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January 2024 -- Discussion


moneypitmike
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7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro op really sheared out that s/w. That was a hell of a jump from 12z. 

That trailing s/w in between the 7th and big dog cutter looks to be interfering to me. It dove in late and partially phased in before, but 00z they’re all running closely together in series and not letting any one amplify until the cutter digs in to the SW. Too many turds in the punchbowl for my liking. 
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2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

That trailing s/w in between the 7th and big dog cutter looks to be interfering to me. It dove in late and partially phased in before, but 00z they’re all running closely together in series and not letting any one amplify until the cutter digs in to the SW. Too many turds in the punchbowl for my liking. 
image.png

Gfs will barely have the storm. 

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11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

That trailing s/w in between the 7th and big dog cutter looks to be interfering to me. It dove in late and partially phased in before, but 00z they’re all running closely together in series and not letting any one amplify until the cutter digs in to the SW. Too many turds in the punchbowl for my liking. 
image.png

I noticed this last night. In my experience, the end result is people aren’t going to like whatever happens. Too many cooks 

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2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Ouch,

Oye

floop-gfs-2024010112.qpf_acc-imp.us_ne.gif

Erratic OP run for sure, but the OP has been subtly shifting the goods South the past few runs while the trend on the GEFS for the past 2 days, even at 6z is to bring more moisture NW...I guess we shall see what the 12z GEFS bring, hopefully not the start of a trend....

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