ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Expected snowfall on the BOX map of 1.4" but the high end 1/10 is 7". Quite the range lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I'm fine...just having fun. Hoping for Ineedsnow's 6-10" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 52 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: 15 here, looks like it was pretty bad up your way though Whats odd to me is that I was living in central VT at the time and have no memory of that storm. I remember having a discussion with a friend at the time that they were having issues at their home because the snow was so deep their dogs kept walking over their stockade fence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'm fine...just having fun. Hoping for Ineedsnow's 6-10" 1 to 3 just saying it has that look if a few things move around.. but yes unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, klw said: Whats odd to me is that I was living in central VT at the time and have no memory of that storm. I remember having a discussion with a friend at the time that they were having issues at their home because the snow was so deep their dogs kept walking over their stockade fence. I remember it. Seemed like it would never end. In the middle of it, my boiler died. I had to get a new one and they couldn't get the old wood/coal/oil monster out until spring because there was so much snow in front of the bulkhead door. Luckily the new one was much smaller and could come through the front door. The wife and dog stayed at my father in laws for a week while I stayed home manning space heaters to keep the pipes from freezing. Fun times! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 With 12z runs so far, I’d be surprised if anyone outside of extreme SW CT got measurable from this. That dry air is going to destroy whatever light snow might have been on the northern edge 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: With 12z runs so far, I’d be surprised if anyone outside of extreme SW CT got measurable from this. That dry air is going to destroy whatever light snow might have been on the northern edge It wasn't insurmountable though. 1-3 to the pike wouldn't need much QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Mar 01 was my first great snow steal on the forums. There were some great melts on WWBB. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It wasn't insurmountable though. 1-3 to the pike wouldn't need much QPF. He’ll end up with 5” and then ask how it happened 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Hey even if both January and February fail, March still has some potential. March has been more potent than December in recent times, especially in El Nino years. It would be nice to get another March 1956 to brighten everyones moods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Yea especially in NJ but we are New England where a blockbuster or 2 will bring us up. Still will be incredibly difficult to avoid an 8th straight AN temp winter. We keep kicking the can, first it was after Christmas, then mid Jan, now it’s Feb. Lets just call it what it is, a ratter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: He’ll end up with 5” and then ask how it happened Bristol county loves these patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 41 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Scooter is teetering like it’s early January 2013 ...or 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 39 minutes ago, CCHurricane said: A once in a lifetime storm for in south eastern Massachusetts. I had 25" with a 22" max depth...nothing extraordinary. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 36 minutes ago, WJX231 said: Expected snowfall on the BOX map of 1.4" but the high end 1/10 is 7". Quite the range lol Yeah pretty high, i mentioned that earlier. Low end is just a straight goose egg for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It wasn't insurmountable though. 1-3 to the pike wouldn't need much QPF. Well sure, you’ll probably need 0.05 for 2” lol. I’m just saying, the trends don’t exactly seem like anything exciting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 The muthufukkas know….take a peek. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 It isn't analogous in set up or in ceiling, but these tight-gradient latitude dealies fighting dry air always remind me of the 2015 anafrontal event. No advisory given, a couple inches forecast, into 13" here. At the end of it it was snowing hard and the sky was bifurcated, half blue bird sky, half cats paws falling. As uneventful as that will have been for virtually everyone else, it was my favorite event as an adult ever, just because it showed how weather can confound even far more advanced forecasting. It also made me pay more attention to dozens of other events subsequently that ultimately reverted to the mean and came to absolutely nothing! This could well be that. Now, that event could have been just offshore as they often are. One difference also is there wasn't much complicated going on there, it was just "where does this stream of moisture go," here there's a suggestion of development in points east (mostly on the fishes) and there is suppression favoring points sw in connecticut. I'm watching it - what else am I going to do? This is a window, there won't be many others at the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like Tuesday night is the next crack at a couple of inches, but we're onto February for anything overly impactful. No changes 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, qg_omega said: No changes Well, I have just about normal snowfall, so you may want to change your skibbies 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 18 minutes ago, weathafella said: The muthufukkas know….take a peek. Euro says toss em and enjoy the dim sun. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 17 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Yeah pretty high, i mentioned that earlier. Low end is just a straight goose egg for everyone. Forecasting down here the past 2 seasons has been quite easy....look at all of the clown maps, 12 hrs to first flakes, take the lowest number and it will most likely be correct....call it what it is, but it has been right way more than anything else. if the forecast is 3-5, the hrrr/Euro/etc, what ever is the lowest, say 1.5", it will be around 1.5". Just our luck down here....I remember when we actually had positive busts down here, now its earlier changeovers, dryslots, late phases, lbsw, air was too dry to start, the atmosphere seems to have many reasons, LOL. Looks like Friday might have multiple reasons why, here the biggest looks to be dry air. At some point, something has to go in the snowier direction and flip the switch. 24.4° at 1:15 in the afternoon should secure our first sub 20 degree high for this winter season, low dipped to 6.3° right before the sun peaked over the ridge this morning. I suspect if we can get the winds to go calm tonight or this weekend, we should be able to go below zero.... Our 1.5" of snow/sleet/Frz rain is actually disappearing on the south facing hills this afternoon, not bad considering the low temps.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: Forecasting down here the past 2 seasons has been quite easy....look at all of the clown maps, 12 hrs to first flakes, take the lowest number and it will most likely be correct....call it what it is, but it has been right way more than anything else. if the forecast is 3-5, the hrrr/Euro/etc, what ever is the lowest, say 1.5", it will be around 1.5". Just our luck down here....I remember when we actually had positive busts down here, now its earlier changeovers, dryslots, late phases, lbsw, air was too dry to start, the atmosphere seems to have many reasons, LOL. Looks like Friday might have multiple reasons why, here the biggest looks to be dry air. At some point, something has to go in the snowier direction and flip the switch. 24.4° at 1:15 in the afternoon should secure our first sub 20 degree high for this winter season, low dipped to 6.3° right before the sun peaked over the ridge this morning. I suspect if we can get the winds to go calm tonight or this weekend, we should be able to go below zero.... Our 1.5" of snow/sleet/Frz rain is actually disappearing on the south facing hills this afternoon, not bad considering the low temps.... The southern CT snow hole has taken the place of the RI snow hole of the past .. You hate to see it, but it's real.. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: The southern CT snow hole has taken the place of the RI snow hole of the past .. You hate to see it, but it's real.. The snowhole jacks me. Lovely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Euro says toss em and enjoy the dim sun. It actually doesn’t but we know your deal… 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, George001 said: Still will be incredibly difficult to avoid an 8th straight AN temp winter. We keep kicking the can, first it was after Christmas, then mid Jan, now it’s Feb. Lets just call it what it is, a ratter. That piqued my curiosity, as we were solidly BN for 2017-18 and even moreso in 2018-19, in which the 4 coldest months were all BN. 2016-17 was AN for DJM but slightly BN for DJFM thanks to March being 5.1° BN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: It actually doesn’t but we know your deal… Congrats? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 13 minutes ago, weathafella said: It actually doesn’t but we know your deal… 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Congrats? Lol. Dim sun indeed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Yeah looks like crap. Oops is that allowable? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I had 25" with a 22" max depth...nothing extraordinary. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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