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January 2024 -- Discussion


moneypitmike
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On 1/6/2024 at 9:26 AM, jbenedet said:

You’ve been tracking a crap storm potential for 10 days. We knew.


Enjoy mostly white rain. 
 

 

 

 

 

5 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

You all can put me on mute. Don't care.

Your loss; not mine.

My man Joey pots and Pans

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1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

Bro get a life. Seriously. January snowfall expectations have gone DOWN even with yesterday's storm. Probability is absolutely lost on you. Even the most basic shit.

I said to close the shades. You'd be much better off. I stand by it. Or we could all be holding on with great expectations following your BS, for what will be a "Don't blink, your snow is gone, January." Ratter.

January is running as expected. My well below normal snowfall forecast to verify. Now you're clinging onto this storm because your January forecast and seasonal forecast is trending from worse to abysmal. You're the fool pounding your chest when January --despite this last storm--looks like dogshit against your calls. With 2 major stemwinders dumping on the midwest, and cutting the warm sector to Quebec City.  Funny just a few short weeks ago you and brooklyn were celebrating those weeklies for this???? :huh: 

Good to know you're still standing by your shit call of Normal to AN snowfall this winter. Can't wait for the facade of accountability "I was wrong" mea culpa. And we're supposed to think this means something.

Ratter odds are up; don't get it twisted.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

@40/70 BenchmarkNormal to AN snowfall forecast for 2023-2024.

How it's going: snowless December. One SECS in January while blizzards slam the Midwest. OOPS.

 

"I was wrong about December"

"I was wrong about January"..

"I was wrong about....." 

 

Wow. Appreciate the honesty.

 

:clown:

 

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

What an angry, bitter, impotent and ineffectual little man....I'm truly sorry that you are so unhappy with your lot in life, but I suggest you take action to change it, as opposed to projecting it onto others.

For the record, here is my January excerpt for reference.

January 2024 Outlook

January Analogs: 1958,1964,1966,1973,1978,1983,1987,1988,1992, 2010 (x2), 2015, 2016(x2)
This should largely be a tale of two months, as the warmer than average first half should give way to a colder second half that will be accompanied by the first of two historic seasonal snowfall potentials. The first half of the month should focus appreciable snowfall across the interior of southern New England, however, the coastal plane should join with a vengeance. A NESIS caliber storm is likely during the window between approximately January 22 and February 5, however, there is a possibility that it will be focused to the south of New England. The PNA should remain variable, which will continue to fuel an active pattern as the PV grows increasingly more disturbed in the wake of a SSW during the window from about Christmas through January 8. 
 
 H5 composite:
1951-2010
JAN%2051%20H5.jpeg
 
 

 
1991-2020:
jan%2091.jpeg
 
 
January 2024 Forecast Temp Anomalies:
 
1951-2010:
 
AVvXsEgFTbAmzT_hsqGHa2SMIueAAHV8BwVSx1Lc
 
The month should finish from near normal to 2 degrees F above average over New England due to the magnitude of the late month cold not being able to negate the early warmth. However, the Mid Atlantic should be normal to 2 degrees F below average.

1991-2020:
 
AVvXsEgsg7J1z-XZwWsQdlK55O9uzdzewp9Kb4u0

 
 

January 2024 Forecast Precip Anomalies:
 
1951-2010:
 
JAN%2051%20PRECIP.jpeg
 
 

1991-2020:
 
JAN%2091%20PRECIP.jpeg
 
 

It would not be a surprise if precipitation was underestimated especially during the month of January in the analog composite, as the degree of warmth in the oceans should ensure plenty of 
moisture availability.

 

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Someone doesn’t like us 

mpuXZMI.png

 

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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think our forum offers some of the most insightful met analysis in between the back and forth, which I don't mind. But to each their own, I guess.

it does for sure but the insults and personal attacks should be be happening.  (edit-it's not sure here it's other places too which unfortunately happens when we we get patterns like this )

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Just now, Great Snow 1717 said:

..and by the way if you are ever in Methuen you can tell me that to my face...lol....we both know that isn't happening ...lol

I am 66 lol. 6 4 285 black belt, should we have a go so I can hit you with assault on the elderly. Jesus man lighten up

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Just now, Ginx snewx said:

I am 66 lol. 6 4 285 black belt, should we have a go so I can hit you with assault on the elderly. Jesus man lighten up

 

Just now, Great Snow 1717 said:

...typical internet tough guy..big balls online, no balls face to face...lol

Would  you like to meet Bubba my correctional friend in Walpole?

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I think our forum offers some of the most insightful met analysis in between the back and forth, which I don't mind. But to each their own, I guess.

Agree. Many who might be more of an audience member like myself maybe don’t understand the dynamics from the active members. They might be taking the playful banter as rude where me I’ve been here long enough to know it’s joking around or ball busting.


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1 minute ago, Spaizzo said:


Agree. Many who might be more of an audience member like myself maybe don’t understand the dynamics from the active members. They might be taking the playful banter as rude where me I’ve been here long enough to know it’s joking around or ball busting.


.

It's post storm and we always scree around.  Nothing harmful just joking and ball busting stuff. Good times. Great storm. On to the 16th

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