ORH_wxman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 6 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: So the big question hanging in the room is, will the block end up suppressing this into a mid atlantic storm? Reminds me a bit of the blizzard in 2016 ( I think that was the year) The key is what dendrite said above…you get a piece of the PV phasing into it and that typically helps bring it north some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Tip…please do not start a thread for the 20th. 1 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Se Mass special on the gfs for the 19th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Tip…please do not start a thread for the 20th. I am a fan of John's threads. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 John's ability to assess the most minute details at H5 is second to none....like the split in the SW out west that ruined the Tuesday deal. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 13 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Se Mass special on the gfs for the 19th Great place for the GFS one week out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 2 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think that’s already favored for most and very likely for those SE of 95 19.5" is about normal for this point in the season IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The key is what dendrite said above…you get a piece of the PV phasing into it and that typically helps bring it north some. Hopefully for once we can have something work in our favor when it comes to the PV chunk and phasing....it's been a rough 2 seasons down here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 60⁰ and sun down here....feels great! It better snow soon or spring mode starts early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Need Bob to start a thread. Hope he’s ok. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Need Bob to start a thread. Hope he’s ok. Hes good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: John's ability to assess the most minute details at H5 is second to none....like the split in the SW out west that ruined the Tuesday deal. I see 3 issues Tuesday. One is the s/w at hr 66 that’s flying off the coast here and sort of stealing some baroclinic energy. Second is the main s/w trough that has a s/w off the SE coast at hr 84 and the stronger one to the NW. it just looks like they compete and can’t congeal in time for a bigger deal. But a ribbon of fronto is not out of the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 31 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I am a fan of John's threads. It’s tongue in cheek…his threads are just notorious for sne snows not materializing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Need Bob to start a thread. Hope he’s ok. He says hello from our text thread (Me, Brett and Bob) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I see 3 issues Tuesday. One is the s/w at hr 66 that’s flying off the coast here and sort of stealing some baroclinic energy. Second is the main s/w trough that has a s/w off the SE coast at hr 84 and the stronger one to the NW. it just looks like they compete and can’t congeal in time for a bigger deal. But a ribbon of fronto is not out of the question. This was never supposed to be big. It’s going to be a lot 2-4/3-6 deals here on out 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 30 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: John's ability to assess the most minute details at H5 is second to none....like the split in the SW out west that ruined the Tuesday deal. Flow bifurcation FTL? Imagine him being a TV met trying to explain this stuff on air lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just now, H2Otown_WX said: Flow bifurcation FTL? Imagine him being a TV met trying to explain this stuff on air lol The cordillera cryosphere is burgeoning. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Everyone prepared for the big warmup for a few days around 1/25 give or take a few days? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Everyone prepared for the big warmup for a few days around 1/25 give or take a few days? Hopefully we can avoid any major torching. GFS kind of shows how. We get some days in the 40a but no warm rainstorms. Then pattern reload out west toward month-end which makes sense since all the ensembles show that too as MJO goes back around to phase 6/7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Rain seems to be lightening up. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Hopefully we can avoid any major torching. GFS kind of shows how. We get some days in the 40a but no warm rainstorms. Then pattern reload out west toward month-end which makes sense since all the ensembles show that too as MJO goes back around to phase 6/7 The post relaxation period looks like a great pattern and hopefully more durable than the upcoming colder period. MJO suggests it’s possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 16 minutes ago, weathafella said: Everyone prepared for the big warmup for a few days around 1/25 give or take a few days? Yeah... I think qg and the Pope are banking on it so they can keep the trolling alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 37 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s tongue in cheek…his threads are just notorious for sne snows not materializing. think you're mistaking me with someone else there. just nailed the one last week from 7 days out - hello.... secondly? i don't care about people's paranoia. lol. seriously I don't. i start threads for interesting periods/event - which in the winter ... just about anything qualifies as better than sitting around waiting in 40 F dim sloped sun over bare earth. i will add this ... there's some memory fabrication going on, most likely. people need to appease this addiction to seeing big blue gpf bombs on illustrated guidance and so, if that doesn't materialize in the guidance after a thread is posted ... there's this associated of that discomfort to the thread poster - which is as ludicrous and unfair as what ya'll do to your selves waiting on d-drip in the first place. i don't ever own any responsibility to that. plus, it is also pretty clear that the content of the thread starters are seldom read with comprehension, because there are often plenty of qualifiers in that should/could be used to temper confidence and or impact expectations. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 58F and the sun is out. Nice to have these days every once in a while in the winter. Though the wind is picking up and clouds are to my west so I’m guessing this will be ending soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: think you're mistaking me with someone else there. just nailed the one last week from 7 days out - hello.... secondly? i don't care about people's paranoia. lol. seriously I don't. i start threads for interesting periods/event - which in the winter ... just about anything qualifies as better than sitting around waiting in 40 F dim sloped sun over bare earth. i will add this ... there's some memory fabrication going on, most likely. people need to appease this addiction to seeing big blue gpf bombs on illustrated guidance and so if that doesn't materialize in the guidance after a thread is posted ... don't ever own any responsibility to that. plus, it is also pretty clear that the content of the thread starters are seldom read with comprehension, because there are often plenty of qualifiers in that should/could be used to temper confidence and or impact expectations. No it’s you but i’m just joshing. It’s all voodoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: think you're mistaking me with someone else there. just nailed the one last week from 7 days out - hello.... secondly? i don't care about people's paranoia. lol. seriously I don't. i start threads for interesting periods/event - which in the winter ... just about anything qualifies as better than sitting around waiting in 40 F dim sloped sun over bare earth. i will add this ... there's some memory fabrication going on, most likely. people need to appease this addiction to seeing big blue gpf bombs on illustrated guidance and so, if that doesn't materialize in the guidance after a thread is posted ... there's this associated of that discomfort to the thread poster - which is as ludicrous and unfair as what ya'll do to your selves waiting on d-drip in the first place. i don't ever own any responsibility to that. plus, it is also pretty clear that the content of the thread starters are seldom read with comprehension, because there are often plenty of qualifiers in that should/could be used to temper confidence and or impact expectations. He was being facetious just yanking your chain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: No it’s you but i’m just joshing. It’s all voodoo. 1 minute ago, DavisStraight said: He was being facetious just yanking your chain. He is batting below the Mendoza line when he long leads. Way too early many times. Great analysis of model changes though. He has hit some home runs but as we know last 2 years there have been lots of strikeouts. Nothing wrong with adding thoughts to pattern threads but 7 day leads on storm threats ,meh wasted space mostly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Bills game canceled.....sissies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just now, Dan76 said: Bills game canceled.....sissies. They were talking of moving it, when they gonna play? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Hopefully we can avoid any major torching. GFS kind of shows how. We get some days in the 40a but no warm rainstorms. Then pattern reload out west toward month-end which makes sense since all the ensembles show that too as MJO goes back around to phase 6/7 How torchy are we talking? It's 60° today in mid-January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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