FXWX Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro still real paltry on Friday. Looking at the soundings for CT, it appears the GFS is the only model saturating the low levels; The 18z Euro keeps the low levels relatively dry right through the event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Only a few spots in NE that hasn't had a 12" storm recently. Would be interesting to see a 24" map... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: The SST argument is always really bizarre to me…esp in January. It has very little to do with the longwave pattern. It maybe cost the coastline a bit more snow in the 1/7 event but we’re talking on the margins. The SSTs offshore could’ve been 3C colder and December still would’ve been an abomination. Not to mention, the SSTs in our hood are not warm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 9 minutes ago, FXWX said: Looking at the soundings for CT, it appears the GFS is the only model saturating the low levels; The 18z Euro keeps the low levels relatively dry right through the event? Low level dry air is a major problem on the Friday setup. If we had less dry air, it prob wouldn’t be that hard to get a fluffy 2-5” event for a lot of the area but it’s gonna be tough to saturate. South coast looks the best right now for obvious reasons. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, weathafella said: What do you look at when you interpret a model output? I mean do you know how miserable you on the internet? I don’t think you’re actually that way but man-gfs lines up with the box map actually! I mean, is being pessimistic about a weak event where we on the northern fringe with tons of dry air really being miserable? Or is that just being realistic? Theres no doubt that if something breaks right someone could see a fluffy few inches, but the euro is incredibly paltry, along with the Canadian. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Arctic airmasses do not hold moisture . Snow will have no trouble reaching the ground south of pike and probably up to Route 2. 1 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 hours ago, qg_omega said: One week of winter ends Sunday for the year, no changes Good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 hours ago, George001 said: It has been a non winter, +5 AN with well below normal snow here. My area doesn’t do well in strong and super ninos. The strength of the El Niño -PDO, and well AN Atlantic SSTs (especially bad news for the coastal plain) were overlooked. It’s not overcompensation, it’s telling it like it is. I do think next winter will be a more favorable pattern here though, should be another La Niña rather than this strong nino crap. I do think big winters are still on the table even with CC, but this just isn’t our year. It is what it is, it looked like it might become good a couple weeks ago but that didn’t pan out. it’s fucking January 17 you clown 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Arctic airmasses do not hold moisture . Snow will have no trouble reaching the ground south of pike and probably up to Route 2. wtf logic is that? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: wtf logic is that? Beer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Beer? You tell me lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: wtf logic is that? If this forum starts requiring logic, it might just die... lol ... Not sure you will find that concept in your average Meteorology text... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I think for anything near the pike we’d want to see this whole synoptic precip shield modeled further north. Hopefully we see that on tonight’s models. Otherwise 10kts of 850 inflow won’t cut it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Violence in mid Jan… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Kev’s dream 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Violence in mid Jan… Boredom incoming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 hours ago, MJO812 said: The best thing to come out of that storm was that schools were closed. 1/05 and 1/15 weren't great for all of SNE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAM was close to being much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAM was nice on south coast. Mid level goodies get to near pike briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I beg of thee. Can we please, please get this? Please https://x.com/tkranz23/status/1747758251452826028?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 man that’s close to something solid. Low definitely jumped north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, backedgeapproaching said: Only a few spots in NE that hasn't had a 12" storm recently. Would be interesting to see a 24" map... Crap period here imby 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I beg of thee. Can we please, please get this? Please https://x.com/tkranz23/status/1747758251452826028?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg That’s what I posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Soundings were nice here on the nam verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, backedgeapproaching said: Only a few spots in NE that hasn't had a 12" storm recently. Would be interesting to see a 24" map... Wow, who’d a thunk the Allagash was a snow hole? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 28 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Kev’s dream Wind, severe, and ice storms are the three weather phenomena that never fail to underperform in this region of the country. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAM incorporates that lead wave more fully. would like to see other guidance jump on that, as it leads to a better baroclinic zone as well as more PVA 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, mreaves said: Wow, who’d a thunk the Allagash was a snow hole? I think its more a lack of observations up there. That data set always seems to be low in NW ME, even on the daily time scales. Same for the non downslope areas of NNH. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I beg of thee. Can we please, please get this? Please https://x.com/tkranz23/status/1747758251452826028?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Man.... You are cracked in the brain....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just was outside standing under clear starlit skies without a coat on, I asked myself that eternal question "how much longer do I stand here while my labradors fail to find the tennis ball in the snow?" 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 32 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: man that’s close to something solid. Low definitely jumped north. Don't look at it! Keep your eyes shut! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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