codfishsnowman Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 32 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: ehhh I wouldn't put too much stock into that just yet. That is highly dependent on the mid-week storm. I would not be too surprised if we saw that get shunted south and east a bit and we don't really warm sector at all. That's good that it's on the table and we should get out first measurable of the season here in Death Valley over the weekend. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: That's good that it's on the table and we should get out first measurable of the season here in Death Valley over the weekend. You didn't get any in November? I know Westfield and Springfield did in some areas 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: You didn't get any in November? I know Westfield and Springfield did in some areas There was that one event the few days before Thanksgiving where Westfield did get a few inches, but at least where I am in Springfield we got nada...maybe just some flakes. Did have that Friday where we got snow showers all day and had a Trace but that is about it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 I don’t know I’ve ever seen the Euro run being so disconnected from the ensembles before for the event on the 10th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 17 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: You didn't get any in November? I know Westfield and Springfield did in some areas It was just NW of us in the November event....like Chicopee had an inch but all rain and a few wet flakes where I am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, alex said: I don’t know I’ve ever seen the Euro run being so disconnected from the ensembles before for the event on the 10th Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 That does show that 1/10 even on the EPS is still a legit threat for NNE. OP run was the warmest outlier. Hopefully we can trend that even colder further south. There’s some competing forces though so it’s certainly possible the warmer idea wins out too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: (psst, i think there's a chance that whole system decays into sw flow producer) We've definitely seen that happen a couple times lately. Of course I don't remember storms like Will, so no idea exactly, but do recall a couple Day 7 cutters morphing into SWFEs or non-events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That does show that 1/10 even on the EPS is still a legit threat for NNE. OP run was the warmest outlier. Hopefully we can trend that even colder further south. There’s some competing forces though so it’s certainly possible the warmer idea wins out too. How about SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How about SNE? Pray W drag and Don are putting up graphics for big flooding so I mean ..my guess is in CT you melt your snow (that we assume accumulates Sunday ) and see 2-3” rain on top that of that Need major changes for CT to see a net gain but I suppose at 8 days out that can happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Pray If it’s gotta rain let’s scream again 60-80 . I had a feeling that’s why he didn’t respond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: If it’s gotta rain let’s scream again 60-80 . I had a feeling that’s why he didn’t respond I edited my response but I do keep an eye on W drag and Don posting about a big flooder over a week out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: You didn't get any in November? I know Westfield and Springfield did in some areas I think just east of here (Westfield) missed out. We had two inches at the house here but just a few miles down the road in Simsbury at my shop we didn't even have a dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 15 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Pray W drag and Don are putting up graphics for big flooding so I mean ..my guess is in CT you melt your snow (that we assume accumulates Sunday ) and see 2-3” rain on top that of that Need major changes for CT to see a net gain but I suppose at 8 days out that can happen. Like I said if it’s rain let’s go 60 and screams rather than 39.4 rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashFreeze Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: There was that one event the few days before Thanksgiving where Westfield did get a few inches, but at least where I am in Springfield we got nada...maybe just some flakes. Did have that Friday where we got snow showers all day and had a Trace but that is about it. From the Granville MA East Hartland line down to Barkhamstead there was about an inch or so In that event before Thanksgiving 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 I’m not convinced SNE is a mostly rain event yet on 1/10. Esp for interior. You gotta remember that thing is still 8 days out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: This current 1/7 storm def is more of an El Niño flavor…I was more referring to the pattern that follows. Very La Niña as we start building SE ridge and western trough. Hopefully blocking is good enough to keep us on the cold side most of the time. That said, Euro doesn’t want to cooperate much with the 1:10 threat. Not nearly as CADish and cold as the other 12z guidance. We’ll see what EPS says in a bit. Basically on the same page... I think some folks a dismissing the possible -NAO impacts on 1/10 storm; given the time range I would be careful that wintery impacts won't occur further south into parts of interior SNE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 70mb pressure gradient on the storm on the tenth over about 600-700 miles yikes 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Saw the sun for the first time since before Christmas up here. Bluebird and fresh snow. Winter wonderland vibes. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 10 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 70mb pressure gradient on the storm on the tenth over about 600-700 miles yikes On line one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: On line one November 1950 incoming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kazimirkai Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: I’m not convinced SNE is a mostly rain event yet on 1/10. Esp for interior. You gotta remember that thing is still 8 days out. How have the ensembles been trending with that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 45 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Saw the sun for the first time since before Christmas up here. Bluebird and fresh snow. Winter wonderland vibes. I saw it waaaay off in the distance today from the other side: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 16 minutes ago, WJX231 said: November 1950 incoming? If storm 1 misses south like 18z’s all did.. we may well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 8 minutes ago, kazimirkai said: How have the ensembles been trending with that one? They’ve been trending colder overall. But it’s not been a straight line trend. A bit noisy but it’s def a colder look than 48-60 hours ago. But it could easily trend warmer like the OP Euro today too. It’s 8 days away so we’re not gonna know a whole lot more until probably later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 On 12/30/2023 at 5:26 PM, mreaves said: We don't usually have instrumental accompaniment to our Church music/Christmas carols, but this was pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 So we are already on to the Jan 10 storm? What happened to the one that was supposed to be coming this weekend? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: So we are already on to the Jan 10 storm? What happened to the one that was supposed to be coming this weekend? It's on a separate thread, still on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 18 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: It's on a separate thread, still on. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 70mb pressure gradient on the storm on the tenth over about 600-700 miles yikes If the low-level cold is erased, it could be a fun day for a drive the the beach. But still eons into the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now