Lava Rock Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 33F. Can't even get to sub 32 approaching coldest time of year. Ant wait to look back end of March and say that early Dec had coldest morning lowSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 17 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: 33F. Can't even get to sub 32 approaching coldest time of year. Ant wait to look back end of March and say that early Dec had coldest morning low Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Don’t worry…it’s unfortunately coming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 00z Euro is a light to moderate event. Qpf looks a little weird .seeks like high end advisory/ low end warning type deal Monday night into Tuesday . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Don’t worry…it’s unfortunately coming. Looks like for a week, with best snow chances for SNE of the season. But I see a big warmup beginning around the 20th. Not sure it can classify as a January “thaw” given how warm it’s been outside of far interior of NNE, but that’s the cliche. Might pass for a thaw after next week’s cold. 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Just now, jbenedet said: Looks like for a week, with best snow chances for SNE of the season. But I see a big warmup beginning around the 20th. Not sure it can classify as a January “thaw” given how warm it’s been outside of far interior of NNE, but that’s the cliche. Might pass for a thaw after next week’s cold. It’s a transient cold shot that is a much modified version of the cold over the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 6z gfs with a massive cave to euro with a stronger slower low like the Euro had on the jan 10th 00z run.. not good verbatim .. a lot to iron out on guidacne in that timeframe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 The late January warm up is what looks transient to me. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 A bit SE of the great 12z run on EPS , and also later devloping , still some great hits and very strong lows around BM.. Still a great mean of 4-6" for this forum less SW and more NE as most members really get going in gulf of Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 24 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It’s a transient cold shot that is a much modified version of the cold over the west. Agreed. Not looking frigid. Not severe cold. N to BN for bulk of the week. Closer to N along the coast. But a very big warmup follows. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 9 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 6z gfs with a massive cave to euro with a stronger slower low like the Euro had on the jan 10th 00z run.. not good verbatim .. a lot to iron out on guidacne in that timeframe All that matters to me: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 6z gfs with a massive cave to euro with a stronger slower low like the Euro had on the jan 10th 00z run.. not good verbatim .. a lot to iron out on guidacne in that timeframe I wouldn’t be too worried yet…but then again the Pope is saying there’s a good chance of SNE snow, so ya, the opposite most always happens with P.P(Pope Predictions), so maybe it is bad news. All kidding aside, this thing is far from figured out. Just another possibility. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 I love the later development from an IMBY perspective and am willing to gamble with that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I love the later development from an IMBY perspective and am willing to gamble with that. This is starting to look like a bigger event now the last couple cycles on ensembles as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 29 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It’s a transient cold shot that is a much modified version of the cold over the west. I agree that the worst of the cold will be west, but personally, I am okay with forgoing the opportunity to have the PV queef on my noggin. I agree with the pattern relaxation, but this is not December...its a new pattern with an Aleutian low in place/building PNA and another PV lobe poised for descent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All that matters to me: Yes GEFS looked way better I forgot to include that in the post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I agree that the worst of the cold will be west, but personally, I am okay with forgoing the opportunity to have the PV queef on my noggin. I agree with the pattern relaxation, but this is not December...its a new pattern with an Aleutian low in place/building PNA and another PV lobe poised for descent. Why would we want the worst of the cold here? That would ensure cold and dry with no snowpack since most in SNE will have no snow by Saturday morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I love the later development from an IMBY perspective and am willing to gamble with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 My goal isn't to get to -10*F...its to have as much snowfall possible IMBY...and the month is off to a hell of a start, meltdown not withstanding....but that was expected this season. I have never felt as though it would be a big retention season. That said, I think we have an opportunity for more of that in February. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Why would we want the worst of the cold here? That would ensure dry and cold since most in SNE will have no snow by Saturday morning Certain posters love to focus on what they know will elicit the greatest response and angst. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 I don’t like that the El Niño forcing calmed (relaxed) this month; while El Niño state actually intensified to major territory. I believe that means it is more likely that it makes its biggest appearance yet, as MJO 4,5,6 at end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 6 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I don’t like that the El Niño forcing calmed (relaxed) this month; while El Niño state actually intensified to major territory. I believe that means it is more likely that it makes its biggest appearance yet, as MJO 4,5,6 at end of the month. So what do you believe happens once the MJO progresses beyond phase 6 as the calendar flips to February? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Not one mention of the euro 961 over MVY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Not one mention of the euro 961 over MVY? Looks more like Attleboro to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Not one mention of the euro 961 over MVY? I'm just focusing on Tuesday for now, but ya 980 Delmarva-960 MVY -945 near MT. Washington... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 EPS is great for Tuesday....some tasty members. Looks maybe a hair inside of the BM for the 20th. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 35 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 6z gfs with a massive cave to euro with a stronger slower low like the Euro had on the jan 10th 00z run.. not good verbatim .. a lot to iron out on guidacne in that timeframe 6Z GFS just looks... odd to me for the 16th. No doubt the evolution will change at 12Z lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Not one mention of the euro 961 over MVY? The Big signal everyone has mentioned continues to show up but because the op is a nne special and big rains for SEMATT, it feels better to click past it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 I just feel like the day 10 OP is useless, but just me...you do you and paste away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I just feel like the day 10 OP is useless, but just me...you do you and paste away. It is 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I just feel like the day 10 OP is useless, but just me...you do you and paste away. Yup. Signal there, cool. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now