weathafella Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS trying to save the day here in the 11-15 day. Builds the ridge out west a little more. Yeah it’s not a bad look. Run to run volatility is off the charts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Yeah it’s not a bad look. Run to run volatility is off the charts Could use that blocking about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Could use that blocking about now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Chinese brunch weather here today. It's nice to at least have a few days of cold with snowcover, even if it's not deep; looks and feels like winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Could use that blocking about now. Don't worry, the weeklies save us 2nd half of February and into early March....they will be 100% correct too. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Will stopped posting …… 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Phase 6/7 in February should be ok here...they are both torchy for Canada in El Nino, but they are near or BN here with a lot of low heights to our northeast, so maybe we can catch some events in our own corner while upper plains and central Canada are torching. But who knows....we seem to find bad versions of every pattern recently.....although next week trended better on the Euro...maybe we can actually grba an advisory snowfall out of that, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 A lot of times a good storm pops up on the models just a few days before, when they pop up 8-10 days it drives the board nuts anyway analyzing every detail that can go wrong, and we're up and down on every run. I like the late poppers better. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Nice winter stretch going, chilly temps and consistent (though only ~1-3") snow pack. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 In Barnstable, mod snow maybe borderline heavy at times 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Had about 5 minutes of light snow a couple hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Sounds terrible overall. Hopefully they’re misinterpreting which is common there Unsettled pattern develops for mid and late next week as we remain on the northern fringes of the ridge with a stubborn trough to our northeast across the Canadian maritimes. This will allow for several waves of precip to impact southern New England; the first coming late Tuesday into Wednesday as a warm front generates anafrontal precipitation. Given a complex thermal profile, a few of the systems next week, which appear to "reload" every 36 to 48 hours, will bring p-type issues. Ensemble probabilities indicate the possibility of accumulating snow, with 3" probs between 10-40% north of the MA Turnpike, on Wednesday before precipitation eventually changes to a mix and finally to rain. As temperatures warm progressively through the week odds increase that each subsequent system will support less frozen precip and more rain. In total, three rounds of precipitation by next weekend yield somewhere in the ballpark of 0.5-1.25" QPF for the region. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sounds terrible overall. Hopefully they’re misinterpreting which is common there Unsettled pattern develops for mid and late next week as we remain on the northern fringes of the ridge with a stubborn trough to our northeast across the Canadian maritimes. This will allow for several waves of precip to impact southern New England; the first coming late Tuesday into Wednesday as a warm front generates anafrontal precipitation. Given a complex thermal profile, a few of the systems next week, which appear to "reload" every 36 to 48 hours, will bring p-type issues. Ensemble probabilities indicate the possibility of accumulating snow, with 3" probs between 10-40% north of the MA Turnpike, on Wednesday before precipitation eventually changes to a mix and finally to rain. As temperatures warm progressively through the week odds increase that each subsequent system will support less frozen precip and more rain. In total, three rounds of precipitation by next weekend yield somewhere in the ballpark of 0.5-1.25" QPF for the region. Some models have shown that. I’d argue overall it looks wedgy but could very well be a cold rain. The end of the week cold shot as shown yesterday went away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, CoastalWx said: Some models have shown that. I’d argue overall it looks wedgy but could very well be a cold rain. The end of the week cold shot as shown yesterday went away. The way things have worked this winter it’ll be a NNE deal with maybe some ice to rain SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Had about 5 minutes of light snow a couple hours ago. It's been snowing here all day since this morning and don't even have a half inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sounds terrible overall. Hopefully they’re misinterpreting which is common there Unsettled pattern develops for mid and late next week as we remain on the northern fringes of the ridge with a stubborn trough to our northeast across the Canadian maritimes. This will allow for several waves of precip to impact southern New England; the first coming late Tuesday into Wednesday as a warm front generates anafrontal precipitation. Given a complex thermal profile, a few of the systems next week, which appear to "reload" every 36 to 48 hours, will bring p-type issues. Ensemble probabilities indicate the possibility of accumulating snow, with 3" probs between 10-40% north of the MA Turnpike, on Wednesday before precipitation eventually changes to a mix and finally to rain. As temperatures warm progressively through the week odds increase that each subsequent system will support less frozen precip and more rain. In total, three rounds of precipitation by next weekend yield somewhere in the ballpark of 0.5-1.25" QPF for the region. Ugh more effin rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: There is something about Ray giving advice and counseling for a winter PTSD case that has me roaring in laughter. I do understand Ray is great at what he does, but the king of storm melts counseling the king of seasonal melts is great shit. This place is a toy for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This place is a toy for me. That said, you know how many recovering addicts are therapists? You can't manufacture empathy and shared experiences. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 A few stray flakes in Needham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 3rd biggest snowfall of the season today at .7” will look like deep winter for 7 days at least.. 5.4” on the season .. 1” ahead of last years pace at this time - last year didn’t pass 5” until Feb 28th .. now we await the January thaw to end somewhere around Feb 7-11 based on long range ensembles and weeklies. I remain naively optimistic that we can thread the proverbial needle a few times before then.. why not 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 hours ago, leo2000 said: This winter Every winter since 18-19 or 17-18 Edit: @The 4 Seasons did 18-19 suck? That was my last winter before I moved away for a while and I don't remember anything about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, H2Otown_WX said: Every winter since 18-19 or 17-18 18-19 started the rat stretch.. we had a fluke night march storm to get us out of the teens that year for snowfall. Then 20/21 had the 3 week epic 40” Feb stretch for that winter .. other than that non stop rat winters since 18/19 .. this will be 5/6 well below average for me since building my new house which was a snow jinx 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Some nice flakes down on Cape Cod about an hour ago. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 .75" on the day. Nice refresher on our 'pack'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Parts of C Jersey to Philly to DC and BWI have more snowfall YTD than SNE especially Pike southeast and south of HFD 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Parts of C Jersey to Philly to DC and BWI have more snowfall YTD than SNE especially Pike southeast and south of HFD 7.2 YTD 2.8 today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashFreeze Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 23° 0.50” for the day, never got above 25° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Parts of C Jersey to Philly to DC and BWI have more snowfall YTD than SNE especially Pike southeast and south of HFD Raises hand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 EPS long range looked a little better than 0z (360 0z/348 12z)Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 4 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said: I have measured 13" of snow in Brattleboro since moving up here, considering the fact there have only been 7 recorded winter events between Nov.1-Dec.31 (amounts locked behind a $205 paywall, eff that), I got to imagine that most of what we have recorded in this area is the reports I been sending to NWS Albany since the 6th storm... Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Maybe try cocorahs.org. There's an active observer in Brattleboro, WH-29 (some inactives from the town with lower numbers). I was able to get to that observer's data dump without signing back in, though as a member since 2009 I'm somewhat familiar with the site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Nice cold drain on the 18z GFS we snow to ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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