Heisy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 I don't have those on SV but here was 144.Thanks again, does it have height lines at those hours or just the maps you posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 9 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Nice Hazey Look at that hole of nothing of eastern and central mass and RI. This place will erupt if that comes close to verifying 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 32 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Look at that hole of nothing of eastern and central mass and RI. This place will erupt if that comes close to verifying Take a deep breath…everybody in the game still. Nobody wants to be in Bullseye at 5+ days out , and 7 days out. Yesterday you had January written off…so try and keep an open mind. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t hate that for 8 days out either. Yes. I’m just glad that we’re seeing activity with decent cold around. We haven’t seen that in a very long time. All of this is gonna trend a lot going forward…we’re tracking possible snow for the area, and that’s enough for the moment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Euro is a bomb for the interior 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Doesn’t phase the northern stream with the event on the 4th so the 50/50 isn’t as strong . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Heisy said: Doesn’t phase the northern stream with the event on the 4th so the 50/50 isn’t as strong . Ha...March 2001.....cute. I like where I stand from a consensus standpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Euro/gfs split and we in binness. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 I'd like about a 90/10 compromise in favor of the EURO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro/gfs split and we in binness. Yup…decent place to be at the moment..we take. We track. We enjoy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yup…decent place to be at the moment..we take. We track. We enjoy. January cancel cancel. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 11 hours ago, jbenedet said: The 7th one is all but completely off the table. Even if the track somehow takes it north to our region, which is unlikely in and of itself, it will be flooded with tropical pacific air. Rain. Careful what you wish for. You guys…SMH It only took a half day for this to not age well. 2 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It only took a half day for this to not age well. I'd wait for the EPS....this could easily miss. One OP EURO at day 7. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It only took a half day for this to not age well. I absolutely don’t know what that guy looks at? Honestly, what is his reasoning? Just bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kazimirkai Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd like about a 90/10 compromise in favor of the EURO. Same boat here: 3" with the gfs, 17" with the euro. Id honestly even be happy with 3 though I'm starving for snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd wait for the EPS....this could easily miss. One OP EURO at day 7. It goes beyond that though. Sure these could miss, but he was saying that verbatim this afternoon, that the 7th was bringing pacific air with it?? When the modeling was actually showing a potent high to the north, and the storm was tapping that. There was no pacific air with it on the modeling. That’s the bigger point. He wasn’t reading the modeling correctly. Or he was just ignoring what the modeling had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 EPS is well south of OP, but has a cluster near the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Just now, WinterWolf said: It goes beyond that though. Sure these could miss, but he was saying that verbatim this afternoon, that the 7th was bringing pacific air with it?? When the modeling was actually showing a potent high to the north, and the storm was tapping that. There was no pacific air with it on the modeling. That’s the bigger point. He wasn’t reading the modeling correctly. Or he was just ignoring what the modeling had. I just meant the OTS part....he must be trolling on the rain part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I just meant the OTS part....he must be trolling on the rain part. Oh ya..I agree these/this could miss. But Will was even trying to tell him he couldn’t figure out what he was looking at lol. Pope was saying if it comes up here it’s rain anyway, and Will was like, no, it would be snow well down into the mid Atlantic with that high pressure there. It was comical as it was so silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Oh ya..I agree these/this could miss. But Will was even trying to tell him he couldn’t figure out what he was looking at lol. Pope was saying if it comes up here it’s rain anyway, and Will was like, no, it would be snow well down into the mid Atlantic with that high pressure there. It was comical as it was so silly. Yea, I think he was trolling. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: EPS looks a shade south of OP. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kazimirkai Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 The two ensembles appear to be nearing a consensus about the general idea of the 7th storm which is comforting at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/12/first-significant-winter-storm-threat.html 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 It's probably no coincidence but just as this improved look to models began, the warmest Pacific air started to move north through my part of the world instead of east into the prairies. That opens up the arctic where legitimate cold is starting to develop finally, and it has a chance to replace the Pacific flow at least over the northern half of the lower 48 (east of the Rockies). So while the details remain subject to ebb and flow, I believe the pattern is improving steadily and can support a return to winter in the east. Once it starts it could lock in for a while, pattern changes have been slow for a while now, and it would be fair play to see a long-duration cold spell replace what has been about four or five weeks of mild weather based on dominant Pacific flows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Gefs more suppressed than the op right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 That’s a classic look on the gfs. Good high and everything on the 7-8. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 5th on life support. Gonna need changes at 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 5th on life support. Gonna need changes at 12z. yeah at this point, I think the 5th only serves to act as a 50/50 for the 7th. still need a phase there in some capacity 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 5th on life support. Gonna need changes at 12z. Don't care as my morning wood on the 7th feels great for a change. Big dog 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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