CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s up to your knees out there. First snow of season Glad my dusting worked out. Flurry is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Glad my dusting worked out. Flurry is here. Nice Euro run for the 10th. Power out there again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nice Euro run for the 10th. Power out there again? Cutter after? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Glad my dusting worked out. Flurry is here. Dusting AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Cutter after? Looks like back to back screamers on the 10th and then following weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Don’t like looking past this weekends storm but man does next weeks storm seem like a tipping point for winter at least out here up into Vermont. I’ve seen 2011 mentioned, maybe take that and move it north a tad. Big January no doubt that year. Haven’t really had a big January since.(we missed out on big Jan 2015 storm) I don’t expect much right here due to our lower elevation but drive 30 mins in several directions as Hippy knows and it’s a completely different world. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 10 hours ago, greenmtnwx said: As a lifelong skier in New England and the Rockies this is patently false. Not only does overall snow cover help the ski vibe, But more importantly glade and tree skiing is a big part of the mountain for many skiers. don't agree, but I only ski on trail-I stay the fuck away from trees. too old for that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 nearly a half inch out there overnight, good primer for upcoming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 59 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Cutter after? Hoping NNE can hold on with this next one. They need it bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 57 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: don't agree, but I only ski on trail-I stay the fuck away from trees. too old for that I understand and that’s fair in your personal case. But there’s really no disagreement to be had, it’s a simple fact that many people glade and tree ski in New England and it’s an important part of the mountain. You said skiers don’t care, as in encompassing the skiing world, but there is no debating that overall coverage including trees is important and many skiers care. There is also a fairly large back country ski scene in both New England and the Rockies, which obviously depends solely on natural snow cover. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, greenmtnwx said: I understand and that’s fair in your personal case. But there’s really no disagreement to be had, it’s a simple fact that many people glade and tree ski in New England and it’s an important part of the mountain. You said skiers don’t care, as in encompassing the skiing world, but there is no debating that overall coverage including trees is important and many skiers care. There is also a fairly large back country ski scene in both New England and the Rockies, which obviously depends solely on natural snow cover. I am actually trying to decide whether to ski Tuesday to Thursday next week based on the forecast - and it's impacts on glade skiing. If there is no glade and I am stuck on corduroy I am going to move that money over to N.Y. Rangers tix and stay home - looking the latter as the 10th looks like shite. I need to decide by midafternoon today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 12 minutes ago, cut said: I am actually trying to decide whether to ski Tuesday to Thursday next week based on the forecast - and it's impacts on glade skiing. If there is no glade and I am stuck on corduroy I am going to move that money over to N.Y. Rangers tix and stay home - looking the latter as the 10th looks like shite. I need to decide by midafternoon today. I can tell you that there’s definitely not gonna be any good tree skiing unless that 10th storm follows up on this storm this weekend. This weekend storm should be pretty good for most of the New England ski resorts but it’s probably a 6 to 10 inch deal and not going to make much of a dent in the trees. That 10th system looks pretty beefy though and if we were to be mostly snow at the resorts on top of this weekend storm the trees could get good pretty quickly. But based on your decision parameters I think it’s going to be too little too late and you’ve got to go with Le Rangèr. Besides, the boys are playing well this season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Not the 10th/11th ... 13-16th has a greater potential for an east correction. Vague at this range (as yet) but that period should be watched. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not the 10th/11th ... 13-16th has a greater potential for an east correction. Vague at this range (as yet) but that period should be watched. Agree. 10th is gone, but no way the one after runs into the monster block by that point. That inside runner on the 10 reinforces the block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not the 10th/11th ... 13-16th has a greater potential for an east correction. Vague at this range (as yet) but that period should be watched. Big wind potential on the 10th. https://x.com/yconsor/status/1742900876329570574?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Hoping NNE can hold on with this next one. They need it bad Mountains and ski areas will do fine, Little more iffy SE of there on the 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Big wind potential on the 10th. https://x.com/yconsor/status/1742900876329570574?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Yeah,... I realize you're rooting for that and attempting to will it into reality ( lol just bustin') but in all seriousness, I'm not sure that doesn't triple point. But even if it doesn't there's enough cold leading and boundary layer drag to lift the wind off the deck. That doesn't appear to be a well mixed momentum to the sfc type of deal - at this time. It can change between now and then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Tiny flakes but snowing decently 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 4 minutes ago, alex said: Tiny flakes but snowing decently Got a nice 3-4” in squalls at the hill early AM through now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 GFS pretty damned cold again for 1/10....GGEM warmed again, though the evolution is kind of weird....nothing like the previous two runs, so not sure what to think. ICON (if we care) cooled from 00z....though 00z was pretty torchy like the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Got a nice 3-4” in squalls at the hill early AM through now. Looks to be making its way here, decently moderate snow atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS pretty damned cold again for 1/10....GGEM warmed again, though the evolution is kind of weird....nothing like the previous two runs, so not sure what to think. ICON (if we care) cooled from 00z....though 00z was pretty torchy like the Euro. Hope the trend is our friend; don’t need rain at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, Modfan2 said: Hope the trend is our friend; don’t need rain at this point High stakes. Could be fun, or could be two cutters and rain during 1/10-1/17 or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: High stakes. Could be fun, or could be two cutters and rain during 1/10-1/17 or so. Yeah that 1/10-1/17 period is probably going to be key in whether this month ends up as a higher end snow month or not...and perhaps how this winter is remembered. Even if we have a blockbuster February, if we add in extra events with continuous snow cover during that 1/10-1/17 period, then it changes the whole vibe. You could honestly have 2 big warning events in that period or two giant rainy cutters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: High stakes. Could be fun, or could be two cutters and rain during 1/10-1/17 or so. Take a look at that block after the 10 system rides up....I don't see how the next one doesn't go Miller B. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Week of 10-17not looking to good atm. The 14-15th s/w might work but we'll need a cold press. Lots of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that 1/10-1/17 period is probably going to be key in whether this month ends up as a higher end snow month or not...and perhaps how this winter is remembered. Even if we have a blockbuster February, if we add in extra events with continuous snow cover during that 1/10-1/17 period, then it changes the whole vibe. You could honestly have 2 big warning events in that period or two giant rainy cutters. 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Take a look at that block after the 10 system rides up....I don't see how the next one doesn't go Miller B. My only problem is the PV is so far west, that it forces those systems to cut or just be more liquid than we’d like. Even with the block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Take a look at that block after the 10 system rides up....I don't see how the next one doesn't go Miller B. The block doesn't retrograde into an awesome spot until really post-1/17.....after that, the ensembles were going full 1978 with the arctic look (hopefully that keeps showing up), but it's still kind of precarious prior to that. The fact that the block is in the process of building/retrograding hopefully makes the corrections colder as we get closer, but I could still see a cutter in that 1/14-1/15 threat. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The block doesn't retrograde into an awesome spot until really post-1/17.....after that, the ensembles were going full 1978 with the arctic look (hopefully that keeps showing up), but it's still kind of precarious prior to that. The fact that the block is in the process of building/retrograding hopefully makes the corrections colder as we get closer, but I could still see a cutter in that 1/14-1/15 threat. I don’t mind a cutter, just don’t want to see 1-4” of rain we have been seeing lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Rest assured if a screamer has a chance this year, it will happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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