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January 2024 -- Discussion


moneypitmike
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2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Hopefully we can avoid any major torching. GFS kind of shows how. We get some days in the 40a but no warm rainstorms. Then pattern reload out west toward month-end which makes sense since all the ensembles show that too as MJO goes back around to phase 6/7

Well, if it doesn't snow, then why not?

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1 hour ago, kdxken said:

How torchy are we talking? It's 60° today in mid-January

It depends on like 3-4 different factors. Today we mixed out like 8C at 850…classic downslope dandy. You’re gonna shoot 55-60F when that happens. But if we’re in a low mixing environment with 0 to +3 850 temps, then you’re talking 40s for highs. If theres a cutter involved, then you can spike much higher. 
 

OP Euro (extrapolated) and OP GFS show how you just get some mundane above normal stuff before the reload…but we’ve had some GFS runs that go warmer too. 

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31 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Incredible warmth has been the story since 12/1 this winter, along with incredible amounts of rain.  Classic strong El Niño winter and more warmth just a few days away.

Hyperbole much?  Dec. 23 was 0.07° hotter than Dec. 22, and Jan to date is running 4.5° less hot than Jan. 23.


I'd it's not IMBY, then I don't care. I'd rather watch the game.

Might be able to see nothing but snowflakes.  :(

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1 hour ago, radarman said:

I'm not editorializing on the decision, but I've seen a bunch of unhappy folks ripping the NFL when they're just doing what they're told in this instance.  Not that the NFL needs me to defend em.

It all comes down to the lost beer, hotdog, and merch sales.  That's close to 2.5 million at a full stadium.  The NFL calls Hochul and says, "Get out there and cancel the game. Blame it on whatever you need to, but keep us out of it."

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11 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said:

It all comes down to the lost beer, hotdog, and merch sales.  That's close to 2.5 million at a full stadium.  The NFL calls Hochul and says, "Get out there and cancel the game. Blame it on whatever you need to, but keep us out of it."

I think a foot of snow would be an equalizer for the Steelers too. 

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22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

EPS sig for 1/19-20 is def there. Needs a bit of work but not bad for d7. 
 

 

IMG_0083.png

IMG_0084.png

IMG_0085.png

Good cluster, but not that amped...still time to work that. I figure what happens on the 16/17th will have an effect on this one, with the s/w's being so close together. 

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13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I would not call this a classic strong Nino look as PDX has a blizzard. 

Wow this is wild for Portland Oregon

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT PST TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  7 to 12 inches. Winds gusting 55 to 70 mph.

* WHERE...In Oregon, Western Columbia River Gorge and Central
  Columbia River Gorge. In Washington, Western Columbia River
  Gorge and Central Columbia River Gorge.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to midnight PST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility, with white-out conditions
  at times. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. The
  cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on
  exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...With choppy waves on the Columbia River,
  expect freezing spray to create ice accumulations on areas near
  the river including I-84.

 

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43 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Hyperbole much?  Dec. 23 was 0.07° hotter than Dec. 22, and Jan to date is running 4.5° less hot than Jan. 23.


I'd it's not IMBY, then I don't care. I'd rather watch the game.

Might be able to see nothing but snowflakes.  :(

Boston is 4.6 above for January not including today.

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33 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said:

It all comes down to the lost beer, hotdog, and merch sales.  That's close to 2.5 million at a full stadium.  The NFL calls Hochul and says, "Get out there and cancel the game. Blame it on whatever you need to, but keep us out of it."

Not sure if this is tongue in cheek, but I kind of doubt that played in.  This is Buffalo after all.  There would be zero lost beer and hotdog sales.

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25 minutes ago, radarman said:

Not sure if this is tongue in cheek, but I kind of doubt that played in.  This is Buffalo after all.  There would be zero lost beer and hotdog sales.

That stadium will be full 100% no matter what the call is. Been there. Those are hearty tough people and they only have the Bills and snow. Thats it. They are all in!

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48 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Wow this is wild for Portland Oregon

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT PST TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  7 to 12 inches. Winds gusting 55 to 70 mph.

* WHERE...In Oregon, Western Columbia River Gorge and Central
  Columbia River Gorge. In Washington, Western Columbia River
  Gorge and Central Columbia River Gorge.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to midnight PST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility, with white-out conditions
  at times. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. The
  cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on
  exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...With choppy waves on the Columbia River,
  expect freezing spray to create ice accumulations on areas near
  the river including I-84.

 

Hippie stoner :weenie:'S losing their pot in snow drifts?

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49 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Wow this is wild for Portland Oregon

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT PST TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  7 to 12 inches. Winds gusting 55 to 70 mph.

* WHERE...In Oregon, Western Columbia River Gorge and Central
  Columbia River Gorge. In Washington, Western Columbia River
  Gorge and Central Columbia River Gorge.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to midnight PST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility, with white-out conditions
  at times. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. The
  cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on
  exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...With choppy waves on the Columbia River,
  expect freezing spray to create ice accumulations on areas near
  the river including I-84.

 

My niece lives out there, just texted her to what it's like.

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