The 4 Seasons Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 33 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Ugggh that storm cmon i think you got like 3.5..thats better than yesterdays 1.7, no? cheer up buttercup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Slightly better on GFS...but not much to show for it. Is the primary issue here the lack of lift facilitating precipitation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Is the primary issue here the lack of lift facilitating precipitation? Yeah we're not getting that mid-level WAA that we like to see for healthy lift. Notice how the 850 winds are still light out of the northwest. We'd like to see that turn more southerly. You can also see a bit of dry air there below about 700-750mb. Thats going to be an issue for sure in trying to get decent QPF into SNE. It's fighting that very dry air funneling down from the north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 14 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: The Demon. @TheSnowman There was a better version that mentioned equal to or exceeding Blizz of '78 headline. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Was a great Bliz 2005 AFD too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah we're not getting that mid-level WAA that we like to see for healthy lift. Notice how the 850 winds are still light out of the northwest. We'd like to see that turn more southerly. You can also see a bit of dry air there below about 700-750mb. Thats going to be an issue for sure in trying to get decent QPF into SNE. It's fighting that very dry air funneling down from the north Got it, thanks for the explanation. We pray for cold highs to prevent cutters and when we get one it leads to this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Was a great Bliz 2005 AFD too. Yeah, that one i remember reading. 2001 was before my time of evening knowing what an AFD was. But 2005 i remember seeing something like "here we go...this kind of storm only happens once or twice in a forecaster job" something like that @40/70 Benchmark The duration of that storm was something i've never seen since. Nearly 60 hours is pretty spot on. I remember snow began early Sunday and the last flakes flying Wednesday morning just after midnight. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Yeah, that one i remember reading. 2001 was before my time of evening knowing what an AFD was. But 2005 i remember seeing something like "here we go...this kind of storm only happens once or twice in a forecaster job" something like that @40/70 Benchmark Yes, the next one...thought so. I remember I worked Sunday's at MB for time and a half in those days and I had gotten home in the evening from that shift and just disrobed to that AFD. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes, the next one...thought so. I remember I worked Sunday's at MB for time and a half in those days and I had gotten home in the evening from that shift and just disrobed to that AFD. I was listening to Cold Play on radio just re-reading...this song always reminds me of that storm and month. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 BOXs max map for this event is surprisingly high, they have warning snowfall for the entire region on the 1/10 max map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I just think of March 01 as what could have been. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I just think of March 01 as what could have been. As great as it was here, so do I.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Northern Essex County got rocked that month....I remember I was in the Marine Corps Delayed Entry program training for Paris Island until the college semester ended. I would notice there was more snow at the recruting office in N Andover than in Wilmington....was happy to see, but pissed MBY had a bit less lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I just think of March 01 as what could have been. 15 here, looks like it was pretty bad up your way though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I just think of March 01 as what could have been. Yea. So many close misses around here it’s maddening. 3/01, 1/05, 1/15, 1/16, 3/17, 1/22. They either escape east for SEMATT or trend nw and congratulate the catskills. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 CMC has flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 All in on the RAP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: CMC has flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: All in on the RAP. Seems like a smart move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 It's interesting ...this 'warm up' next week, not prepared to say it's formally in trouble, but ... it does seems we are dealing with episodic confluence/induction of +PP scenarios too often for me to sign off at that being of larger positive departure - speaking to roughly N of PHL latitudes. In fact, ...operational GFS runs are periodically even snowing as warm surges occasionally abut the resulting +PP cold walls and run up and over.. We'll see on those but there's room here to suspect a corrupted thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Seems like a smart move Eff it. Why not. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's interesting ...this 'warm up' next week, not prepared to say it's formally in trouble, but ... it does seems we are dealing with episodic confluence/induction of +PP scenarios too often for me to sign off at that being of larger positive departure - speaking to roughly N of PHL latitudes. In fact, ...operational GFS runs are periodically even snowing as warm surges occasionally abut the resulting +PP cold walls and run up and over.. We'll see on those but there's room here to suspect a corrupted thaw. Corrupted thaw lol I like it...better than the corrupt winters I have been observing...tired of Ma nature's politics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Eff it. Why not. Man, you are distraught...we need a CJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said: cmon i think you got like 3.5..thats better than yesterdays 1.7, no? cheer up buttercup You robbed me of my additional .25 (2.25 total) on your map. lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I never thought that I'd hate to see it, but I do...hate to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Man, you are distraught...we need a CJ. Just sitting here smiling. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Scooter is teetering like it’s early January 2013 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just sitting here stroking What though? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Yeah, that one i remember reading. 2001 was before my time of evening knowing what an AFD was. But 2005 i remember seeing something like "here we go...this kind of storm only happens once or twice in a forecaster job" something like that @40/70 Benchmark The duration of that storm was something i've never seen since. Nearly 60 hours is pretty spot on. I remember snow began early Sunday and the last flakes flying Wednesday morning just after midnight. A once in a lifetime storm for those in south eastern Massachusetts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What though? The equivalent of a light event ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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