40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 4 hours ago, qg_omega said: Ok, I could find many posts like this from you last year with no concern or changes but I regress. I’m not seeing the big flip at all nor do I see it in the teleconnections. It’s an ugly pattern out to the next two weeks and don’t see why week 3 or 4 would prove different Would this help? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We could get 200” over the next 2 months and it will never be a great winter. There’s nothing worse than a short winter or 4-6 weeks. You can liken it to summer. If you lose June to cold and wet .. all you have are July and August.. And you’ve got in the back of your mind how the late August sun loses its bite.. and there’s posters talking about leathery leaves and the first cool shot across the bow. How would you classify 2014 - 2015? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 Just now, FXWX said: How would you classify 2014 - 2015? "Nickels and Dimes", as I recall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, FXWX said: How would you classify 2014 - 2015? B+ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: But losing December ruins the winter You’re full of shit. 2 2 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: B+ Wow; lol... I need to know which winter seasons you would grade as an A; better yet which ones that you lived through would you give an A+... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 1 minute ago, FXWX said: Wow; lol... I need to know which winter seasons you would grade as an A; better yet which ones that you lived through would you give an A+... Ones that snow frequently from Dec- Feb and Dec codecs few snow events in Morch 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ones that snow frequently from Dec- Feb and Dec codecs few snow events in Morch 1995-1996. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 DIT correct on this one, especially given ski resorts and other winter activities are largely shut down too. You lose over 1/3 of winter (possibly much more), not only snowless but torched, it must be weighed in there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ones that snow frequently from Dec- Feb and Dec codecs few snow events in Morch Ok; now we are getting somewhere; this should be easy for you; Just state which ones fit your ranking of A/A+. I'm sure you've had so many during your life so far, they should be on the tip of your tongue... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 I maybe "off" a inch or so on the accumulations for last season, (2022-2023) For Nashua, NH Nov. 16, 2022=Trace of snow Dec. 12, 2022=1" Dec.16, 2022=Slush Dec.23,2022=Slush/Rapid Freeze Jan. 6, 2023=1" Slush Jan.12,2023=1" Slush Jan. 16,2023=3"+/_ Jan. 20,2023=5"+/- Jan.23,2023=5"+/- Feb.21,2023=2" Feb.23,2023=4" w/change over..Icy Feb. 28, 2023=3" Mar. 4, 2023=6.5" +/_ Mar. 15,2023=9"+/- I'm just hanging on, no other choice, no control over it, just stop the freaking Rain! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 I don’t think Kevin’s standards are attainable in sne-anywhere. Even tough in NNE outside of the far north. I think if he moves to AK or 8k or higher in the west sure but he’ll lose the dews and summer heat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 33 minutes ago, mcap77 said: All this crying, particularly from areas that do not average much snow in Dec, is comical. I am not nearly as educated as many of the posters on here and will not comment on LR, but will say all it is going to take is one or two decent storm for Southern areas be reach normal or even above normal snowfall to date this early in the season. It is the Northern areas that have more catching up to do. Yes the warmth has sucked and yes it has put a damper on the winter feel, but in terms of snowfall (at least IMBY) it has not been a terrible December. We average a bit over 12" in Dec and we are just shy of 12" to date. The lack of retention does suck, but I am far from ready to call this a ratter. We still have plenty of time to turn this around. What areas are you referring to? Our area averages 60” a year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: But losing December ruins the winter December is USUALLY not a thing in CT anyway so...? Sure it will usually feel more wintry but I never expect much for snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 1995-1996. I think that's the only one in my lifetime that went wire to wire snowstorms, and iirc, we had a pretty good thaw in mid January after the blizzard, maybe 2002-2003 was another? one of those winters was pretty good start to finish in early oughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 The retention factor is huge, which is why losing December puts a major dent in the winter rating. Will never be an A, no matter what happens. No one cares about a blue bomb that melts in 2 days in March. Sure we'll take it, but it's not the same as getting it in DEC. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcap77 Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What areas are you referring to? Our area averages 60” a year That comment was not specific to you. Much of CT and Eastern Mass does not typically have much snow by this point. All I am saying that getting to normal or even above normal is not out of reach for most of the region. It's going to be harder with marginal temps, yes, but it can work as we get deeper into the peak of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 46 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 1995-1996. I’ll give him that. But let’s get 100” in less than 4 weeks and no melting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 Where is Scooter’s gorilla? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: We could get 200” over the next 2 months and it will never be a great winter. There’s nothing worse than a short winter or 4-6 weeks. You can liken it to summer. If you lose June to cold and wet .. all you have are July and August.. And you’ve got in the back of your mind how the late August sun loses its bite.. and there’s posters talking about leathery leaves and the first cool shot across the bow. This post needs to be preserved and archived so it can be pulled out and referenced over many future summer and winter months and enjoyed by all over and over again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 the aroma of bargaining psychology in here today is as fragrant as lilac wafts on a warm May day. And the irony is ... winter's not actually dead. It just hasn't yet shown up to the funeral to shock the shit out of everybody. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 It will be interesting to see over the coming years how much CC is affecting the viability of analogs. While still potentially useful on a hemispheric scale, it’s almost like you have to adjust for current temps. Basically, the bad patterns are much worse, because instead of +2, it’s now +6, which makes sneaking even a mediocre event much more difficult. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Where is Scooter’s gorilla? That was the Jan 4 through 6 threat she gone . Guess it’s time to change my profile image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wokeupthisam Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 34 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Where is Scooter’s gorilla? ...out there... past them 10-day trees... 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 This post needs to be preserved and archived so it can be pulled out and referenced over many future summer and winter months and enjoyed by all over and over again. Just put it in your sigSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 19 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: That was the Jan 4 through 6 threat she gone . Guess it’s time to change my profile image I cannot even identify any of the entities that were previously on the charts. It's like something's come along and completely scrambled everything oblivion. Nothing is there that was there two days, absolutely. strange - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 Yeah it feels like we’re starting from scratch but we’re already deep in. I’m surprised the usual suspects didn’t do a nana a boo-boo post with the long range op gfs (18z/28). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Where is Scooter’s gorilla? It’s the cutters on the gfs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s the cutters on the gfs. seems like there’s something coherent across all ensembles for the 7th. GEFS perked up the southern stream. some strong members in there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 2 hours ago, mcap77 said: All this crying, particularly from areas that do not average much snow in Dec, is comical. I am not nearly as educated as many of the posters on here and will not comment on LR, but will say all it is going to take is one or two decent storm for Southern areas be reach normal or even above normal snowfall to date this early in the season. It is the Northern areas that have more catching up to do. Yes the warmth has sucked and yes it has put a damper on the winter feel, but in terms of snowfall (at least IMBY) it has not been a terrible December. We average a bit over 12" in Dec and we are just shy of 12" to date. The lack of retention does suck, but I am far from ready to call this a ratter. We still have plenty of time to turn this around. I average 10 to 12 and nada so far Brutal December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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