lee59 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Big range in temperatures this morning from the 20s to the single digits. My lowest of the season at 15.7. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 24 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: What a dreary week coming up. Mild is okay as long as it's sunny. I saw a map that indicated it would be in the 60s on Friday.... but not sunny? But by Saturday it'll be sunny again and around 50? I'd rather have that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 46 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: This morning felt amazing. Nice to breathe in that cold air and feel it in your lungs. Walked to the train and saw a beautiful snowmaking cloud over Thunder Ridge. I just hope they get the double chairlift fixed soon! Ahh if only this could last 3 straight months. I don’t get why people live in cold climates and complain when it gets cold. I don’t go to Florida and complain at the heat and humidity when I’m there in summertime. and why does the media complain when it's cold? and then they talk about climate change lol. With how much the media says get this cold weather out of here and let's get back into the 50s (in the middle of winter!), you'd think they'd love climate change. They just need to pick one thing, either you like warm weather and want climate change or you love cold weather and don't want it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Rain all week after today Storm to watch next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 These Pacific Jet extensions through the highly amplified MJO and +EAMT will continue to run the table at least into early February. So this pretty much guarantees that we’ll see a record breaking 9 warm to record warm winters in a row since the 15-16 super El Niño. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Rain all week after today Storm to watch next weekend why do rainstorms last for 5 days and snow events last for 12 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 7 minutes ago, bluewave said: These Pacific Jet extensions through the highly amplified MJO and +EAMT will continue to run the table at least into early February. So this pretty much guarantees that we’ll see a record breaking 9 warm to record warm winters in a row since the 15-16 super El Niño. Do you think winter is over for significant snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Like train tracks.....we wait for phase 1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Do you think winter is over for significant snow? Look at the end of the eps and other ensembles and roll that forward. Everything looks in line with the weeklies progression. Heck NYC may even get snow next Monday hah. Once we get to Feb 4-6 we’ll see a solid pattern on the LR ensembles for around mid month, we’ll be tracking something soon. Just gotta get through next 15-18 days . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Do you think winter is over for significant snow? Look at the end of the eps and other ensembles and roll that forward. Everything looks in line with the weeklies progression. Heck NYC may even get snow next Monday hah. Once we get to Feb 4-6 we’ll see a solid pattern on the LR ensembles for around mid month, we’ll be tracking something soon. Just gotta get through next 15-18 days . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Heisy said: Look at the end of the eps and other ensembles and roll that forward. Everything looks in line with the weeklies progression. Heck NYC may even get snow next Monday hah. Once we get to Feb 4-6 we’ll see a solid pattern on the LR ensembles for around mid month, we’ll be tracking something soon. Just gotta get through next 15-18 days . I hope you’re correct…my fear is the trough gets stuck in the west for another week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 21 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Rain all week after today Storm to watch next weekend 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 28 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Do you think winter is over for significant snow? he is an intelligent poster. thats why he wont answer that on 1/21 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 12 this morning. Today the melt begins 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 33 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: why do rainstorms last for 5 days and snow events last for 12 hours? Ask mother nature 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 36 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: why do rainstorms last for 5 days and snow events last for 12 hours? moisture laden, mild air and storm slowly dragging west versus cold, dry air and tip of storm touching us east I would imagine. The warm sector of the storm is much larger with spotty precip. The original post from the poster that you quoted is incorrect. It’s not gonna rain. there’s gonna be spotty showers all week with periods of rain. It is interesting to be along the shores of Lake Erie and see a prolonged showery type of snow. Regularly in Cleveland and if you ever spent time there, they don’t always get 6 inches of snow, but a constant stream of dusting that relentlessly add up 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Heavy frost this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 6 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: moisture laden, mild air and storm slowly dragging west versus cold, dry air and tip of storm touching us east I would imagine. The warm sector of the storm is much larger with spotty precip. The original post from the poster that you quoted is incorrect. It’s not gonna rain. there’s gonna be spotty showers all week with periods of rain. It is interesting to be along the shores of Lake Erie and see a prolonged showery type of snow. Regularly in Cleveland and if you ever spent time there, they don’t always get 6 inches of snow, but a constant stream of dusting that relentlessly add up I've sometimes seen this in the Poconos, it must be remnant moisture from the lakes? It can snow all day and not pile up at all, but it sure looks pretty to see it fall. It just leaves dustings behind. Meanwhile when I come back here it's just clear and windy and cold lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 10 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I've sometimes seen this in the Poconos, it must be remnant moisture from the lakes? It can snow all day and not pile up at all, but it sure looks pretty to see it fall. It just leaves dustings behind. Meanwhile when I come back here it's just clear and windy and cold lol. Lakes moisture and uplift over terrain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 47 minutes ago, Heisy said: Look at the end of the eps and other ensembles and roll that forward. Everything looks in line with the weeklies progression. Heck NYC may even get snow next Monday hah. Once we get to Feb 4-6 we’ll see a solid pattern on the LR ensembles for around mid month, we’ll be tracking something soon. Just gotta get through next 15-18 days . You mean until after the rest of the heart of winter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 13 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I will also add that seasonal forecasting is much more viable in two week increments than 2-3 month increments, which is probably why Bluewave does it that way. I focus more on the medium range during the winter season, at the expense of the extended stuff. 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Do you think winter is over for significant snow? 55 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: he is an intelligent poster. thats why he wont answer that on 1/21 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 19 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Break out the short sleeve shirts on Friday 06z gfs is 20 degrees cooler than this. Big difference for just several days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Olr maps have the p7 wave weakening then convection development in p1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 28 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Olr maps have the p7 wave weakening then convection development in p1 Yup I posted the plots before. Same exact progression. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 29 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Olr maps have the p7 wave weakening then convection development in p1 it's a very similar progression to what we saw from late December into early-mid January. this time, though, we should have an actual Aleutian Low as well as shorter wavelengths and a more active STJ 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: it's a very similar progression to what we saw from late December into early-mid January. this time, though, we should have an actual Aleutian Low as well as shorter wavelengths and a more active STJ That's what Webb is also saying. He thinks winter will be back in full force 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Up to 28 from a low of 13 last night. Clouds moving in later and not likely moving out till later Friday. Upper 30s near 40 today, rain Tue - Fri totals for the week 1 - 1.5 inches. Warming each day till reaching the 50s Fri perhaps upper 50s near 60 this Saturday. Trough is pulled down the northeast with a storm deepening offshore 1/29 - 1/31 and some cold perhaps mixing before moderating later next week and the first week of Frb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Records: Highs: EWR: 62 (1954) NYC: 61 (1959) LGA: 57 (1973) Lows: EWR: -1 (1984) 84/85 combo of cold NYC: 0 (1888) LGA: 5 (2005) Historical: 1904: An unusual estimated F4 tornado leveled the northern part of Moundville, Alabama, just after midnight, killing 37 people. The tornado reportedly had a phosphorescent glow. An engineer on a northbound Great Southern train saw the destruction right after it occurred and backed his train 12 miles in reverse to the town of Akron, where he sent a telegram for help. 1937: Low of 9 degrees above zero in Las Vegas froze many pipes. Schools had trouble keeping warm, and coal was in short supply in the city. January 1937 was the coldest month on record for Las Vegas, with an average temperature of 31.2 degrees, 17.5 degrees below normal. 1943 - Chinook winds during the early morning hours caused the temperature at Spearfish SD to rise from 4 below zero to 45 above in just two minutes, the most dramatic temperature rise in world weather records. An hour and a half later the mercury plunged from 54 above to 4 below zero in twenty-seven minutes. (David Ludlum) 1987 - A winter storm spread snow from central Mississippi through northern Georgia to New England. Up to 15 inches of snow fell across the heavily populated areas of Virginia, Maryland and Delaware. Traffic tie-ups nearly paralyzed the Washington D.C. area. Winds gusted to 76 mph at Chatham MA, and in Pennsylvania, snowfall totals ranged up to 21 inches at Dushore. Williamsport PA received five inches of snow in just one hour. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - The nation was free of winter storms for a day, however, winds in southern California gusted to 80 mph in the Grapevine area of the Tehachapi Mountains, and winds along the eastern slopes of the Rockies reached 100 mph in the Upper Yellowstone Valley of Montana. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Low pressure brought heavy rain and gale force winds to Florida. Daytona Beach was drenched with 5.48 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a January record for that location, and winds at Titusville FL gusted to 63 mph. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - It was a very tame and peaceful mid winter day. Mild weather prevailed across the nation, with rain and snow primarily confined to the northeastern U.S. and the Pacific Northwest. Warm weather continued in Florida. Highs of 83 degrees at Hollywood and 85 degrees at Miami were records for the date. (National Weather Summary) 2000 - A severe ice storm hit northern Georgia and portions of northwest South Carolina on January 22-23. Over half a million utility customers were without power during and after the storm, with the Atlanta area severely affected. 2005 - A major winter snowstorm, referred to as the Blizzard of 2005, affected the Northeastern United States. More than one foot of snow covered much of southern New England in the storm's aftermath, with well over two feet in some areas of Massachusetts. Strong winds created blizzard conditions with low visibilities and considerable blowing and drifting of snow. (NCDC) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Blizzard of 2005 19 year anniversary 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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