WinterWolf Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It’s tough because there have been and are a number of chances but still need everything to break right. But that’s mostly always the case when you actually break it all down. And Especially so for something upper tier. Let’s enjoy the tracking…no matter the outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 GEFS got better...new cluster just outside or the BM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Something has to break right eventually. Its frustrating because we havent had a decent event in two years around here. It doesn't even have to be anything major, I would be happy with a nice 6-8 event. But we weren't even able to manage that at all last season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Ray, I posted 24 hour snowfall for the 20th just to seperate Tuesday and Friday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Kind of misleading, that includes the squalls, Tuesday Wednesday deal etc. the mean for that event is like 1/3 of what it shows there 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Kind of misleading, that includes the squalls, Tuesday Wednesday deal etc. the mean for that event is like 1/3 of what it shows there Yea. We’ll have to hang the month on these left leaners: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. We’ll have to hang the month on these left leaners: Might as well face it's slip sliding away...not that it ever looked great for the WOR losers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Might as well face it's slip sliding away...not that it ever looked great for the WOR losers Well we can still salvage mod impact from norlun/mid level stuff. The big solutions though for WOR which were barely there in the first place are highly unlikely now, agree. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 39 minutes ago, WJX231 said: Something has to break right eventually. Its frustrating because we havent had a decent event in two years around here. It doesn't even have to be anything major, I would be happy with a nice 6-8 event. But we weren't even able to manage that at all last season. Haha. Didn’t we just getting a regional wide 6 to 14 inch snowstorm last week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. We’ll have to hang the month on these left leaners: You know a good storm is coming when the mean is halfway to Tobacco Bay. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Well we can still salvage mod impact from norlun/mid level stuff. The big solutions though for WOR which were barely there in the first place are highly unlikely now, agree. Agree, if we could somehow eek out 3-4" that would be a win in my book 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Haha. Didn’t we just getting a regional wide 6 to 14 inch snowstorm last week. Not sure where you live but I got about 3.5 inches imby and much of it was a slushy mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Haha. Didn’t NE Mass just get another regional wide 6 to 14 inch snowstorm last week while many barely got 1-3” Fixed it for you 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Agree, if we could somehow eek out 3-4" that would be a win in my book Maybe the eps will throws us a bone. We need a “aint happening James” turning point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Punting is a bit premature. the spread at day 6 is wide enough to garner continued interest. Maybe defense/coping mechanisms at play here /tip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 last three EPS clusters: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Maybe the eps will throws us a bone. We need a “aint happening James” turning point. Poor James...he'd be willing this one home for us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Fixed it for you Almost everyone got 4+ most 12+ region wide MECS, localized HECS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Poor James...he'd be willing this one home for us I’d still be pumped for something major if I lived out east though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kazimirkai Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 8 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Everyone gets this, right? Actually, I see that you refer to it as the Coriolis effect, and not Coriolis force. I've heard that before from a non-met scientist, who would get indignant when it was referred to as a "force". I assume non-met people are referring to the fact that its not a real force per say and so call it an effect. It's only perceived from objects on a rotating frame to correct for that fact, like the centrifugal force. I presume it's referred to by atmospheric scientists as a force is because in drawing air parcel force diagrams, it makes it easier to understand the balances at work with pressure gradient, frictional, gravitational forces etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 53 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Kind of misleading, that includes the squalls, Tuesday Wednesday deal etc. the mean for that event is like 1/3 of what it shows there The point was the trend, which is what I referenced. Its not misleading in that respect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 14 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: last three EPS clusters: Well to me, it looks like they've clustered closer to the cape from 00z through 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 10 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Almost everyone got 4+ most 12+ region wide MECS, localized HECS It’s all semantics. All of the bigger accumulation was away from 95 and the big population. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Well to me, it looks like they've clustered closer to the cape from 00z through 12z That was my general point, granted I haven't seen 18z yet. The GEFS spread is even wider to me, while the overall mean seems further east. There's still time for positive trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Well to me, it looks like they've clustered closer to the cape from 00z through 12z And 18z was better than 12z. Do I think we are getting a huge event, no, but it is what it is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Feb still looking good? . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kazimirkai Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 What kind of winter pattern shifts and upper-level stuff are being altered by climate change? I know the jet will speed up but I'm unsure how that affects the nature of large winter storms in general. Maybe someone can point me towards some studies on the subject? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 41 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Maybe the eps will throws us a bone. We need a “aint happening James” turning point. Scott has lost his touch… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Scott has lost his touch… All downhill after he lost his balls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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