ORH_wxman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Don't think it's wise to call Friday toast yet.. A light to moderate event still on table with ticks NW.. Still on some guidance as a moderate hit .. Today was toast for all now many will get 5-10" for CNE and NNE .. GGEM and RGEM ftw again ? Who knows? Am I confident it will snow, obviously not as most guidance says no, but it can easily be the biggest storm of the year for many on the south coast... I'll get your jokes out of the way now for you Debs.. Yes I may "Sey-less snow Friday probably " but its not 100% dead yet Yeah I could see it coming back a bit....but I think anything sizeable is probably off the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Don't think it's wise to call Friday toast yet.. A light to moderate event still on table with ticks NW.. Still on some guidance as a moderate hit .. Today was toast for all now many will get 5-10" for CNE and NNE .. GGEM and RGEM ftw again ? Who knows? Am I confident it will snow, obviously not as most guidance says no, but it can easily be the biggest storm of the year for many on the south coast... I intimated this idea yesterday, and was berated by some lol. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let Scoots go. His melt has commenced Just calling it as it is. Maybe we get an inch or two. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: I intimated this idea yesterday, and was berated by some lol. Different pattern though by Friday. This always had that look with the s/w so far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just calling it as it is. Maybe we get an inch or two. Which the way the next 2 weeks looks.. might be it for awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s another event like today’s. In a winter like this, you enjoy these . Another couple inches Friday and then it’s back to regularly scheduled programming next week. Today's deal was just a PITA nuisance that I would have foregone if afforded the opportunity...during the morning coming off of a holiday weekend. It didn't quite start soon enough nor is it large enough to warrant a snow day, so you have to deal with it and the inconvenience of it far outweighs the appeal to me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Today's deal was just a PITA nuisance that I would have foregone is afforded the opportunity...during the morning coming off of a holiday weekend. It didn't quite start soon enough nor is it large enough to warrant a snow day, so you have to deal with it and the inconvenience of it far outweighs the appeal to me. I’d rather snow and cold in mid January than 44 and grass . But that’s just me . Call me crazy 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Different pattern though by Friday. This always had that look with the s/w so far west. Essentially whiffing on this week was not a good sign. Theoretically speaking, we still have plenty of time, but many of the backloaded El Nino seasons were off to the races prior to the close of January. If we don't have a major region wide event prior to or imminent by the start of February, then its time to panic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’d rather snow and cold in mid January than 44 and grass . But that’s just me . Call me crazy Totally respect that....but my commute is over an hour on a "good day". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I intimated this idea yesterday, and was berated by some lol. It ain't over until Kevin sings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Essentially whiffing on this week was not a good sign. Theoretically speaking, we still have plenty of time, but many of the backloaded El Nino seasons were off to the races prior to the close of January. If we don't have a major region wide event prior to or imminent by the start of February, then its time to panic. I'm not hopeful we make up in Feb, but hope we have a decent month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, CoastalWx said: I'm not hopeful we make up in Feb, but hope we have a decent month. I did not think we would come up empty this week, nuisance snows not withstanding. That moves the needle for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Its very frustrating when you nail certain aspects of the season, like blocking, several months out, but the atmosphere just seeks out ways to not snow, anyway. December was a brutal Pacific, sure....but this is just brutal luck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, CoastalWx said: I'm not hopeful we make up in Feb, but hope we have a decent month. If we have a decent month…I don’t really care if we don’t make up everything. Some folks put way too much pressure on this type of stuff. For those that enjoy making outlooks on this long term stuff, I can get their theoretical concern due to their calls. But otherwise, it’s crazy to worry about not making up whatever ground might be lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Credit Raindance and Omega on that....call it a lucky guess, call it outstanding forecasting, whatever you wish...but they were all over this season inventing ways to not snow in SNE. This is aside from MBY...not complaining in a personal level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its very frustrating when you nail certain aspects of the season, like blocking, several months out, but the atmosphere just seeks out ways to not snow. December was a brutal Pacific, sure....but this is just brutal luck. Honestly your general idea of this winter is an A+ for me the general ideas were correct and it's going as planned .. you can't do much about being a few degrees off here and there and not getting snowstorms to work out.. The threats and favorable periods were highlighted and generally verified .. February looks to start amazing on long range guidance which is nice to see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Honestly your general idea of this winter is an A+ for me the general ideas were correct and it's going as planned .. you can't do much about being a few degrees off here and there and not getting snowstorms to work out.. The threats and favorable periods were highlighted and generally verified .. February looks to start amazing on long range guidance which is nice to see. Eh....I saw Raindance point out in his analogs many of the -PDO seasons that just didn't want to snow in this area...admitted that he couldn't explain it. Say what you want about him personally, but I really give credit there if this doesn't turn around. But I guess since I apparently copied him, I can take credit, too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I intimated this idea yesterday, and was berated by some lol. Actually no. We said goodbye to the big event days ago and you went wild on us. Nobody said a light to moderate even was off the table but you managed to spin the story around that we were cancelling any chance of snow falling. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Totally respect that....but my commute is over an hour on a "good day". This has just made my day a total disaster. I commute from Raynham to Wilmington most days. I’ve been in the car for 2.5 hours and am currently in gridlock still probably half hour away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Credit Raindance and Omega on that....call it a lucky guess, call it outstanding forecasting, whatever you wish...but they were all over this season inventing ways to not snow in SNE. This is aside from MBY...not complaining in a personal level. Season has quite a ways to go Ray…only a 3rd of the way in currently(astronomically speaking)..so I wouldn’t be feeling to downtrodden just yet. Long way to go to the finish line(2/3 to go actually)from here. Let’s see where we are end of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Edibles being inhaled this morning like dongs by prostitutes. Look out the window at the snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This has just made my day a total disaster. I commute from Raynham to Wilmington most days. I’ve been in the car for 2.5 hours and am currently in gridlock still probably half hour away Ha...I'm from Wilmington...yea, that is a long commute. It actually wasn't awful for me coming from Methuen to Chelsea today...probably speaks to the ineffectual nature of this "storm". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Actually no. We said goodbye to the big event days ago and you went wild on us. Nobody said a light to moderate even was off the table but you managed to spin the story around that we were cancelling any chance of snow falling. No..not at all. That’s incorrect. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Season has quite a ways to go Ray…only a 3rd of the way in currently(astronomically speaking)..so I wouldn’t be feeling to downtrodden just yet. Long way to go to the finish line(2/3 to go actually)from here. Let’s see where we are end of March. The chances of a huge comeback are taking a very large hit this week from a climatological standpoint and that can not be ignored. Does it mean that we won't have an enjoyable month of February? No and I think that we will....but I am starting to doubt that 1958 or 1966 is walking through that door. I do not have snow goggles on when I take these stances, nor do I remain fixed to an idea despite emerging data to the contrary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Actually no. We said goodbye to the big event days ago and you went wild on us. Nobody said a light to moderate even was off the table but you managed to spin the story around that we were cancelling any chance of snow falling. Yea, I could see another nuisance day, sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 @brooklynwx99I need an H5 porn....hot and heavy, hit me with it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The chances of a huge comeback are taking a very large hit this week from a climatological standpoint and that can not be ignored. Does it mean that we won't have an enjoyable month of February? No and I think that we will....but I am starting to doubt if 1958 or 1966 is walking through that door. I wasn’t meaning a huge comeback…but something good is certainly a possibility, and shouldn’t be discounted at this stage. And certainly not a big storm today, but great wintry vibe with steady snow/roads snow covered and cold temps…we enjoy. Cue Luke to say that I’m going wild..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, WinterWolf said: I wasn’t meaning a huge comeback…but something good is certainly a possibility, and shouldn’t be discounted at this stage. And certainly not a big storm today, but great wintry vibe with steady snow/roads snow covered and cold temps…we enjoy. Cue Luke to say that I’m going wild..lol. This is totally reasonable and I agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is totally reasonable and I agree. Thanks. Keep your head up. I think in the end, outlook will stand up and verify pretty nicely when it’s all over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Looking at climo data, we are still pretty much on pace with 1958 if Boston could grab like 3" today. This is the time of year where I begin to weight climo data more heavily than the outlook....gotta start to look at the scoreboard after halftime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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