WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:03 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: He likes reality Expand He does..but he likes to tease a lot too..we know. Snow coming Sunday, and then we flood. Then we improve. That’s reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Maybe the 15th can be a SWFE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:01 PM, WinterWolf said: Scooter likes to agitate the weenies… Expand Lol but we see thru him. Honestly I am on Ray's train good things about to happen once we rid the cutters, which by the way aren't set in stone. Remember this many here called cutter on the 7th back in December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:00 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Post 1/10 doesn’t look that bad in NNE might be some chances Expand This ^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:03 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: He likes reality Expand Does he now. You must be new here. May I suggest you open the Jan 15 and Jan 22 threads. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:03 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: He likes reality Expand So do I.....maybe the PV unceremoniously swings east and its cold and dry, but there is also a chance it drops into a decent SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:05 PM, Ginx snewx said: Lol but we see thru him. Honestly I am on Ray's train good things about to happen once we rid the cutters, which by the way aren't set in stone. Remember this many here called cutter on the 7th back in December Expand A week ago(last Friday), we had many saying January was done/no snow or winter lol. And the usual suspects were even cancelling into February. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:04 PM, CoastalWx said: I’m not being a Debbie. If that trough is sitting on us, it is what it is. Sucks. Expand There is a progression, though....it doesn't just appear over us via osmosis....it needs to move in and then move out. You know damn well the favored periods for large systems are during intervals of mass flux. Man, imagine how many weenies would be force fed anyone daring to project excitement over an hour 360 map showing a blizzard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:16 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: There is a progression, though....it doesn't just appear over us via osmosis....it needs to move in and then move out. You know damn well the favored periods for large systems are during intervals of mass flux. Man, imagine how many weenies would be force fed anyone daring to project excitement over an hour 360 map showing a blizzard. Expand I’m just speaking of the next two weeks though. Not Feb. Pattern blows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Several prominent posters said this week that the winter hinges entirely on what happens Jan 10-17th. And that if that period is lost it makes or breaks the rat. Let’s see where things stand on the 17th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:22 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Several prominent posters said this week that the winter hinges entirely on what happens Jan 10-17th. And that if that period is lost it makes or breaks the rat. Let’s see where things stand on the 17th. Expand Who said that??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:20 PM, CoastalWx said: I’m just speaking of the next two weeks though. Not Feb. Pattern blows. Expand Okay...yea, probably....I think my huge window begins on January 22 through 2/5, so....I don't expect any big dumps prior....hopefully we get lucky with something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:23 PM, Ginx snewx said: Who said that??? Expand Several prominent posters/ Mets. It was all written 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:24 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Several prominent posters/ Mets. It was all written Expand You made it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:22 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Several prominent posters said this week that the winter hinges entirely on what happens Jan 10-17th. And that if that period is lost it makes or breaks the rat. Let’s see where things stand on the 17th. Expand Will implied that week is crucial to how the winter will be perceived ie reaching the season's ceiling and I would agree. Its not necessary to avoid a ratter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:00 PM, CoastalWx said: Sweet. Cold and dry. I’m buckled up. Expand Pattern has been anything but dry and that won't change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:24 PM, Ginx snewx said: You made it up Expand He takes kernels of truth and throws them into a blender. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:24 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Several prominent posters/ Mets. It was all written Expand I always felt that would be a statement week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:24 PM, Ginx snewx said: You made it up Expand No I didn’t . One just posted and the other may or may not address Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:25 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: He takes kernels of truth and throws them into a blender. Expand We know we step back for a week. This 2 week stuff is bunk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:28 PM, Damage In Tolland said: No I didn’t . One just posted and the other may or may not address Expand How in God's name does 1 week in the middle of Jan determine the rest of winter? 2nd half winters can rock. Let's see how it shakes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:25 PM, CoastalWx said: I always felt that would be a statement week. Expand I guess that’s the fear, next week is cutters then we go cold dry between 15th-18th before the pattern resets. I don’t like how the ensembles are pulling the trough back after the tpv swings through in the extended. At the very least I don’t see some pac ext which would lead to pac puke invading the country. We should keep the cold anomalies in the west. For an east coast snowstorm don’t we want the tpv south? It seems lately it has been a meat grinder and not playing nice in the few times it has swung through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:37 PM, Allsnow said: I guess that’s the fear, next week is cutters then we go cold dry between 15th-18th before the pattern resets. I don’t like how the ensembles are pulling the trough back after the tpv swings through in the extended. At the very least I don’t see some pac ext which would lead to pac puke invading the country. We should keep the cold anomalies in the west. For an east coast snowstorm don’t we want the tpv south? It seems lately it has been a meat grinder and not playing nice in the few times it has swung through Expand I think it’s hard to get to normal if we get nothing the 10-17. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:40 PM, CoastalWx said: I think it’s hard to get to normal if we get nothing the 10-17. Expand Do you see a mild risk towards months end with the mjo? I have my doubts we see a sustainable +pna in February with how bad it’s been lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:45 PM, Allsnow said: Do you see a mild risk towards months end with the mjo? I have my doubts we see a sustainable +pna in February with how bad it’s been lately Expand Could get milder end of month if euro ensembles are right and you extrapolate out. Honestly I haven’t looked at Feb. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:00 PM, CoastalWx said: Sweet. Cold and dry. I’m buckled up. Expand Better cinch the straps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:30 PM, Ginx snewx said: How in God's name does 1 week in the middle of Jan determine the rest of winter? 2nd half winters can rock. Let's see how it shakes out. Expand I think they mean that in the really good seasons, you will catch some breaks in an imperfect stretch...so you have the "tenor" of the winter to consider, as well as the simple fact that it makes it easier to have a good season mathematically speaking because there is less ground for February to make up from a climatological snowfall standpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:40 PM, CoastalWx said: I think it’s hard to get to normal if we get nothing the 10-17. Expand Nah they say I lie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:40 PM, CoastalWx said: I think it’s hard to get to normal if we get nothing the 10-17. Expand Its an uphill climb for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On 1/5/2024 at 12:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Nah they say I lie Expand Well, "hard to get to normal" isn't necessarily ratter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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