brooklynwx99 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 this is what you want to see for the 20th. the TPV splits into two distinct features... a 50/50 ULL and a digging, potent shortwave 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 After this weekend the deep winter sets in... Make sure y'all stay warm!Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 the "clipper from hell" archetype potential seems to be higher than normal for the 20th lmao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 EPS is aggressive with the 20th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Colorful morning here. What’s that old saying? ”Dark at night, Ye have snow blight. Red at dawn your snow’s all gone”? 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Sunday could feature gusts over 50. Looks windy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 7:45 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: So what do you believe happens once the MJO progresses beyond phase 6 as the calendar flips to February? I’m not looking out that far. Post Jan 20th increasingly looks like a torch period, a window of a week or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/11/2024 at 6:56 AM, jbenedet said: But I see a big warmup beginning around the 20th. Not sure it can classify as a January “thaw” given how warm it’s been outside of far interior of NNE, but that’s the cliche. Might pass for a thaw after next week’s cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 18 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I take it you must be infatuated by the heat. It's so funny how you're so anti winter forum. Someone must have really hurt your feelings because you seem to have a vendetta out against this winter forum. Just my observation 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 7 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I take it you must be infatuated by the heat. It's so funny how you're so anti winter forum. Someone must have really hurt your feelings because you seem to have a vendetta out against this winter forum. Just my observation a vendetta????? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 5 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: a vendetta????? Can’t handle the truth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Pope has posted in favor of winter storms before, but he likes to be ahead of the narrative. If he isn’t first on board with a system he tends to run contrarian so that’s why we’re getting a lot of heat trolling right now. But there’s nothing wrong with wanting warmth. There’s no rule where you have to cheer on snow and cold here. But obviously most are posting here with an interest in winter storms so obviously the warmth trolling starts to become a bit disrespectful. I used to cheer on as much cold and snow as possible, but now I’ve flipped and cheer on mild, tame winters. If we can get a biggie then I’m all for it as I like more bang for my buck. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 500mb isn't really telling the truth. Because of the modeled snowpack, the temps at the surface are only warm for two maybe 3 days before they cool off on the GEFS. Now if they are wrong with snowpack, that will probably come in quicker. Just saying verbatim. It's like the opposite in April when we have pretty blues at 500mb, but it's like 5-7F AN at the surface due to sun and downslope conditions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Coming soon to the AMWX streaming service... 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Dumb 4 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 1 hour ago, jbenedet said: I’m not looking out that far. Post Jan 20th increasingly looks like a torch period, a window of a week or more. Fair enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 I would not exactly call this "warm"... Using the same time stamps as your postSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Coming soon to the AMWX streaming service... I still have yet to see that movieSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 29 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: I would not exactly call this "warm"... Using the same time stamps as your post Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk And that’s at 7pm. If there is a snow pack in clear skies, that is a night that will be in the single digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Coming soon to the AMWX streaming service... Why? What's the WX connection/connection with a post in this thread with this? ...Or out of all of the different internet forums that you have open at once (minimum of 10), did you post this one here by mistake? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 12, 2024 Author Share Posted January 12, 2024 Looking good in Cedar Rapids per this picture from my friend out there. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 12 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Why? What's the WX connection/connection with a post in this thread with this? ...Or out of all of the different internet forums that you have open at once (minimum of 10), did you post this one here by mistake? no I did not post by mistake....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 21 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I'll take the over.. I'm still taking the over on the temp for 1/27.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 10 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I'm still taking the over on the temp for 1/27.. That’s a bold call…not sure I’d have the guts to go the over on a 15-day prog of 0F. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 12, 2024 Author Share Posted January 12, 2024 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s a bold call…not sure I’d have the guts to go the over on a 15-day prog of 0F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 GFs is starting sniff out 1/20 a bit more aggressively this run. Good PV lobe separating from the main vortex. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 I haven't been model-watching, but it seems pretty quiet in here. Is the midweek storm gone? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 12, 2024 Author Share Posted January 12, 2024 1 minute ago, PWMan said: I haven't been model-watching, but it seems pretty quiet in here. Is the midweek storm gone? Separate thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 1 minute ago, PWMan said: I haven't been model-watching, but it seems pretty quiet in here. Is the midweek storm gone? There’s a separate thread for the midweek storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said: And that’s at 7pm. If there is a snow pack in clear skies, that is a night that will be in the single digits. Average temp here for Jan 24 is 25/3, so it might be AN (slightly) anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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