Typhoon Tip Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 A big continuity shifts over Southern Canada/eastern Canada with regard to those pressure fields so don’t get too swept away in this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Cmc has nothing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: SNE crushed Maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cmc has nothing Yeah, like I said… I wouldn’t get too swept away with this run. I mean some sort of event may happen, but there are some arguments against it being such a massive scenario like that depiction tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Look at the ridge near 200 hours plus out there over the Rockies. It’s huge and suddenly growing in that time range and that is after the storm on the 27/28th is over and gone. That doesn’t make any sense in the canonical relay of the mass fields. The ridge starts to go on the heels of the storm and they are temporally coupled - it looks to me like the 28th system should be attenuating and that bundle of mechanics diving through the lakes you see at 222 hrs should be the real one we should be tracking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 … But, theses things can be anomalous onto themselves as well; they don’t have to behave exactly the way the textbook says so. Just sayn’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 40 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Maps? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 00z GFS Kuchera Clown run all the way out. Had the boys over at Hewlett Packard install the Cray at my house yesterday morning - because this was clearly run from my basement. 42" spot right over my house. Lock it in, lol. Map courtesy of Pivotal Weather. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 The new snow today added just enough to better the footing on icy paths ironically. My wife and I enjoyed a long walk in cold and snowy conds earlier. My tolerance is such that I would love it to be at least 10 degrees warmer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowedin Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 hour ago, weathafella said: The new snow today added just enough to better the footing on icy paths ironically. My wife and I enjoyed a long walk in cold and snowy conds earlier. My tolerance is such that I would love it to be at least 10 degrees warmer. Yeah this is the best kind of snow to receive imo. Light, fluffy, picturesque and not even enough to have to worry about shoveling. It’s too bad we can’t this like as you said, without it being bone numbing cold as well. I guess you can’t have it all in the middle of January! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 hours ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: 00z GFS Kuchera Clown run all the way out. Had the boys over at Hewlett Packard install the Cray at my house yesterday morning - because this was clearly run from my basement. 42" spot right over my house. Lock it in, lol. Map courtesy of Pivotal Weather. A few miles west of you are the real weenie spots in Washington / S Goshen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Down to 10F so far this morning, with 2” of glacier left on the ground it we’ll see if it has staying power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS lost the 28th and the Euro has nothing either. I think I'm ready to melt. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, H2Otown_WX said: GFS lost the 28th and the Euro has nothing either. I think I'm ready to melt. Well if you don't melt, the snow sure will 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 50’s for a couple days this week and nights above freezing . Elephant man hideous stuff coming 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 50’s for a couple days this week and nights above freezing . Elephant man hideous stuff coming At least we can wash the shite off our cars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 wow wow wow! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Ugly. Someone start a Frebruary thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Ugly. Someone start a Frebruary thread.DoneSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 It’s going to depend how fast that ridge sharpens up out west. To me, it’s not ideal at the moment, but possible. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Man that is an ugly, cold wedge up here on Wednesday on the gfs and euro. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 4 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: A few miles west of you are the real weenie spots in Washington / S Goshen Hey, they may have me beat in elevation, but I can hold on to cold air with the best of them! Plus, even S Goshen is getting dangerously close to the snow hole that is Newport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Good news is Tuesday night trended colder/ snowier in SNE. Bad news is end of week went from normal mild to all out furnace 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 13 hours ago, Ridingtime said: Hmm nope lol, not a wrestler here. What made you think so? Riding time is a wrestling term. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: wow wow wow! January thaw time ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: January thaw time ? I suppose we always new it would come at some point this winter. Regular feature of mid winter lately. I don’t see a cold shot on ensembles in the east for a couple of weeks or more - Canada is going to get warm again. Source region isn’t cold. We may do some April temps a couple of times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: January thaw time ? It is needed around here....While the landscape has a nice winter vibe to it. The layer of ice under the snow makes walking (especially a dog) around dangerous and sledding for the kids is pretty much impossible. So lets thaw it out and get some real snow in here before spring starts. If grading winters based on sledding days, we are behind last year at this point (6 days to 2)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Eps has a coastal signal at the end of the month . We track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Zzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Scanning the ensemble source/means over night, there's still a signal for the end of the month that is on the robuster side of the climate. The time range still beyond 200 hours. The 28th system appears to be fading? No qualms from me. The index method likes that one less ( but not zero ) than leaning toward the 30th. What is interesting, it is as though both the EPS and GEFs are sans the 28th and 30th in lieu of "merging" or emerging at all, on to the 29th mid way between. That's kind of cool ... for determinstic nerds lol. These are 18z on the 29th: If this continues to emerge ...there'll be problems with cold air availability though, too. I'm willing to lean that some of the 850 mb positive anomalies normalize ( but not all), as the larger synoptic signal begins to back the deep layer flow NW over Canada - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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