40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Zero below normal across CONUS, warmest December ever across large sections of the country, notice analogue chat goes to +5 while December map goes to +10 and large section of country at +10 and off the chart warmth. I corrected that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: As you should be. Don't give that bozo qg the respect of even answering his post. He doesn't give 2 shits about what you do.... He is just looking to troll and to get the best of you and anyone else who is a Winter enthusiast. I laugh wh never I see his posts now. It's become comical. Well, troll or not....I don't move the goal posts. I have been significantly too cool so far....that is fact. Its not because I am biased, its because seasonal forecasting is hard. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Here is my December analog composite. 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sorry...misleading. Here is the same scale. I did get the general pattern correct, I just wasn't extreme enough, which I think is a more palatable error in a seasonal effort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I did get the general pattern correct, I just wasn't extreme enough, which I think is a more palatable error in a seasonal effort. You are a good forecaster, just need to account more for AGW. Take the forecast and add 3 degrees to what the analogues suggest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was definitely significantly too cool in December, but I think everyone was in the same boat on that....and you never issued a map or forecast, so.... Didn't most people have it warm in December going to a backloaded winter? Not being a dick just asking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, kdxken said: Didn't most people have it warm in December going to a backloaded winter? Not being a dick just asking. Yes. It’s pretty typical El Niño climo for December to be warm and February to be cold. Doesn’t always work of course but it’s a pretty strong correlation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 15 minutes ago, qg_omega said: You are a good forecaster, just need to account more for AGW. Take the forecast and add 3 degrees to what the analogues suggest. Very fair post and I agree. I need to work on how to account for that in the composites. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 16 minutes ago, kdxken said: Didn't most people have it warm in December going to a backloaded winter? Not being a dick just asking. Yes. All I am saying is that qualitatively speaking I had the warmest anomalies and coolest anomalies in the right areas. It's not like I had New England the coolest relative to average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 -1. I believe it’s the first below 0 of the season 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes. All I am saying is that qualitatively speaking I had the warmest anomalies and coolest anomalies in the right areas. It's not like I had New England the coolest relative to average. Got it, you just didn't anticipate such a widespread torch. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 15 minutes ago, kdxken said: Got it, you just didn't anticipate such a widespread torch. Thanks Correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 32 minutes ago, alex said: -1. I believe it’s the first below 0 of the season More to come for you guys, hope its cold like that when I'm up there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 26 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: More to come for you guys, hope its cold like that when I'm up there. Eew why? 20s is perfect. Give me 18-28 and a few inches of upslope every day and I’m all set Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Are there any other threats in the long range after the 20th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, WJX231 said: Are there any other threats in the long range after the 20th? Never. It’s Friday vs the incoming summer…. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Euro ticked colder for Saturday, combine this with 15-20 mph winds and a lot of places will have negative wind chillsSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 55 minutes ago, alex said: Eew why? 20s is perfect. Give me 18-28 and a few inches of upslope every day and I’m all set I like to experience extreme cold, twice I've been up there when it was -30 or better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: I like to experience extreme cold, twice I've been up there when it was -30 or better. I like extreme cold too. Something about how fresh the air feels when you breathe. I've experienced -10F twice in my life, once on 02/14/16 and again on 02/04/23. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 6 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: I like to experience extreme cold, twice I've been up there when it was -30 or better. felt -52 in Quebec once and I'm good with only experiencing it once lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Canadian was pretty close to a big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Canadian was pretty close to a big hit It was also at 12z…hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 It was also at 12z…hmmIsn't the CMC and Reggie suitemates?Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 16 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Canadian was pretty close to a big hit Canadian was pretty close but the gfs took a large step back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Tick tock NW clock...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said: Isn't the CMC and Reggie suitemates? Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Tick tock NW clock... Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk That was a seizable shift north and west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Tick tock NW clock... Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Wow 9" at ACK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Canadian was pretty close but the gfs took a large step back To be honest this looks as close to a SE Mass special as anything in the last 2 years (which isn’t saying much ) but it’s finally cooooollld by the coast and the folks on the Cape that haven’t drank themselves into a stupor last cpl winters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5F. Pretty chilly evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 5F. Pretty chilly evening. I’ve shot up to 10° from a low of 6° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now