Spanks45 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 First single digits of the winter season....6.8⁰ currently 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Too bad Friday is cirrus with a few flurries. Yeah. I don't see anyone in SNE geting 2" except maybe on ACK and they would probably be too warm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: First single digits of the winter season....6.8⁰ currently Yeah, hit 9.9 at 6:48. Crunchy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 14 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: So are we seeing a bit of a change for midweek next week as far as attempts not being as high as the mid-40s? There was talk that some colder air may wedge down and we won't get as warm. Just wondering if the models today trended towards a more wintry solution in the middle of next week. More importantly, are we going to get colder after next week again with more chances of winter weather...... that is the question The push of that high is TBD at this point. Personally i am kinda hoping next Thursday will end up 45 degrees, we have rooftop work and a crane delivering a new HVAC unit to a customer... so the pattern will probably morph into a cold / snow scenario 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1-3 pike south Friday . We take it 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Looks cold for the next little while. At least you guys have snow on the ground. Wiped clean here and have to start again. Would be nice to get some skating in on the ponds. Fingers crossed for Feb works out better than this month otherwise the rat is nibbling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 hours ago, wdrag said: The target for this decent 9-15 hour snowfall continue PA-NJ, though the SREF is I80 north. Debateable but to me it looks like a base snowfall of 2" everywhere and then tops could e narrow swath of 5". NWS graphics attached from 09z/17. I added OBS to the thread title at 503AM Wed and unfortunately felt the need to add rain/snow mix tag for at least eastern/southern LI and coastal NJ where all snow is not in my mind a 100% guarantee. This event differs from the Tuesday event (I'll have a snowfall/qpf brief review up in the Tuesday thread late today). Tuesday was pure warm air advection with an 850 MB sw jet as the 5H short wave triesdtilting negative in its Tuesday afternoon mid Atlantic coast passage. This upcoming event looks a little more negative at 5H, and to me sharper with slower flow aloft as an 850MB low (very weak) tries to form in eastern PA-NJ coast Friday. This one to me has a little better chance at a short period of decent dendritic snow growth. (Tuesdays snow at least for nw NJ was mostly small flake dense packed). The EPS is well south of the SREF. I like best snowfall in the weak south or east flow between 8H-7H which is north of the EPS and is what the NWS 09z/17 probabilities for 2 and 4" show. User the colors bar for the chances of these amounts and click for clarity. All solutions need consideration. Another nice snowfall is on the way. At 555AM I added: The thought that we could break the record consecutive streak of no daily snowfall 2" or more at CP is definitely a possibility. Depends on snowfall rates and timing the measuring. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 27 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yeah. I don't see anyone in SNE geting 2" except maybe on ACK and they would probably be too warm She gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Looks like Tuesday night is the next crack at a couple of inches, but we're onto February for anything overly impactful. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 1-3 pike south Friday . We take it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like Tuesday night is the next crack at a couple of inches, but we're onto February for anything overly impactful. EPS looks like it gets us to a better place quicker than the GEFS and GEPS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: EPS looks like it gets us to a better place quicker than the GEFS and GEPS. Yea, I'm not too worried about February, just speaking of the balance of January....the pattern should flip back by the end of the month. January has been pretty good in my area, but kind of disappointing on a regional level. I expected the coast to struggle, but I thought that they would have more than this. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I hope that event ramps up into something decent for NYC...I need numbers down the coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I'd def keep an eye on Friday south of pike...I'm prob toast up here for more than a feather dusting but south coast peeps could easily get a few inches with a small bump north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I'd def keep an eye on Friday south of pike...I'm prob toast up here for more than a feather dusting but south coast peeps could easily get a few inches with a small bump north. Agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'd def keep an eye on Friday south of pike...I'm prob toast up here for more than a feather dusting but south coast peeps could easily get a few inches with a small bump north. We on it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just under 9 inches on the season. I do hope February works out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2018 was a long time ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just under 9 inches on the season. I do hope February works out. Have any thoughts on February? Perhaps gets better as we get deeper into the month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'd def keep an eye on Friday south of pike...I'm prob toast up here for more than a feather dusting but south coast peeps could easily get a few inches with a small bump north. Keeping an eye, but expecting flurries here. Probably one where there's a super sharp cutoff between an inch or two and nada. But... cue the weenies if one of the Mesos throws out an "interesting" solution today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Have any thoughts on February? Perhaps gets better as we get deeper into the month? ..the sands in the hourglass are getting fewer and fewer with each passing day.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: ..the sands in the hourglass are getting fewer and fewer with each passing day.. Sadly…. above normal snowfall probably off the table now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 God it feels good to be a gangsta' ! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: God it feels good to be a gangsta' ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Sadly…. above normal snowfall probably off the table now In a year where there’s been some decent blocking, which is likely to reoccur, and now with cold air sources near us I think the chance of a couple of decent snowstorms in February is fairly high. One big and one moderate snowstorm puts a lot of people to normal or above. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 34 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I'm not too worried about February, just speaking of the balance of January....the pattern should flip back by the end of the month. January has been pretty good in my area, but kind of disappointing on a regional level. I expected the coast to struggle, but I thought that they would have more than this. For the strip from your area up to me it could be alot worse. Temps and cutters have sucked, but we are within a couple inches of normal snow year to date now, despite punting Dec. One big event can skew things quite a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: In a year where there’s been some decent blocking, which is likely to reoccur, and now with cold air sources near us I think the chance of a couple of decent snowstorms in February is fairly high. One big and one moderate snowstorm puts a lot of people to normal or above. Snow coming Friday and Tuesday and cold, snow OTG and yet we have to read the same old whining every day. Good lord 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Sadly…. above normal snowfall probably off the table now Yea especially in NJ but we are New England where a blockbuster or 2 will bring us up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Snow coming Friday and Tuesday and cold, snow OTG and yet we have to read the same old whining every day. Good lord I see nothing exciting going forward. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 19 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Have any thoughts on February? Perhaps gets better as we get deeper into the month? It might start out cold, but I have no confidence in the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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