40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:31 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The only thing cutters reset is our expectations for winter. Expand Nah, they can promote wave breaking and polar heat transport. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:37 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nah, they can promote wave breaking and polar heat transport. Expand It’s funny to me how I went from canceling winter last year to one of the most optimistic people around here. These massive cutters are just part of a truly large scale and durable pattern change. Even if the other day were a total fail I’d be confident in a big shift in our opportunities post January 15-20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Cutters are like anything else...they can either deconstructively of constructively interfere with other signals, so they aren't a smoking-gun panacea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:37 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nah, they can promote wave breaking and polar heat transport. Expand Yea I know they can. Two big ones back to back better do it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Nice interior hit on Euro. Big run for Berks into NNE especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:40 PM, WxWatcher007 said: It’s funny to me how I went from canceling winter last year to one of the most optimistic people around here. These massive cutters are just part of a truly large scale and durable pattern change. Even if the other day were a total fail I’d be confident in a big shift in our opportunities post January 15-20. Expand If we don’t score after these razor bladers and with the great blocky pattern upcoming, I’m ready to punt my optimism and would turn my team into a TFlizz winter defense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Some flakes to start even here in the bowels of DV.... I know it won't last but any flakes are nice to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Snow to ice here would be a nasty event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:45 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If we don’t score after these razor bladers and with the great blocky pattern upcoming, I’m ready to punt my optimism and would turn my team into a TFlizz winter defense. Expand I can tell We all have our limits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Back to Back Euro runs of 6-12" west of 91 then a monster ice storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 what ice storm? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:50 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Back to Back Euro runs of 6-12" west of 91 then a monster ice storm.. Expand huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 I think we need another good sized snowstorm in the Jan 15-25 period to go into February with a decent chance at an AN snow season. You can sometimes afford to whiff on a decent pattern and still do well overall for the season but that’s usually because you already weaseled a good storm or two in a garbage pattern…but we haven’t done that this winter since we punted December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:53 PM, CoastalWx said: what ice storm? Expand Same storm snow to ice for west of 91 in SNE ... I know I didn't expect it either but low levels are frigid when 850s torch.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:56 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: I know I didn't expect it either but low levels are frigid when 850s torch.. Expand Oh the cstl? That's probably more sleet with that track. My guess anyways. Cold below 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Seemo made it sound like it was 3 systems. Two snowers and an ice storm. He’s probably posting in between fanny lunges. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 I do think a big icestorm is legit threat this year 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:57 PM, CoastalWx said: Oh the cstl? That's probably more sleet with that track. My guess anyways. Cold below 850. Expand ya 925s are pretty cold, and rates would probably be too much .. its a 6-9 hour window .. it has a relatively large area from Virgina to BDL with .50 to 1.00" accretion lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 That's pretty darn cold at the end of the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:59 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I do think a big icestorm is legit threat this year Expand Agree. Juicy gorillas with a good cold source in canada. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:58 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Seemo made it sound like it was 3 systems. Two snowers and an ice storm. Expand It’s more like two Rainers and something mixed with rain for #3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 6:58 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Seemo made it sound like it was 3 systems. Two snowers and an ice storm. He’s probably posting in between fanny lunges. Expand lol exactly , members getting trapped under the bar while im spotting with my left hand and uploading the euro on my right hand 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Two big cutters followed by two big EC events. The 20th is probably loading at the end of that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Fairly good signal on the EPS next week. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 7:10 PM, CoastalWx said: Fairly good signal on the EPS next week. Expand that's what we're waiting on.. imho i mean, these euro runs fancy a black holes in the d6-10 range, particularly the latter half of that. as you know. the telecon spread wants a big deal between w va and NS routing - we're talking after the cutters here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 7:01 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: lol exactly , members getting trapped under the bar while im spotting with my left hand and uploading the euro on my right hand Expand OUCH! What kinda place you running there? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 7:00 PM, Hazey said: That's pretty darn cold at the end of the euro. Expand That ending frame on that Euro is an overbearing -NAO suppression look. That kind of rock bottom -NAO is actually not what people want - or shouldn't if they know what's what. My guess would be that it is better to have models signal the elephant's ass at D10 than on D4 ...In other words, it's unlikely to verify like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 Anyone care to provide a Euro total snowfall map through Jan 17? Just for getting off like to see what potential is for western and Northern ME. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 7:27 PM, toller65 said: Anyone care to provide a Euro total snowfall map through Jan 17? Just for getting off like to see what potential is for western and Northern ME. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using TapatalkToo funny, "getting off" was supposed to be "grins"..... interpretive text algorithm is deviantSent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 9, 2024 Share Posted January 9, 2024 On 1/9/2024 at 7:27 PM, toller65 said: Anyone care to provide a Euro total snowfall map through Jan 17? Just for getting off like to see what potential is for western and Northern ME. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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