40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 That is a good trend...just saw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Usually, but it can be the final solution....given the range, probably not. Of course it’s never a guarantee, but that’s not the final solution…no way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Any trend? Wolfie might be right, just noting the solution verbatim. I’ll be interested to see what EPS does since my guess is that we’d have some tasty members. The initial s/w that spawns cyclogenesis looked better to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, WinterWolf said: Of course it’s never a guarantee, but that’s not the final solution…no way. All I am saying is inverted troughs to happen, but I agree this is very unlikely to be the final solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, CoastalWx said: Wolfie might be right, just noting the solution verbatim. I’ll be interested to see what EPS does since my guess is that we’d have some tasty members. The initial s/w that spawns cyclogenesis looked better to me. OP is def. better. Agree. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All I am saying is inverted troughs to happen, but I agree this is very unlikely to be the final solution. Oh I know what you meant, and certainly agree with you 100%. We on the same page. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 OT but a plane crashed a few miles from our house in an area we frequently hike. No survivors. We were glued to the emergency scanner for an hour. I think we heard the same plane fly over our house. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 They are on the Fruad Five list for a reason lol...but like everything else on this list, they are an actual phenomenon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: OT but a plane crashed a few miles from our house in an area we frequently hike. No survivors. We were glued to the emergency scanner for an hour. I think we heard the same plane fly over our house. Yikes...commercial? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yikes...commercial? Private 2 engine out of Westfield according to scanner. We almost never had emergency vehicles go up our road and it was like a convoy today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Tell me this. isn't a trend towards less compression... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Tell me this. isn't a trend towards less compression... Not sure if that's a good thing or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Not sure if that's a good thing or not More that it could portend a good thing...especially if EPS follows suite. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Not sure if that's a good thing or not Less compression means a little less speed, and more time to congeal and bomb for SNE, instead of OTS, or for Nova Scotia. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hammerz_nailz Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 10 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Private 2 engine out of Westfield according to scanner. We almost never had emergency vehicles go up our road and it was like a convoy today. Weird track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Flow looks a hair more relaxed early on with respect to 12z EPS, but probably not a enough to be a huge difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Flow looks a hair more relaxed early on with respect to 12z EPS, but probably not an enough to be a huge difference. Outcome was a bit better than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You can see how a continuation of this trend would lead to a marriage over Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 24 minutes ago, hammerz_nailz said: Weird track Yeah, I’m wondering if a rouge gust of wind caught them? Right around when they went down it was very windy here with hundreds of pinecones raining down at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Like the GEFS in the sense that most of the trend is late in the game....IE east of the cape, rather than south of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Like the GEFS in the sense that most of the trend is late in the game....IE east of the cape, rather than south of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Like the GEFS in the sense that most of the trend is late in the game....IE east of the cape, rather than south of SNE. Where would development be ideally? Off the Delmarva? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 @CoastalWx, check out late in the EPS (GEFS also have the same look)….that’s 2015-ish? We’ll see if that look continues as we get closer 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Where would development be ideally? Off the Delmarva? South of LI....maybe near Jersey shore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: @CoastalWx, check out late in the EPS (GEFS also have the same look)….that’s 2015-ish? We’ll see if that look continues as we get closer LOL I joked about that yesterday when it hinted that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: LOL I joked about that yesterday when it hinted that. We haven’t seen a low set up way down there SW of the Aleutians in eons. It was prob 2015 the last time we had one setup there for more than just a fleeting moment. Nice to see it on guidance….that’s about as good as a pacific pattern as we can get. Maybe shift the ridge axis a couple hundred miles east if we’re nitpicking, but otherwise it’s what we’ll want to see showing up as we move forward. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Thank goodness, because it’s tiring relying on the underperforming atlantic. 44 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: @CoastalWx, check out late in the EPS (GEFS also have the same look)….that’s 2015-ish? We’ll see if that look continues as we get closer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Like the GEFS in the sense that most of the trend is late in the game....IE east of the cape, rather than south of SNE. WTTTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 I really thought the next panel after this one would show a consolidated bomb off Cape May: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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