At 144 on the map MJO posted it had some decent confluence out ahead. Still, more support for the 7th so we take . Considering you’ve already given up on winter, I’ll gladly take the GFS, CMC, and UKMET runs so far tonight. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 20 minutes ago, Scraff said: OMG! First the Cowboys win. And now I’m looking at the HoCo / MoCo deathband making its triumphant comeback. Best night ever! *Decker did indeed report as eligible and Canadian reports as SECS. Haha. But congrats anyway. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1011 mb --> 1002mb, pretty sig shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Cmc ensembles are jacked, better for N&W. Probably a lot of tucked solutionsI’m sure Psu will find a way to jackpot. Long way to go but at least we’re def tracking something this week . 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 7 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z GEFS Signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 8 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z GEFS Now that's what we want to see just over a week away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: *Decker did indeed report as eligible and Canadian reports as SECS. Haha. But congrats anyway. He still wasn’t eligible because of the formation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Who’s staying up for the Euro? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: He still wasn’t eligible because of the formation. Possibly but that wasn’t the explanation to Lions coach. The explanation was only 70 reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Way out there- but after a brief warmup, check out the cold air in the conus. Hopefully the GFS has a clue here 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: Who’s staying up for the Euro? For me staying up for the Euro isn't really staying up since most nights I'm up that late anyway, lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 The top row is all fails. Any insight?Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ji said: The top row is all fails. Any insight? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk P11 gives you 4-5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 GEPS continues its trend from the last 2 runs. Getting really close to that IT look now 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 17 minutes ago, nj2va said: Who’s staying up for the Euro? Count me in. I am now severely addicted to models. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 12/27/2023 at 11:36 PM, WEATHER53 said: This is the look for DC snowstorms. Low might be south but not in OV. And that look has gotten better and approaching special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, Ji said: The top row is all fails. Any insight? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk There are several ways to fail LOL. 2 are too warm, 3 miss south, and P11 is pretty good but lacks the QPF of the bigger hits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 16 minutes ago, Prestige Worldwide said: Way out there- but after a brief warmup, check out the cold air in the conus. Hopefully the GFS has a clue here Cold air misses Texas thank goodness but it targets the mid atl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 19 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: GEPS continues its trend from the last 2 runs. Getting really close to that IT look now You don't mind that N. Pacific high? It's been overpowering the NAO since 2018-19. I know it is not as strong on model but it still has been holding more weight. look at the N. American pattern starting to flatten out a bit too with more of a SW trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 16 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: GEPS continues its trend from the last 2 runs. Getting really close to that IT look now 1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: You don't mind that N. Pacific high? It's been overpowering the NAO since 2018-19. I know it is not as strong on model but it still has been holding more weight. look at the N. American pattern starting to flatten out a bit too with more of a SW trough. The N Pac high does bother me. My concern was well documented. Look at the trend the last 3 runs there. It’s developing a trough west of AK which will shift the pac ridge into the epo domain. The trend on the geps is better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Meanwhile the gefs doesn't seem to know what the frickle it's doing and goes back to that NAO link-up again. It’s only out to day 13 for me but from what I can see it doesn’t bother me as much as yesterday’s runs. The block is more west based and there is a trough closer to where we need it in the pac. Adjust the north pac a bit and that goes from meh to great easily. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Hmmm... 00z Euro has a 1006mb SLP in extreme SW VA at 168... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 168 raining in most of VA. Mix along i81 corridor. Snow in W MD (pretty much west of HGR) and S PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Hmmm... 00z Euro has a 1006mb SLP in extreme SW VA at 168... Not a great look. Some positive changes though. High up north is not great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Euro doesn’t have the same phase between the northern stream and the wave on 4th which lead to a much stronger 50/50 on the GFS etc. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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