January 2024 -- Discussion

[jbenedet]

Check out the trend in New Brunswick.

Surface HP.

But that trend is still in early innings…

 

[gonegalt]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

May have to get the sled set up for grass drags.

Studs and scratchers will work till then.

[jbenedet]

We can’t get every storm guys. We gonna blow every precip record away?
 

Lol.

Dry has to happen some time; unfortunately it’s with the cold.

[NorEastermass128]

9 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

We can’t get every storm guys. We gonna blow every precip record away?
 

Lol.

Dry has to happen some time; unfortunately it’s with the cold.

Fine by me. Let’s just do dry with sun and little wind. 

[weatherwiz]

17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah both are still too far out to be using OP runs more than just eye candy (or lack there of) 

But they seem to be coming back a little stronger as signals on the 12z suite so far. There is a nice cluster of further west members on GEFS at 12z

 

 

smelling a Cape or bust event 

[WinterWolf]

22 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Use to be common but not anymore 

Welcome to the 80’s Ant….this is how it always was then. Pulling teeth to get 1-3”. Folks have been spoiled. 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Welcome to the 80’s Ant….this is how it always was then. Pulling teeth to get 1-3”. Folks have been spoiled. 

Well we’re not getting much snow, but I wouldn’t call this the 80s either. My ground would maybe be brown, but it would be frozen 2 feet deep.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I recall in the early 90’s the weather channel had those wind chill maps they ran every hour . The maps were increments of 20f, there seemed to often be -40/-60 upper plains /Minnesota-20/-40 NNE and often -20 to 0 over SNE as I recall . There were often that cold drier clipper pattern with air masses from Siberia or wherever . I do not miss those in the slightest but they did certainly seem more common. I think I recall Dave Schwartz) with his super smooth delivery on many of those 

[MJOatleast7]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Well we’re not getting much snow, but I wouldn’t call this the 80s either. My ground would maybe be brown, but it would be frozen 2 feet deep.

Somewhere between the '80s and the mid-Pliocene (Global SSTA +2-3 deg C, Arctic +8 deg C) I'd call it.

[Damage In Tolland]

Can you imagine the excitement and giddiness and general party atmosphere that will be going on in here if and when it does snow again . Just to get an inch of snow . For most posters in SNE the first since last Feb . For now . Just a wish .

[dryslot]

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Well we’re not getting much snow, but I wouldn’t call this the 80s either. My ground would maybe be brown, but it would be frozen 2 feet deep.

DPW's were busy repairing broken water mains back then regularly.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Can you imagine the excitement and giddiness and general party atmosphere that will be going on in here if and when it does snow again . Just to get an inch of snow . For most posters in SNE the first since last Feb . For now . Just a wish .

Block party in Tolland?

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Block party in Tolland?

If you come down , we will host. Keggers, weeders , ginners, whiskeyer’s , whatever’s 

[Torch Tiger]

does the party bust once the sleet/rain line roars through?

[Allsnow]

8 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

does the party bust once the sleet/rain line roars through?

 

[UnitedWx]

50 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

We can’t get every storm guys. We gonna blow every precip record away?
 

Lol.

Dry has to happen some time; unfortunately it’s with the cold.

LOL yeah, I remember the 80s well. You figure it had to happen again at some point... just please, not the hair

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

 

At least there is cold on the continent, which is a change.

[Allsnow]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

At least there is cold on the continent, which is a change.

Gefs lock the cold in this run with -nao and -epo ridge. I’ll take that look and roll it forward in hopes p3 takes over 

[CoastalWx]

Pretty good agreement for a potential rainer to Mainer with that low around the tenth or so. Maybe we can trend that to more of a SWFE.

[Allsnow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Pretty good agreement for a potential rainer to Mainer with that low around the tenth or so. Maybe we can trend that to more of a SWFE.

Perhaps something along the front as the cold comes east? 

[George001]

Models are torching the 1st half of Jan now. So much for that promised “pattern change”. Just like 2016 El Nino is derailing winter. You can come back from punting Dec, but you can’t lose Jan.

[Torch Tiger]

maybe we can get a few +30 departures? 

[WinterWolf]

51 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Well we’re not getting much snow, but I wouldn’t call this the 80s either. My ground would maybe be brown, but it would be frozen 2 feet deep.

The snow part I meant…that’s what it was like.  4-8” was a huge storm back then. It was mostly 1-3 and 2-4, 3-6 and everybody was thrilled.  

[WinterWolf]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Pretty good agreement for a potential rainer to Mainer with that low around the tenth or so. Maybe we can trend that to more of a SWFE.

That’s almost two weeks out..hopefully that morphs, or disappears by that point as we move forward. 

[Modfan2]

1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

We can’t get every storm guys. We gonna blow every precip record away?
 

Lol.

Dry has to happen some time; unfortunately it’s with the cold.

I thought this in October at some point we are going to go through a prolonged dry period and I thought it would be winter, but clearly not. We might be looking at a dry spring 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That’s almost two weeks out..hopefully that morphs, or disappears by that point as we move forward. 

Occurs during PNA drop so I can see why there’s agreement.

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

46 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I recall in the early 90’s the weather channel had those wind chill maps they ran every hour . The maps were increments of 20f, there seemed to often be -40/-60 upper plains /Minnesota-20/-40 NNE and often -20 to 0 over SNE as I recall . There were often that cold drier clipper pattern with air masses from Siberia or wherever . I do not miss those in the slightest but they did certainly seem more common. I think I recall Dave Schwartz) with his super smooth delivery on many of those 

Network news on cold weather, and I think TWC, routinely use windchill maps showing temps in the teens and twenties to hype cold outbreaks.  Because actual cold outbreaks where people live just don't get cold enough anymore.  Semi-related, GEFS means for next Friday would seem to support snow maybe as close to BOS as 495 with the cold air chasing the back edge of precip to the coast.

[CoastalWx]

Not at bad look on the euro for 1-5. Gets going a little later, but good airmass to work with. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Occurs during PNA drop so I can see why there’s agreement.

I guess we’ll see…? I don’t trust much at 7 days out, let alone 14, but that’s just me. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Not at bad look on the euro for 1-5. Gets going a little later, but good airmass to work with. 

Wasn’t this supposed to be for the mid Atlantic/suppressed deal.  Creeping north perhaps.  They like to do that.