40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The only thing cutters reset is our expectations for winter. Nah, they can promote wave breaking and polar heat transport. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nah, they can promote wave breaking and polar heat transport. It’s funny to me how I went from canceling winter last year to one of the most optimistic people around here. These massive cutters are just part of a truly large scale and durable pattern change. Even if the other day were a total fail I’d be confident in a big shift in our opportunities post January 15-20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Cutters are like anything else...they can either deconstructively of constructively interfere with other signals, so they aren't a smoking-gun panacea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nah, they can promote wave breaking and polar heat transport. Yea I know they can. Two big ones back to back better do it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Nice interior hit on Euro. Big run for Berks into NNE especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: It’s funny to me how I went from canceling winter last year to one of the most optimistic people around here. These massive cutters are just part of a truly large scale and durable pattern change. Even if the other day were a total fail I’d be confident in a big shift in our opportunities post January 15-20. If we don’t score after these razor bladers and with the great blocky pattern upcoming, I’m ready to punt my optimism and would turn my team into a TFlizz winter defense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Some flakes to start even here in the bowels of DV.... I know it won't last but any flakes are nice to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Snow to ice here would be a nasty event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If we don’t score after these razor bladers and with the great blocky pattern upcoming, I’m ready to punt my optimism and would turn my team into a TFlizz winter defense. I can tell We all have our limits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Back to Back Euro runs of 6-12" west of 91 then a monster ice storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 what ice storm? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Back to Back Euro runs of 6-12" west of 91 then a monster ice storm.. huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I think we need another good sized snowstorm in the Jan 15-25 period to go into February with a decent chance at an AN snow season. You can sometimes afford to whiff on a decent pattern and still do well overall for the season but that’s usually because you already weaseled a good storm or two in a garbage pattern…but we haven’t done that this winter since we punted December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: what ice storm? Same storm snow to ice for west of 91 in SNE ... I know I didn't expect it either but low levels are frigid when 850s torch.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I know I didn't expect it either but low levels are frigid when 850s torch.. Oh the cstl? That's probably more sleet with that track. My guess anyways. Cold below 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Seemo made it sound like it was 3 systems. Two snowers and an ice storm. He’s probably posting in between fanny lunges. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I do think a big icestorm is legit threat this year 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Oh the cstl? That's probably more sleet with that track. My guess anyways. Cold below 850. ya 925s are pretty cold, and rates would probably be too much .. its a 6-9 hour window .. it has a relatively large area from Virgina to BDL with .50 to 1.00" accretion lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 That's pretty darn cold at the end of the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I do think a big icestorm is legit threat this year Agree. Juicy gorillas with a good cold source in canada. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Seemo made it sound like it was 3 systems. Two snowers and an ice storm. It’s more like two Rainers and something mixed with rain for #3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Seemo made it sound like it was 3 systems. Two snowers and an ice storm. He’s probably posting in between fanny lunges. lol exactly , members getting trapped under the bar while im spotting with my left hand and uploading the euro on my right hand 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Two big cutters followed by two big EC events. The 20th is probably loading at the end of that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Fairly good signal on the EPS next week. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Fairly good signal on the EPS next week. that's what we're waiting on.. imho i mean, these euro runs fancy a black holes in the d6-10 range, particularly the latter half of that. as you know. the telecon spread wants a big deal between w va and NS routing - we're talking after the cutters here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 14 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: lol exactly , members getting trapped under the bar while im spotting with my left hand and uploading the euro on my right hand OUCH! What kinda place you running there? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 24 minutes ago, Hazey said: That's pretty darn cold at the end of the euro. That ending frame on that Euro is an overbearing -NAO suppression look. That kind of rock bottom -NAO is actually not what people want - or shouldn't if they know what's what. My guess would be that it is better to have models signal the elephant's ass at D10 than on D4 ...In other words, it's unlikely to verify like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Anyone care to provide a Euro total snowfall map through Jan 17? Just for getting off like to see what potential is for western and Northern ME. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Anyone care to provide a Euro total snowfall map through Jan 17? Just for getting off like to see what potential is for western and Northern ME. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using TapatalkToo funny, "getting off" was supposed to be "grins"..... interpretive text algorithm is deviantSent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, toller65 said: Anyone care to provide a Euro total snowfall map through Jan 17? Just for getting off like to see what potential is for western and Northern ME. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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