WxWatcher007 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 29 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Lol sell 100% December may be lost but I look at the 500mb progression on the ensembles and I feel pretty optimistic that another rat isn’t walking through the door. For the record I’m not on board with an AN snow year. Unlike last year, I think the windows will be real particularly after Jan 15 and produce just enough for a near normal season here. If we were staring down a puke pac on the ensembles through mid January I’d feel much different. I know weenies (myself included) want the model cinema and dopamine drip of a tangible threat, but if we learned ANYTHING FROM LAST YEAR it’s that blindly chasing op fantasy storms is an exercise in futility. Merry Christmas, everyone. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 hypers gonna hype 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Looks like some of us snow Friday . Whiten things up for the NY weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Looking at the mjo progs for American, Canadian, and euro guidance tells me why each of their ensembles depicted the pacific on the 0Z/25 run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 wow 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Gfs trying for Friday night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs trying for Friday night. Commented on this in the Dec thread, Also quite the nuke on the CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Yeah Saturday is still December and that’s where we should post about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Early Jan threat still alive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Ha, right - I was thinking it's January business. It sort of overlaps though. For me and what I've been looking over/philosophy of things this starts around Dec 28th and terminates in a smear of probability out around Jan 7 ... After that, we may or may not reload. I'm actually thinking that this new -1.5 SD EPO dive with the PNA going back negative for 5 to 7 days toward the 10th of January, might actually be a cold dump into the west. We would unfortunately ( likely ) turn mild IF IF IF we don't split the flow while that is happening. If we do split ...then we're pouring cold out across southern Canada ( i.e., within reach) while the southern aspect of the split might make things interesting - I mean ...not a novel take on things. Split flows in winters can be both unremarkable, or extraordinary. If we don't split and the -EPO/-PNA underpins than we load cold west and warm up for time. But that's all relatively new and one thing that's been also true ( when not troubling) is the teleconnectors, themselves, have been less than stable projectors - it's actually an aspect that began about 7 years ago. interesting 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs trying for Friday night. Yeah end of week is snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 yeah it's locked, nothing can possibly go wrong. big snower 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: yeah it's locked, nothing can possibly go wrong. big snower Cold and stormy on gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 3 hours ago, snowman19 said: He’s been calling for a historic SSWE since November, 2022. Eventually he will get it right. Just keep forecasting (wishcasting) the wrong idea over and over again until the inevitable happens, then claim victory. Margavage, Bastardi, Masco, Margusity, Pann, Steve D, DT and over the last 2 years Cosgrove are the worst of the worst. All they ever do is forecast severe cold and snow and “Woof!” “Alert!” even when it’s blatantly obvious that it’s not coming Dude, we had one in February and look to he having another one 11 months later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 52 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: yeah it's locked, nothing can possibly go wrong. big snower Merry Christmas TT. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: wow There is someone on the tropics threads who posts 16 day op GFS to prove the Atlantic is dead. @GaWxknows his or her name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 6 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Merry Christmas TT. Merry Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: lol SNE is still going to have issues moving forward. Hopefully good enough for ski country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Wtf you talking about? You get 5 days of trough ahead of it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 13 minutes ago, forkyfork said: lol Makes sense and fits the pattern and strong El Niño, have been warning on the south based block, see last winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 It coming https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1739364367680835801?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It coming https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1739364367680835801?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg More terrible JB tweets? 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Yeah c'mon man, no more referencing that meathead idiot. That's just bad juju. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: Makes sense and fits the pattern and strong El Niño, have been warning on the south based block, see last winter Yea a 384 hour map will not change again. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yea a 384 hour map will not change again. Wednesday rain was well modeled on OPs at 340 hours out, ensembles not so much 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 The American suite takes the MJO on a robust tour of the bad regions starting in early January. This will have to be watched. Ray's idea of January 20th and beyond seems to be gaining merit...that time frame will also match up with the SSW effects....assuming that actually comes to pass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 What a bunch of meh.. Hopefully this changes soon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Merry Christmas, and a happy persistence new year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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