Hazey Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Canadian doesn't amplify. Exit right. At least it's something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Hazey said: Canadian doesn't amplify. Exit right. At least it's something to track. way better this run though that was a big shift 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, ineedsnow said: way better this run though that was a big shift Didn't take much for a GGEM improvement though...low bar...it was super flat at 00z....I'd like to see it amp up more in the next couple cycles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Didn't take much for a GGEM improvement though...low bar...it was super flat at 00z....I'd like to see it amp up more in the next couple cycles. Differences are due to the PNA ridge IMO...its much taller on the GFS and more borad on the GEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Differences are due to the PNA ridge IMO...its much taller on the GFS. There are massive differences on the GFS and other guidance post-1/30 too....GFS really keeps the flow super amped and meridional while the GGEM and Euro really flatten out that western ridge and just push the whole thing east. The differences in sensible wx during the first week of February would be massive. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 I like that clipper that’s showing up for 1/31 in NNE. Could be a nice refresher, it really blows up east of Maine 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, ORH_wxman said: There are massive differences on the GFS and other guidance post-1/30 too....GFS really keeps the flow super amped and meridional while the GGEM and Euro really flatten out that western ridge and just push the whole thing east. The differences in sensible wx during the first week of February would be massive. Funny how that flipped....a few days ago the EPS was nice and the GEFS are nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 22 minutes ago, jbenedet said: PSM: 33 Nice. Keep us posted 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 split flow and stj wave train discussion in backloaded Ninos is the absolute best can't wait 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Funny how that flipped....a few days ago the EPS was nice and the GEFS are nasty. GFS essentially turns the western ridge into a temporary block so it doesn't move for a few days...big difference vs other guidance. I won't believe it though until there's better agreement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS essentially turns the western ridge into a temporary block so it doesn't move for a few days...big difference vs other guidance. I won't believe it though until there's better agreement. Absurd differences lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 When's the next time we're going to get one of those Manitoba Mauler redevelopers? Been over a decade it feels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 the op GFS idea of a ULL nuking in the GOA day 8/9 seems a lot more typical nino than rotting over central AK or something per the EPS and euro op. Granted, this hasn't been the most typical nino so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 20 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Keep us posted PSM 31 at noon. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Some just can’t help themselves. We Blue Cross Blue Shield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Just some perspective here on how horrible last January was even compared to this one down here which is below normal snow wise.. January 2023 - 0.9" snow 38.7 average temp - 8 days below 40 for a high and the lowest max was 33.8 Through Jan 21, 2024 - 5.9" of snow .. 29.5 average temp - 11 days below 40 out of 21 .. 7 days below 30 for a high Well then ... looks like the truth's just been dealt an inconvenient narrative, huh - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: PSM 31 at noon. These Popestradamus forecasts interest me because they're basically in my backyard. Is this a case of cherry-picking a station to get the needed temps? This station is running around 3 degrees warmer than everything else around it. https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNHPORTS24 I can't help but think it's being influenced by the Service Credit Union corporate office that sits right across the street. It's literally a wall of glass facing that station. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 46 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s not far from being a pretty good hit honestly. Not a bad spot indeed at this lead Whoa, did someone hack TBlizz's account? This is way too optimistic to be posted by him. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Crazy how much warmer the Euro is for late week than other guidance....GFS/GGEM struggle to get it out of the 30s with the wedge. Euro goes 60s. Two schools ... 1 the GGEM/GFS cabal actually has climate on it's side 2 though the Euro does not, ...we live now in an era where climate-based "correctivity" is in trouble; what should not happen, ...still happening, has been increasing in frequency ( huge discussion avoidance here ) Not sure those two facets cancel one another out, leaving us with no clue... Or, we lean in favor of one or the other. I'm personally inclined to believe the GFS/GGEM cabal myself... Because of ... two schools ... 1 our unique geo-physical circumstance is so hugely in favor that even with the burgeoning/disrupted climate signaling taking place, we're still talking atmosphere vs actual Earth (talking about topographical features favoring cold wedging..etc.). Earth should win in that debate. 2 the Euro has been proven fallible vs these other models this year - it's not abundantly clear it should be trusted out of hand. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 5 minutes ago, Layman said: These Popestradamus forecasts interest me because they're basically in my backyard. Is this a case of cherry-picking a station to get the needed temps? This station is running around 3 degrees warmer than everything else around it. https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNHPORTS24 I can't help but think it's being influenced by the Service Credit Union corporate office that sits right across the street. It's literally a wall of glass facing that station. You can see the 34 temp at the station location in the upper left corner showing just how close it is to this building: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 5 minutes ago, Layman said: You can see the 34 temp at the station location in the upper left corner showing just how close it is to this building: He's had a rough stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He's had a rough stretch. Understood. May I offer: Yea though he walks in the shadows of Death Valley, may he predict more heat, for the heat is with him. Amen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He's had a rough stretch. We still haven’t verified that he’s a met and where his degree is from 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 This is like the weather equivalent of the zapruder film. The temperature is back and to the left... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We still haven’t verified that he’s a met and where his degree is from I don't care if he's an actual met. He knows his stuff. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Man what a beautiful day out today. Shorts and sweatshirt, NH style. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Next week looks like has mid atlantic written all over it. Only thing better than a toaster is watching mid atlantic take SNE weenie's snow. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 5 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: I don't care if he's an actual met. He knows his stuff. How much did he pay you to say that? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Next week looks like has mid atlantic written all over it. Only thing better than a toaster is watching mid atlantic take SNE weenie's snow. Only thing better than watching you forecast mid atlantic snow is watching it verify as either 3 feet for @dendriteor 19" for me...best part wasn' the snow, but your dissapearence for a week, thereafter. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Next week looks like has mid atlantic written all over it. Only thing better than a toaster is watching mid atlantic take SNE weenie's snow. Thanks…heading to the store to load up on bread, milk, and booze now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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