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Dec/Jan Medium/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr
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Just now, Heisy said:


Yea we’re in the warm sector of a cold front there… at that stage It has entered the plains. It would eventually come East, as I mentioned we’d warm up for a few days ahead of any arctic blast. That’s if GFS is even close to being right who knows…


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And its not a torch by any means. The end of the GEFS looked really flat to me. PSU was mentioning a reload. But the nice thing is the cold air is already on our side of the hemisphere before it happens. And of course it is way out there in range anyways.

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22 minutes ago, Heisy said:


Yea we’re in the warm sector of a cold front there… at that stage It has entered the plains. It would eventually come East, as I mentioned we’d warm up for a few days ahead of any arctic blast. That’s if GFS is even close to being right who knows…


.

This will be a true arctic  outbreak, Hitting the center  of the country then coming  east  is  ideal.

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17 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

weenie stuff here, but god damn for early Feb. SPV gets wrecked and west based blocking is showing up 

IMG_3866.thumb.png.0d2fe01cd4a994159b56a6fc69382296.png

Early Jan is get on the board time with a moderate event or 2. Late Jan into mid Feb might be KU time, given strong Nino, QBO phase, weak SPV, and pretty much all extended guidance consistently depicting a period of sustained NA blocking.

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31 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z GEFS, so we have a one in 30 chance of snow the next 7 days.  Hopefully, a discreet threat will pop into view by the end of next weekend.

IMG_2391.png

There are currently discrete(proper spelling) threats on the ens means though. Not all about the damn snow maps.

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2 hours ago, stormy said:

Wow!!  Both the ECM and GEM give much of Augusta County 2 inches of rain during the next 168 hrs..

This Nino is producing. Many Valley folks have been praying for a wet Winter. December is making a solid contribution.

 

19 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

I am excited about January, but a couple weeks ago there was some hope of a discrete threat they'd upcoming week, that has since fizzled.  I am sincerely grateful about the upcoming rain this week, we need it....WB 12Z GFS.

IMG_2393.png

Interesting new angle of attack we’re seeing … they’re evolving (devolving?)

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