WxWatcher007 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: This was never supposed to be a retention season. Right. Adding data to my post, since I moved back for the 2018-19 season I’ve recorded continuous snowpack at my location at or above ten days twice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This was never supposed to be a retention season. Haven’t had a decent retention season since 2020-21…most of our good retention seasons come during weakish ENSO….a few exceptions like 2010-11 or 2007-08…tho even that year had quite a few thaws…they just quickly were followed by another snow event. That said, a nice retention stretch wouldn’t shock me this year. February has a shot at it if we can build a semi-permanent PNA ridge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Haven’t had a decent retention season since 2020-21…most of our good retention seasons come during weakish ENSO….a few exceptions like 2010-11 or 2007-08…tho even that year had quite a few thaws…they just quickly were followed by another snow event. That said, a nice retention stretch wouldn’t shock me this year. February has a shot at it if we can build a semi-permanent PNA ridge. No, I could see it in February...I was just speaking of the season in the DM aggregate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No, I could see it in February...I was just speaking of the season in the DM aggregate. Are you confident Feb won’t have a typical torch? I would say thaw but there is nothing to thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This was never supposed to be a retention season. Latitude. We'll finish this mess with 12-13" pack and >3" SWE. We managed to reach 36" last season even though it was the warmest of 25 cold seasons (DJFM) here. I could see us going into the 20s by 1/17. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIsound Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Matunuck RI. Ocean Mist.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 25 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Are you confident Feb won’t have a typical torch? I would say thaw but there is nothing to thaw. Yes. February won't be a torch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 25 minutes ago, tamarack said: Latitude. We'll finish this mess with 12-13" pack and >3" SWE. We managed to reach 36" last season even though it was the warmest of 25 cold seasons (DJFM) here. I could see us going into the 20s by 1/17. I meant for SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Gon snow the next 10 days, We build. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 GFS is going to be a lot flatter for 1/15-16 this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is going to be a lot flatter for 1/15-16 this run. Colder for coastal areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Nice little system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Nice little system. Almost looks like 3/4/19-lite based on QPF distribution that run. But hell, while 6-10 would be nice, I'd take half that prior to the arctic cold behind it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nice little system. There’s Rays Op run he was looking for. You ask, and you shall receive. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is going to be a lot flatter for 1/15-16 this run. NAO pushing..doing it’s work… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Canadian gets it done too with a bit of a scraper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Nice little critter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Canadian gets it done too with a bit of a scraper. Actually a pretty good hit over SE areas. But for interior more like an advisory event. But even if we're not getting huge totals, even hitting on a few of these advisory threats would go a long ways toward helping us have an AN snow season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Almost looks like 3/4/19-lite based on QPF distribution that run. But hell, while 6-10 would be nice, I'd take half that prior to the arctic cold behind it. Yep, just want something white that will last and we'll see how it is going forward. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Actually reminds me a lot like 2/5/16, especially on the Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Actually a pretty good hit over SE areas. But for interior more like an advisory event. But even if we're not getting huge totals, even hitting on a few of these advisory threats would go a long ways toward helping us have an AN snow season. Yep, just need to keep getting production. The 20th continues being one to watch too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 Total wipeout at my office on the CT line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 GEFS aren't really biting, but on the other hand...given that trough..I don't think it's a big concern for me at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, CoastalWx said: GEFS aren't really biting, but on the other hand...given that trough..I don't think it's a big concern for me at the moment. Don’t worry. The EURO will cut it to KBUF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Total wipeout at my office on the CT line. Folks should be happy in SNE, They don't like pack anyways. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The ensemble signal is pretty paltry...I'm wondering if we don't eventually kick that entire cyclogenic can a bit closer to the ~20th. Yea, this makes more sense to me...I don't think that event will be a huge deal. 50 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is going to be a lot flatter for 1/15-16 this run. 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Actually a pretty good hit over SE areas. But for interior more like an advisory event. But even if we're not getting huge totals, even hitting on a few of these advisory threats would go a long ways toward helping us have an AN snow season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Folks should be happy in SNE, They don't like pack anyways. I like having a snowpack 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GEFS aren't really biting, but on the other hand...given that trough..I don't think it's a big concern for me at the moment. Rather odd that only 3 GEFS members have it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Folks should be happy in SNE, They don't like pack anyways. Lol. While I like retention, I’m happy with continual replenishment. Just avoid bare ground. It’s a bad look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Rather odd that only 3 GEFS members have it The pressures are high so a lot of them won't show up either on that product...I think they have to be sub-1005. But the mean QPF isn't that impressive anyway...it gets maybe an inch or two back to I-95. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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