jbenedet Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:33 PM, Layman said: Can confirm. More geese than people at the dying Fox Run Mall. Has a distinct late March, early April feel out there today. Expand Yea first time since last winter season. Add it to the growing list of signs pointing to a big warmup in coming weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:42 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Closing the shades. Reassess around 1/20. Expand Yea that’s what I’m feeling. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 PGW 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:42 PM, jbenedet said: Yea that’s what I’m feeling. Expand Closing shades for 3 weeks in Jan with a -nao in Central New England is not smart. Maybe down here on south coast we get skunked but even we can get lucky down here in the tropics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Who needs models when you have green grass and geese. 4 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:47 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Closing shades for 3 weeks with a -nao in Central New England is not smart. Maybe down here on south coast we get skunked but even we can get lucky down here in the tropics. Expand Especially when that blocking is starting to CAD the 1-10 system. That one might not have rain for at least NNE. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:47 PM, CoastalWx said: Who needs models when you have green grass and geese. Expand Yup..Pope off to the races today and canceling all of January, on 12/30. Hmmm… I think we’ve seen this line of thinking before. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:11 PM, jbenedet said: To be sure, I think Jan is going to torch. The grass has greened up and it will stick for the next couple of weeks at least. That’s what all signs are pointing too-observationally, MJO, global guidance, and even the guys at the CPC. I’m not saying it will never snow again, but we are in a very poor synoptic pattern for snow at the moment, and it actually looks like it gets worse before it gets better. First week of Jan looks slightly AN, but then we’re back to +AN. I do think it makes sense to wait until that analog consensus for El Nino’s —very late Jan into February period which tends to have a large scale switch to wintry conditions. Although, before getting more enthusiastic for a big comeback we need that timeframe to come within view. Expand One thing is for sure, the folks who were saying that this El Niño already peaked are going to be dead wrong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:42 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Closing the shades. Reassess around 1/20. Expand weird time to close the shades 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 2:32 PM, MJO812 said: That's cheap That's about 25 dollars at Citifield. Expand We are turning into Argentina 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:53 PM, snowman19 said: One thing is for sure, the folks who were saying that this El Niño already peaked are going to be dead wrong Expand Congrats daily anomalies. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 6:02 PM, SouthCoastMA said: weird time to close the shades Expand Some weird people in here too..so consider the source. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:47 PM, CoastalWx said: Who needs models when you have green grass and geese. Expand Green grass forcefield in effect this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 6:04 PM, CoastalWx said: Congrats daily anomalies. Expand Let’s see what it does to the weekly number on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:53 PM, snowman19 said: One thing is for sure, the folks who were saying that this El Niño already peaked are going to be dead wrong Expand That's interesting. I look at the analysis page on TT, and see an anomaly of about 1.6c in 3.4. Am I comparing apples and hammers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:47 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Closing shades for 3 weeks in Jan with a -nao in Central New England is not smart. Maybe down here on south coast we get skunked but even we can get lucky down here in the tropics. Expand Yes Jan 4 threat is real. I’ve made that clear. It’s a small window before the large scale pattern reasserts. But I think this window is dry for our subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 6:04 PM, WinterWolf said: A lot of weird people in here too..so consider the source. Expand regardless of the end result, the shades are open because there are things to watch and/or track on some models finally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Euro and GFS with significant MJO differences in January. Let's hope euro is right...or February could be in some trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 6:07 PM, SouthCoastMA said: regardless of the end result, the shades are open because there are things to watch and/or track on some models finally. Expand Yes sir, That was my point too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:47 PM, CoastalWx said: Who needs models when you have green grass and geese. Expand Yea guy, modelology FTW.. Better off listening to the 12z CMC over the 12z GEFS. Right? That cohort of modelololgists wasting everyone’s time. Verification scores; easiest thing to check but let’s look at more garbage output because, well, we’re lazy and can’t think for ourselves. Good luck. 5 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 6:10 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: Euro and GFS with significant MJO differences in January. Let's hope euro is right...or February could be in some trouble. Expand We ain’t even into January yet lol…and some are writing it(January) off. Let’s just cancel one month at a time..lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Wine is flowing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 6:06 PM, snowman19 said: Let’s see what it does to the weekly number on Monday Expand Doesn’t really matter in the end. More curious about trimonthlies. This Nino continues to show signs of not being a true strong one and fighting a -PDO. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 5:47 PM, CoastalWx said: Who needs models when you have green grass and geese. Expand I saw a flock of geese flying north over Stowe this week. Make of that what you will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 12z euro looks more like cmc with the phasing N/S shortwave than previous runs. Could be close here if we get the phase/turn corner . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 6:14 PM, CoastalWx said: Wine is flowing Expand Maybe more like Bourbon… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Laugh at what you want but these dumazz tik tokers would have had higher verification scores than most of the people in here —degrees and all—by studying effin’ wooly worms for 3 min. Yup that’s right, those big ugly hairy mfers crawling around your yard in late fall. But models… Sebastian Maniscalco voice: “Aren’t you embarrassed???” 1 3 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 6:04 PM, Ginx snewx said: We are turning into Argentina Expand Parking at Citifield is now 40 dollars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 6:18 PM, Heisy said: 12z euro looks more like cmc with the phasing N/S shortwave than previous runs. Could be close here if we get the phase/turn corner .A lot closer this run vs previous, but not there yet . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/30/2023 at 6:18 PM, Heisy said: 12z euro looks more like cmc with the phasing N/S shortwave than previous runs. Could be close here if we get the phase/turn corner . Expand Just missed it but better than 0z 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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