weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2023 Author Share Posted December 17, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah if it gets to be that we have breaks in overcast, that’s gonna help mix stuff down. Could see that. I think that is going to offer the best opportunity for those who don't tend to get good winds in these setup to get the good winds. But that scenario is something to watch closely because it's been hinted at for some time now and mesos have been involved too as we get into range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 48 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is Phil’s map ( he used to be a regular here until driven away) https://x.com/capecodweather/status/1736034738949775670?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So exciting. Edge of our seat type stuff. 2023, the year of big rainers. someone gets it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 13 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: HRRR is pretty interesting in the 15z-18z time frame, especially southwest towards NYC/NJ. Could see some strong-to-severe thunderstorms if any convection can develop. Better severe in the second half of December than between May-July. Claslsic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 6 Z Euro is a total repete of last week in regards to track winds rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 23 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So exciting. Edge of our seat type stuff. 2023, the year of big rainers. It really does feel like we’ve had an exceptional number of 4”+ events this year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 6 Z Euro is a total repete of last week in regards to track winds rain. That’s a nothing burger with regard to wind…as you said a repeat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: 6 Z Euro is a total repete of last week in regards to track winds rain. Put away the generators. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: That’s a nothing burger with regard to wind…as you said a repeat. Windier that's sustained winds. I think gusts 50 to 55 inland 60s Cape but brief Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 12z nam a bit west too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Windier that's sustained winds. I thinks 50 to 55 inland 60s Cape but brief Ahh ok… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 With another exciting Christmas time storm on our doorstep I leave you with my latest remix. I’ll weenie myself for this one . It's beginning to look a lot like summer everywhere you go . Take a look at the rain and wind. The morning dew is glistening once again. With heavy rain and no snow! 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Everything jogging west. Negative tilt trough and warm core Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Just now, WinterWolf said: Ahh ok… Ya know me and nature's signs, birds going nut this morning also saw some seagulls ways inland. Two small signs prior to the biggies. Gonna rock and roll overnight and Monday. Mesos are backing down as it approaches usually a sign to take the under on winds but we shall see. 6 hr change on HRRR is a reduction 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 We just had a four minute downpour from a shower that showed as a little pin prick on radar. A harbinger of what's to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Those winds fluctuate with convective cells etc. can’t really do a snapshot like that. I thought everything upped a bit at 12z overall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Thinking 2.50 inches of rain and max gust 40 to 45 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Everything jogging west. Negative tilt trough and warm core You sure about that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Those winds fluctuate with convective cells etc. can’t really do a snapshot like that. I thought everything upped a bit at 12z overall. Clowns gonna clown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 36 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Impressive looking radar signature/precipitation shield already blossoming down south I must say. This looks more potent than a typical coastal system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Everything jogging west. Negative tilt trough and warm core I don't see this being warm core at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Still a question as to how much mixes down. All models have a bit of an inversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I don't see this being warm core at all 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You sure about that? Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I don't see this being warm core at all It originated in the gulf . Hurricane hunters flew into it yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 45 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol..I know but it’s all we got at the moment. Hopefully by next week we’re entering into a more wintry idea as we approach our wheelhouse regarding winter climo… I’m actually going to bring in some of the kids outdoor stuff into the garage shortly and tie the grill to the deck so it doesn’t fly away. It’s going to be a long night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It originated in the gulf . Hurricane hunters flew into it yesterday Ya but they also fly through winter storms.. doesn't mean anything at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 51 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So exciting. Edge of our seat type stuff. 2023, the year of big rainers. 12/17 and folks have a hardon for a rainer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12/17 and folks have a hardon for a rainer. It doesn’t snow anymore so that’s all they got. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2023 Author Share Posted December 17, 2023 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still a question as to how much mixes down. All models have a bit of an inversion. good rule of thumb stronger the llvl jet = stronger the inversion 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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