Prismshine Productions Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I'd also watch this period here ... Nothing specific for now - just you know ...future guidance, keep in mind. Euro got it tooSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 9 minutes ago, DJln491 said: Some tiny flakes in W. Hartford. No dim sun though a few flakes here in methuen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said: Everyone complaining about below average snowfall would not last one winter in the south... I have been here 3 weeks and feel spoiled from the 13" of snow I have gotten so far considering I could potentially total out by the end of January with more snow than I have seen in my ENTIRE 29 YEARS OF EXISTENCE (18.5") if the 24th is a thumper, just my perspective Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Apples to oranges, it’s one of several reasons I don’t live in the south. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, WJX231 said: November 1921 inbound? Would be neat to see something like that just once. Yeah most would be onboard, a few would howl and whine about it of course. even something a bit less damaging than 1921 would be great 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Snowing here right now… lots of tiny flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Had a few flakes earlier nothing now though.. just dim sun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Apples to oranges, it’s one of several reasons I don’t live in the south. Yea. Perspective is great. SEMATT is experiencing it now. But, when you avg 45”+ per season, and you’re possibly facing a back to back ratter, we express it in a variety of ways. Some whine, some chuckle, and some bitch about the whiners which just adds to the whining. If we lived in a tropical climate like the SE, we’d have zero expectations (like a bad pro sports team) so any snow is amazing (any win is a great win). We don’t live there, we have expectations…and we expect to be a playoff caliber team every season. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The SWFE signal is def growing on the ensembles too for next Tuesday night/Wednesday. If that doesn’t crap out in the next couple of cycles, it’s probably going to be a legit multi-hazard event. 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The SWFE signal is def growing on the ensembles too for next Tuesday night/Wednesday. If that doesn’t crap out in the next couple of cycles, it’s probably going to be a legit multi-hazard event. Sounds good, even my 0.1" that I just got feels like a win.....keep them coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The SWFE signal is def growing on the ensembles too for next Tuesday night/Wednesday. If that doesn’t crap out in the next couple of cycles, it’s probably going to be a legit multi-hazard event. The five tool player of weather. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The SWFE signal is def growing on the ensembles too for next Tuesday night/Wednesday. If that doesn’t crap out in the next couple of cycles, it’s probably going to be a legit multi-hazard event. I already think it is ... It's got overwhelming support now in the ensemble synoptic evolution through that period. But it's easy to see why it's setting up along the lines of 'synoptic theory'. We have had an active N branch for the last 10 days ( bringing cold to the middle latitude continent and so forth...), and it abandons, but doesn't retreat fully. It really backs out to about 55 N... but this is a base-line confluence result. As the +PP structures and moves by to the N, it's going to have to instantiate an isentropic lifting interface where the return flow around the oriented ... well, fuggit - here this is the preceding day, the 23rd... you can see the the return flow is likely happening whether this high builds in from the NW or not... *BUT*, because it is... the overrunning is caused by the high obtruding into the region as the return flow is then forced to intersect. The next day, ... boom- it's really the high pressure that causes this to happen... not a low pressure in this overall scenario. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 38 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. Perspective is great. SEMATT is experiencing it now. But, when you avg 45”+ per season, and you’re possibly facing a back to back ratter, we express it in a variety of ways. Some whine, some chuckle, and some bitch about the whiners which just adds to the whining. If we lived in a tropical climate like the SE, we’d have zero expectations (like a bad pro sports team) so any snow is amazing (any win is a great win). We don’t live there, we have expectations…and we expect to be a playoff caliber team every season. "some bitch about the whiners which just adds to the whining." Why can't folks see this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: "some bitch about the whiners which just adds to the whining." Why can't folks see this? They’re the same folks that reply all to yell at the people who previously replied all. Despicable if you ask me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 If the whiners didn’t make treads unreadable we wouldn’t have other whiners whine about the whining whiners do, making threads more unreadable and subject to more whining. 1 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 32 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I already think it is ... It's got overwhelming support now in the ensemble synoptic evolution through that period. But it's easy to see why it's setting up along the lines of 'synoptic theory'. We have had an active N branch for the last 10 days ( bringing cold to the middle latitude continent and so forth...), and it abandons, but doesn't retreat fully. It really backs out to about 55 N... but this is a base-line confluence result. As the +PP structures and moves by to the N, it's going to have to instantiate an isentropic lifting interface where the return flow around the oriented ... well, fuggit - here this is the preceding day, the 23rd... you can see the the return flow is likely happening whether this high builds in from the NW or not... *BUT*, because it is... the overrunning is caused by the high obtruding into the region as the return flow is then forced to intersect. The next day, ... boom- it's really the high pressure that causes this to happen... not a low pressure in this overall scenario. SWFE are fun, and once they’re showing up in the models consistently, they’re very predictable. For us it’s anywhere from a quick 3 to 6 inch all the way up to an 8 to 12 inch or if there’s a lot of moisture or if there’s a coastal low that develops. Much more easy to track and less surprises than a coastal. If this stays on the models for another two cycles or so, then it’s probably happening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I was reminded today that four years ago I should’ve dropped everything and gone to Canada. 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: The SWFE signal is def growing on the ensembles too for next Tuesday night/Wednesday. If that doesn’t crap out in the next couple of cycles, it’s probably going to be a legit multi-hazard event. Honestly with just a quick glance in the models I think it’s game on for the interior next week. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Fingers crossed, but looks like there should be plenty of packed for my trip in a few weeks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 23 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Fingers crossed, but looks like there should be plenty of packed for my trip in a few weeks Phewww! Now I can rest easy! 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: I already think it is ... It's got overwhelming support now in the ensemble synoptic evolution through that period. But it's easy to see why it's setting up along the lines of 'synoptic theory'. We have had an active N branch for the last 10 days ( bringing cold to the middle latitude continent and so forth...), and it abandons, but doesn't retreat fully. It really backs out to about 55 N... but this is a base-line confluence result. As the +PP structures and moves by to the N, it's going to have to instantiate an isentropic lifting interface where the return flow around the oriented ... well, fuggit - here this is the preceding day, the 23rd... you can see the the return flow is likely happening whether this high builds in from the NW or not... *BUT*, because it is... the overrunning is caused by the high obtruding into the region as the return flow is then forced to intersect. The next day, ... boom- it's really the high pressure that causes this to happen... not a low pressure in this overall scenario. Nice job Tip... Perfect visualization of this type of a classic swfe / overrunning event. I miss seeing these +pp forced events... Good winters of yore used to feature several of these... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 36 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Honestly with just a quick glance in the models I think it’s game on for the interior next week. I'm not seeing more than 4-7" total sn through 2/3. not very exciting, but it will change many times 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Wish we there https://x.com/crazednet/status/1748099103362281625?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: Yeah most would be onboard, a few would howl and whine about it of course. even something a bit less damaging than 1921 would be great I just want something interesting for a change. Heavy rain and river flooding is mildly interesting to me but if we can't have snow then big ice or big wind will do it for me. I just need to have something new for a change. Summer is supposed to be the boring months not winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Had a few flakes earlier nothing now though.. just dim sun dim sun no make wang long most models have us 1-2" down here. outer cape may double up on that with OES Sunday 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I already think it is ... It's got overwhelming support now in the ensemble synoptic evolution through that period. But it's easy to see why it's setting up along the lines of 'synoptic theory'. We have had an active N branch for the last 10 days ( bringing cold to the middle latitude continent and so forth...), and it abandons, but doesn't retreat fully. It really backs out to about 55 N... but this is a base-line confluence result. As the +PP structures and moves by to the N, it's going to have to instantiate an isentropic lifting interface where the return flow around the oriented ... well, fuggit - here this is the preceding day, the 23rd... you can see the the return flow is likely happening whether this high builds in from the NW or not... *BUT*, because it is... the overrunning is caused by the high obtruding into the region as the return flow is then forced to intersect. The next day, ... boom- it's really the high pressure that causes this to happen... not a low pressure in this overall scenario. i do like seeing these HP continuously getting ejected into S Canada. two 1040-50mb HPs is nothing to sneeze at. can give us a chance at a WAA event even with a crap longwave pattern. the HP make sense given the ridge over AK 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Wish we there https://x.com/crazednet/status/1748099103362281625?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRgNuts! I’m sure you’d be so pumped if that was your hood with all the damage. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wish we there https://x.com/crazednet/status/1748099103362281625?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg I had to look it up, Little Rock AR 4/23 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Watching TWC and they are rolling a storm tracker vehicle in Muscle Schoals Alabama right now. Heavy winter down there. El Niño . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: I was reminded today that four years ago I should’ve dropped everything and gone to Canada. I vaguely remember, what storm was that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: I vaguely remember, what storm was that? Edit: I remember, that was the snowmaggedon storm in the Maritimes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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