TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 hours ago, Layman said: You're joking, right? Nobody's got natural snow but Cranmore has been blowing like crazy. Click to see the other cams aside from the "Valley View" https://cranmore.com/cams I know they are making snow. I’m talking about natural. Kind of wild to be riding up the chair with bare ground below. Not good vibes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I know they are making snow. I’m talking about natural. Kind of wild to be riding up the chair with bare ground below. Not good vibes It happens. Not great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I know they are making snow. I’m talking about natural. Kind of wild to be riding up the chair with bare ground below. Not good vibes Skiers don’t really care if there is no snow off-trail. I’ve been 3 times this season and have yet to see any natural snow off-trail. the difference is that bare ground may keep the tourists at home, but the skiers are going to get their turns in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 It's going to be an uphill battle next week with that deep trough amplifying out west.....probably a front end 2-5" over the interior is a reasonable goal.....and it will get mild mid month as the MJO goes through the MC....but once that circles back around to the favorable phases after about the 20th and the PV begins drifting back eastward, there is going to be some absolutely astronomical potential. A guy I chat with online was mentioning the late January 1978 evolution with that OV inside runner and I can see it. This is going to be one hell of a ride. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I wouldn't be at all shocked to see a February 2010 Snowmageddon repeated somewhere. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcglups Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 have not traced this into the forecast, but that storm in the NPAC means business. https://manati.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/datasets/SGWHData.php altimeter with a huge swath of 40+ foot seas and several 50+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's going to be an uphill battle next week with that deep trough amplifying out west.....probably a front end 2-5" over the interior is a reasonable goal.....and it will get mild mid month as the MJO goes through the MC....but once that circles back around to the favorable phases after about the 20th and the PV begins drifting back eastward, there is going to be some absolutely astronomical potential. A guy a chat with online was mentioning the late January 1978 evolution with that OV inside runner and I can see it. This is going to be one hell of a ride. Gun to head, how are you feeling about your 42-52 inch call for the Boston area? I’m not going to lie, I’m getting nervous about my 20-30 inch call busting, especially with the blocking being modeled for later Jan and a significant storm (6+) on the horizon. Imo your range is looking good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 5 minutes ago, George001 said: Gun to head, how are you feeling about your 42-52 inch call for the Boston area? I’m not going to lie, I’m getting nervous about my 20-30 inch call busting, especially with the blocking being modeled for later Jan and a significant storm (6+) on the horizon. Imo your range is looking good right now. I feel the same what that I did in August. Confident. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Don't be fooled....it's taking a circuitous route to get there due to the residual cool ENSO GLAAM that continues to offer resistance at times, but this winter is going to offer some downright violent potential once things evolve later this month and into early February. I am not one for hyperbole at this stage of my life, but there just isn't any other way to articulate what I am envisioning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Look how next week's inside runner augments that huge NAO block via wave breaking and poleward heat flux...that is going to put up one hell of a fight mid month against what will be a very hostile tropics....could be a 2007-2008 like stretch far enough north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Don't be fooled....it's taking a circuitous route to get there due to the residual cool ENSO GLAAM that continues to offer resistance at times, but this winter is going to offer some downright violent potential once things evolve later this month and into early February. I am not one for hyperbole at this stage of my life, but there just isn't any other way to articulate what I am envisioning. Would have been nice to actually have snow otg more than 2 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Would have been nice to actually have snow otg more than 2 days Yea, it sucks we are contending with that huge trough out west, but it was always clear there would be some that this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monadnocks Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wouldn't be at all shocked to see a February 2010 Snowmageddon repeated somewhere. We had last year's March epic snowstorm and I can pass on a Snowmaggeddon, honestly. Some snow yes, over 30", no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 hours ago, monadnocks said: We had last year's March epic snowstorm and I can pass on a Snowmaggeddon, honestly. Some snow yes, over 30", no. I never lost power in April 1997...suprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 It’s interesting, looking at the pattern coming up it looks serviceable to good for the Boston area, but a lot better for interior areas. Almost like a La Niña snowfall distribution, wouldn’t be surprised to see Boston end the season with 40 and Worcester with 80-90 or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, it sucks we are contending with that huge trough out west, but it was always clear there would be some that this year. I hope NNE can cash at least next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I hope NNE can cash at least next week. I think they will....it's like 2007-2008 in terms of sensible weather, but different metoorologically....back then it was very -EPO and +NAO/AO, whereas this time it's -NAO/AO and -PNA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 7 minutes ago, George001 said: It’s interesting, looking at the pattern coming up it looks serviceable to good for the Boston area, but a lot better for interior areas. Almost like a La Niña snowfall distribution, wouldn’t be surprised to see Boston end the season with 40 and Worcester with 80-90 or something. That is what I predicted for January....we'll see. I liked 1966, 1987 and 2003 in terms of snowfall distribution. 1966 best match meteorologically speaking. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 That would be the death blow to ski season. NH resorts already teetering.There is no such thing as a death blow to ski season in the first week of January. It’s been an absolutely awful last 10-14 days, but we average almost 200” from here on out. Plenty of season left for the northeast, and especially northern Vermont. Things are looking up all over NE compared to last year right now. You’re looking to get a nice start this weekend.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, SJonesWX said: Skiers don’t really care if there is no snow off-trail. I’ve been 3 times this season and have yet to see any natural snow off-trail. the difference is that bare ground may keep the tourists at home, but the skiers are going to get their turns in. As a lifelong skier in New England and the Rockies this is patently false. Not only does overall snow cover help the ski vibe, But more importantly glade and tree skiing is a big part of the mountain for many skiers. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 31 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: There is no such thing as a death blow to ski season in the first week of January. It’s been an absolutely awful last 10-14 days, but we average almost 200” from here on out. Plenty of season left for the northeast, and especially northern Vermont. Things are looking up all over NE compared to last year right now. You’re looking to get a nice start this weekend. . He gets a carried away a lot…everything is a disaster and the worst ever/death blow type stuff. Very dramatic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 56 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Look how next week's inside runner augments that huge NAO block via wave breaking and poleward heat flux...that is going to put up one hell of a fight mid month against what will be a very hostile tropics....could be a 2007-2008 like stretch far enough north. The year I snowmobiled until the last weekend in April? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 21 minutes ago, TheMainer said: The year I snowmobiled until the last weekend in April? I mean for a stretch mid month...not the whole season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Next week could be plowable for S NH, N ORH county and the Berks. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/01/messy-mid-week-possible-following.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 GFS shaping up for another good thump on the 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 That's a cold run on the 0z GFS for the 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Pretty cold on the GFS. Looks like the CMC got quite a bit warmer compared to the 12z run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 7mb weaker through the lakes at 150hr and as such a much more substantial coastal reflection forms, with a transfer to GOM by 162hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, rimetree said: GFS shaping up for another good thump on the 10th. The 10th looks different. I know we’re still way far out but curious to see the opinions on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, DJln491 said: The 10th looks different. I know we’re still way far out but curious to see the opinions on that. 500mb trough takes longer to go negative for the 0z run than in 18z. Lobe of shear vorticity over the plains seems to be trailing more at 0z rather than getting wrapped up as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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