Damage In Tolland Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Tomorrow afternoon looks wild with heavy squalls and wind. Some places will see a couple inches. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Latest NAMSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 36 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Like this would happen anyway across the entire country... Laughable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13 Author Share Posted January 13 Last one out, shut off the lights—check out the geese. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Like this would happen anyway across the entire country... Laughable. It will for a few days 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Pacific does rapidly improve. That’s a good EPO and actually a workable +NAO with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pacific does rapidly improve. That’s a good EPO and actually a workable +NAO with it. When does that translate for the general weather here (end of Jan?) and what is your confidence level in modeling being accurate for then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: When does that translate for the general weather here (end of Jan?) and what is your confidence level in modeling being accurate for then Nothing is confident in this winter lol. But yeah right at the tail end of the month. This winter needs to improve quick or we are high risk of being BN snowfall for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nothing is confident in this winter lol. But yeah right at the tail end of the month. This winter needs to improve quick or we are high risk of being BN snowfall for sure. I think that’s already favored for most and very likely for those SE of 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think that’s already favored for most and very likely for those SE of 95 Except for a 10 mile wide swath in nrn Ma it has blown for all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Like this would happen anyway across the entire country... Laughable. Why is it laughable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 You know winter is busted when ORH is starting a thread for a flurry/squall 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 12 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Why is it laughable? Because he only posts the maps that don't show the real story. Also, when have you seen the entire country from the west coast to the southern border to the east coast to the northern border all in reds? Is it impossible no, but in this pattern I don't see that being a reality, at least not everywhere. You should know by this point that qg is a troll. Just in case you are new to the forum..lol ( PS... See Sandstorm94s response 1 page back... That will answer your question as well ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Feels like spring this morning waking up to fog and 56°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 While we bathe in the dews, MAV has -6° at game time for the Fins in KC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: While we bathe in the dews, MAV has -6° at game time for the Fins in KC. brutal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Looking at 0z guidance, next chance of any significant precip is the ~20th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 There’s a chance DFW and BNA pull off a min below 10° before I do. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Pacific does rapidly improve. That’s a good EPO and actually a workable +NAO with it. In a transitive ( non- linear influence) sense of it ... GOOD! Because I've become leery over the last 24 hours that this -NAO is causing problems with our two events, the 16th and the 20th. There's too much compression in the heights through the integrated manifold, between 70 N and 35N ... over the eastern continent. The flow is physically speeding up as anything attempts to inject into that region ( you know this - just commiserating here...), and that acceleration is absorbing the native mechanics of any S/W ... If the S/W can't impose it's own forcing in the field, no storm. Instead, we end up with models being dense ( stupid ...) about the speed of the flow and having to then speed it up. They have to destroy their own cyclogen parametric/resulting design, as the mid range torpid flows become realistically bombastic in the nearer terms. These models are perfect for prick tease as a technology when it comes to this weather model cinema for joy engagement. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 18 minutes ago, dendrite said: There’s a chance DFW and BNA pull off a min below 10° before I do. Not to be a dick ( seriously ) but this has never impressed me so much when that happens. As we move from autumns into winters ... often enough the first cold intrusions are provided by a -EPO. Half of which plumb heights down dramatically W of 100 W. That type of scenario drills cold west first - probably happens more times than we may think (historically), from mid Novies to early January? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, dendrite said: While we bathe in the dews, MAV has -6° at game time for the Fins in KC. Playoff football of yore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not to be a dick ( seriously ) but this has never impressed me so much when that happens. As we move from autumns into winters ... often enough the first cold intrusions are provided by a -EPO. Half of which plumb heights down dramatically W of 100 W. That type of scenario drills cold west first - probably happens more times than we may think (historically), from mid Novies to early January? I understand the gist of your point, but disagree in this instance. It’s mid January…not early December. CON snuck an 8° in the other day while I stayed mixed and had a min of 11°, but their latest sub 10° on record is 1/16. DFW has been below 10° once since 1996. BNA has been below 10° once since 2018. We’re not talking Amarillo here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 GFS is gonna go big this run for 1/19-20 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 34 minutes ago, dendrite said: DFW has been below 10° once since 1996. As an aside, the low of 2 they put up on 2/16/2021 in today's global climate, and with the massive local growth that's occurred and associated UHI impacts, has to be the most anomalous number in their entire climo record. Next lowest going forward on the calendar is 10. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is gonna go big this run for 1/19-20 Almost a full capture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 hours ago, Sandstorm94 said: Latest NAM Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk I’d take an inch here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is gonna go big this run for 1/19-20 Yeah…dropping a piece of the PV in behind the digging s/w is usually a recipe to go nuclear. It always brings back fond memories for me of March 01. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is gonna go big this run for 1/19-20 So the big question hanging in the room is, will the block end up suppressing this into a mid atlantic storm? Reminds me a bit of the blizzard in 2016 ( I think that was the year) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 GEM is close to something decent for the 19-20th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Hey snow on NE winds. I’m floored lol. That’s the yore that I recall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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