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January 2024 -- Discussion


moneypitmike
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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

There;s still a very real chance that 1/10 ends up a good front ender for many....whether that's only reserved for CNE/NNE or also SNE still remains to be seen. Euro being stubborn isn't a good sign for the colder solution right now so I'd favor mostly rain for SNE, but maybe it capitulates in these next few cycles. The reason is that the biggest uncertainty seems to be what is going on up north in Quebec east of James Bay with the height field Around D4.5-D5...and that's where model error tends to be larger vs down in the lower latitudes.

we keep hope alive.

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2 hours ago, Layman said:

Are there specific characteristics associated with a cutter that allows it to be sniffed out and held onto so far in advance? 

Not really.  Those on the NW cold side of the cutter on the 10th are fretting and overanalyzing every run of every model, just like this subforum is for this weekend's storm.  There's just a whole lot less of them because it's the midwest.  

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16 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

It was easier to handle when the whole country was warm.  Now we bask while the west has historic cold and snow as the SE ridge and NAO connect, 2024 meet 2023.  

image.thumb.png.bad29d447e4ff66253c6aa8f5094cb1e.png

Okay, maybe for the short term, but that cold has to go somewhere. It will be heading east. Then again, I know who I'm talking to.... 

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