40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 For the record, he is right. December was clearly worse/warmer/less snowy than I expected. In case I hadn't already made that abundantly clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 CT Rhode Island SE MA up to BOSTON. BUST. Most people live here. OOPS. This is trending well into ratter already for these locations; not even considering the next two cutters. Good luck @40/70 Benchmark Hopefully all these people haven't been paying attention... 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Ray be livin' rent-free in the Pope's head. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Back to back massive cutters will lead to a coastal track eventually right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 29 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This should largely be a tale of two months, as the warmer than average first half should give way to a colder second half that will be accompanied by the first of two historic seasonal snowfall potentials. The first half of the month should focus appreciable snowfall across the interior of southern New England @jbenedetI assume as a meteorologist you are proficient in reading comprehension, correct? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 10 minutes ago, jbenedet said: CT Rhode Island SE MA up to BOSTON. BUST. Most people live here. OOPS. This is trending well into ratter already for these locations; not even considering the next two cutters. Good luck @40/70 Benchmark Hopefully all these people haven't been paying attention... Talk about being disingenuous with this graphic. Selecting "24 Hours" misses most of the snowfall that occurred with this event. Despite personal biases and/or emotions, let's be accurate. 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 9 minutes ago, jbenedet said: CT Rhode Island SE MA up to BOSTON. BUST. Most people live here. OOPS. This is trending well into ratter already for these locations; not even considering the next two cutters. Good luck @40/70 Benchmark Hopefully all these people haven't been paying attention... You cherry picked a chart that doesn’t even show most of the snowfall. Good lord 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Pope trying rope-a-dope and the forum unanimously yelling nope. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Pope trying rope-a-dope and the forum unanimously yelling nope. Aspeta Santus una Padre Santus hey all of you weenies, get off a my lawn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: Pope trying rope-a-dope and the forum unanimously yelling nope. Funniest part is I didn't even catch that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Lol dude making up fake snowfall maps on his own . That CT/ RI map he just had his mother draw up is hilarious 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 There is a thing in our society now about going on the offense/attacking other people for the things that are actually your faults and your wrongs. It shows up everywhere, including this board. It is both obvious and dysfunctional. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Funniest part is I didn't even catch that. Imagine on Jan 8th with most inland peeps now at or above normal snow ytd, telling you that it will be a below normal year with such confidence . Shit 1 more like yesterday for many and and a couple of 3 to 6s and they are normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 the best part of this is that he (an actual meteorologist according to his tag, anyway) is attacking and comparing his "forecast" to Ray's. And Ray is a hobbyist. what a fucking loser. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: There is a thing in our society now about going on the offense/attacking other people for the things that are actually your faults and your wrongs. It shows up everywhere, including this board. It is both obvious and dysfunctional. i think it’s the Niña background state 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 There he goes again…couldn’t handle another brutal Sunday so off he goes on another Monday morning bender. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 26 minutes ago, jbenedet said: CT Rhode Island SE MA up to BOSTON. BUST. Most people live here. OOPS. This is trending well into ratter already for these locations; not even considering the next two cutters. Good luck @40/70 Benchmark Hopefully all these people haven't been paying attention... refresh my memory: was this storm supposed to be a suppressed whiff, or was it supposed to be a rainer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 50 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just comes in spraying Nuns with wine and throwing the Eucharist around like frisbees. You are so good at this…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 32 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Back to back massive cutters will lead to a coastal track eventually right? I would think so actually. What I take away from the season so far is that we have a lot of juicy systems. As the pattern slowly shifts with an NAO fed by strong cutters? We probably have a really good period of winter. We’ve seen this happen in many winters past. I’m not a meteorologist, but I am certainly feeling optimistic about what happens up here at least from the 13th on, particularly from the 15th. Up my way we are getting close to 2 feet of snow so far this year and I think Brian is closer to 30 inches. That’s not bad and we’ll probably double that by the first week of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 12 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: i think it’s the Niña background state Actually, I think our problems have more to do with the Niños than the Ninas if you know what I mean. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Those two cutters/screamers are gonna hurt. What a shame can't even get cold and dry to enjoy the winter landscape. Ohwell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 CT Rhode Island SE MA up to BOSTON. BUST. Most people live here. OOPS. This is trending well into ratter already for these locations; not even considering the next two cutters. Good luck [mention=100]40/70 Benchmark[/mention] Hopefully all these people haven't been paying attention...Most of CT seemed to line up with forecast. Most forecasts were straight forward with the what ifs. Lower CT had been I. The 2-10 range depending on trends and dynamics. Closer to event we were lowered to 3-6. We reached 3” before the rain and probably got another inch post the change over. Seems pretty spot on. People need to actually listen or read and not just get distracted by potential snowfall maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, Hazey said: Those two cutters/screamers are gonna hurt. What a shame can't even get cold and dry to enjoy the winter landscape. Ohwell. No cold outside of a day or two here. Been a nightmare so far but at least we got a plowable snow yesterday... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 22 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: There is a thing in our society now about going on the offense/attacking other people for the things that are actually your faults and your wrongs. It shows up everywhere, including this board. It is both obvious and dysfunctional. The thing is...everyone knows how difficult even short term forecasting is with respect to complex winter storm systems, never mind seasonal forecasting....all it takes is demonstrating a modicum of humility and tactfulness and people are pretty forgiving, or at least our peers within the weather community are. Hopefully those of us who are not yet mindful of this will be at some point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The thing is...everyone knows how difficult even short term forecasting is with respect to complex winter storm systems, never mind seasonal forecasting....all it takes is demonstrating a modicum of humility and tactfulness and people are pretty forgiving, or at least our peers within the weather community are. Hopefully those of us who are not yet mindful of this will be at some point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 8 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Actually, I think our problems have more to do with the Niños than the Ninas if you know what I mean. The world would be in a better place if Nina’s ruled it, agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 12/23/2023 at 12:48 PM, jbenedet said: If you’re looking for significant cold this is a West of Mississippi River story. Several pieces of guidance are pointing in this direction. At this point, I think the East-central US has some reason for excitement in January; I.e. big snow potential. Not seeing this elsewhere at the moment. This is a N to AN look for the east coast, AN favored in the northeast. On 12/23/2023 at 12:52 PM, jbenedet said: Reposting, as GEPS in general alignment with the GEFS at same timeframe. Take away this far out is some confidence building on severe cold in early to mid January out western half CONUS. UL Ridging in the east.. On 12/24/2023 at 12:44 PM, jbenedet said: def not. Point is, balance of guidance has the core of the PV towards the mountain west. That latest run of the GEFS looks best though for our region. But some caution on that—it’s a bit misleading— you can still see height falls greatest over the SW on that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 22 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: You are so good at this…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Fair....its tough to keep track for the specifics of everyone's take. I do remember you expressing some optimism now that you point that out. My bad on that...I had honestly forgotten. This is why I am sure to include maps because its tough to keep track of. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Someone doesn’t like us 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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