cut Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 hours ago, greenmtnwx said: I can tell you that there’s definitely not gonna be any good tree skiing unless that 10th storm follows up on this storm this weekend. This weekend storm should be pretty good for most of the New England ski resorts but it’s probably a 6 to 10 inch deal and not going to make much of a dent in the trees. That 10th system looks pretty beefy though and if we were to be mostly snow at the resorts on top of this weekend storm the trees could get good pretty quickly. But based on your decision parameters I think it’s going to be too little too late and you’ve got to go with Le Rangèr. Besides, the boys are playing well this season. Plus the first round pick is playing tonight - Othmann. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 qp mega says that once the block retrogrades it connects with the SE ridge and we cut anyways. It always cuts in qd jamega's forecasts. Hopefully he wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Snow squall in progress Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Nice to see the 13th-14th back on the GFS op. Would like to see some ensemble support for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Snow squall in progress +++SN 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Snow squall in progress home or CON? nada down here at MHT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Ya , wind now picking up, clouds, 38F zero snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: home or CON? nada down here at MHT Home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drstuess Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Mid next week would be another big wave maker for the southcoast. S fetch down to the bahamas. Beaches are taking a beating.Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 If the interior coastal plane can pull a foot of 10:1 snows out of the sunday system the 3" of rain midweek, that the GFS has, might create some hydro issues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 40 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: qp mega says that once the block retrogrades it connects with the SE ridge and we cut anyways. It always cuts in qd jamega's forecasts. Hopefully he wrong. Models did have that PV over SW ONT being retro'd way west, going to be tough of not impossible getting lp's underneath NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 31 minutes ago, 512high said: Ya , wind now picking up, clouds, 38F zero snow here nothing here either. Sun is out now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Euro is ugly for the 10th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, dendrite said: Euro is ugly for the 10th. Looks as bad or worse than the screamer last month 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Euro is ugly for the 10th. Not budging at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Got a snow shower here in Brattleboro! My day been made!Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Good to see Seattle and Vancouver cashing in on a Nino. Shades of last year. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro is ugly for the 10th. Unbelievable stubborn on the warmest solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Good to see Seattle and Vancouver cashing in on a Nino. Shades of last year. Scooter is definitely close to kicking the dollhouse from the 40 yard line. You can feel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The 10th is slipping away as far as snow. It was looking good yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Scooter is definitely close to kicking the dollhouse from the 40 yard line. You can feel it. It might just blow away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro is ugly for the 10th. No need to shovel the 7th. 10th will wash it all away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Good to see Seattle and Vancouver cashing in on a Nino. Shades of last year. Much like down here in NYC we usually get 1 week of good weather in mid January in raging Ninas or really ANY Ninas with bad patterns like 96-97 98-99 Seattle has a track record of cashing in during bad Nino winters for them too in early to mid January before the background state inevitably goes to crap for them again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: No need to shovel the 7th. 10th will wash it all away. DIT going for 80” in 2024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 wow Mobile As the upper jet rounds the base of the trough and noses into the northern Gulf Coast, our forecast area becomes co-located beneath the favorable left exit region of the jet with enhanced large scale ascent. In addition, the upper trough takes on a negative tilt as the jet streak rounds the base of the trough. Mid level winds at 500mb increase to in excess of 100 kts over the Lower Mississippi Valley, with 850mb winds increasing to 70+ kts over our forecast area. At the surface, low pressure will be positioned in the vicinity of the Arklatex with a warm front extending southeast across southern Mississippi into coastal Alabama Friday evening. This low will rapidly deepen to sub-990mb as it lifts northeast into the Mid South by early Tuesday morning and attempts to occlude. As this occurs the warm front should lift northward across our region with an anticipation of a quality warm sector airmass surging northward along and south of the front. This warm front may become the focus for supercell thunderstorms with a tornado and damaging wind threat. Considering the strong kinematic wind fields that should be in place, some higher end severe weather threat could develop. Tal Issued at 501 AM EST Thu Jan 4 2024 The strongest shortwave in the ongoing series of storms will eject east across the Southern Plains on Monday. Models continue to be in excellent agreement at strengthening a very deep surface low (985 mb or less) that will track from the Mid-South region to the Lower Great Lakes. Extremely strong southerly 850 mb winds of 60-80 knots will precede the trailing cold front, peaking over the region on Monday night. A solid gale with possible storm-force gusts is expected over the Gulf waters. A warm and moist maritime tropical air mass will surge northward with a strengthening warm front on Monday night. A fairly large warm sector will overspread the region. At least weak instability will develop across most of the forecast area, with pockets of moderate instability possible. Again the backdrop of high-end shear values, this has the potential to be a significant severe weather event. Discrete rotating supercells are possible in the open warm sector, with line segments coming just in advance of the trailing cold front on Tuesday. SPC already has the Panhandle outlooked for severe weather in its Day 4 outlook with severe chances that correlate to a Slight Risk. As timing and placement certainty grows in the days ahead, there is room for a targeted upgrade to the the severe risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 hours ago, dryslot said: Mountains and ski areas will do fine, Little more iffy SE of there on the 10th. We're a bit southeast of the mountains, but hoping it works out here, can't take anymore rain at this point. Nice snow squal going on as I'm driving up to give the boys working on the groomer some parts, only nice thing about a delay to winter is we're getting a bunch of preventative maintenance done. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 9 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: The 10th is slipping away as far as snow. It was looking good yesterday IMO this had screamer locked in from get go . You aren’t going to trend this setup colder with the jet dipping so far west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Snow flurries, two rounds of snow today lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Remember folks to think stats not packs. Days of sculpted driveway mounds is over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 More mudslides in NNE or can we keep this just cold enough for them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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