psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 58 minutes ago, Rjay said: Plus no one thinks it will never snow again. You’re entitled to your take. I’ve stayed out of it in that thread. But in a -pdo cycle both Nina’s and neutral winters are usually putrid for our area. El Niños are by FAR our best chance as a snowy winter. 5 of the past 6 above avg snow season in DC we’re a Nino. And the only exception was a neutral during an extremely +PDO. Something we likely won’t see anytime soon! So excuse us if we’re a bit hesitant to just toss what history and data says us by far our best chance at actually getting a snowy season following our least snowy 7 years ever! So tell me…with a Nina coming during a continued -pdo cycle…when is this “someday it will snow again” coming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Rjay said: Plus no one thinks it will never snow again. But it's a lot of gloom by some posters in our subforum . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 21 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Kinda obsessive there sport You self appointed “correcting” of Everyone is Old now. If you don’t like to be corrected don’t post incorrect information. If you want to defend your position you are free to do so. Making personal attacks on me does not, however, validate anything you said or refute anything I said. Merry Christmas. 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 2 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: 28th forward does not start any change. That was a Solid target date just 10+ days ago. Yeah DC is going from 55-60 to 45-50 but so what .. Weve got until 1/10 to get the delayed mantra off the table and low pressures to move in the way that permits snow and cold here. Curious what are you basing any delay on...the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Remember a couple pages back when we had a KU on the longe range GFS and snow maps were allowed bc it is Christmas? Those were the good old days. Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays, all! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Oh God. No GFS. Don’t do what i think it’s trying to do on the 1st 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Oh God. No GFS. Don’t do what i think it’s trying to do on the 1st 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Oh God. No GFS. Don’t do what i think it’s trying to do on the 1stTaps into the gom, it looks like. Might be good for the higher elevations, at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Should’ve sent the PAWS version instead 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Whew. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Whew. That was so close at h5, so close. GFS roulette Randy....you live to see another run. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Temps are really pretty warm though. That's a 998mb low in SE Canada. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 12 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: I’m curious why you don’t recognize your denial Let’s get some cold and snow in here. So far the projection from Nov and early Dec of change on 12/15, then Christmas, then most assuredly 12/28 or 29 did not occur. We’ve got until 1/10 or we are sunk. I take No pleasure in sunk Low pressures and clippers gotta synchronized up . Noll going nuts about the umpteenth SSW which is perpetually just about to happen when things are not going well. MJO-Well Who Knows. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 40 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Oh God. No GFS. Don’t do what i think it’s trying to do on the 1st I hope you’re trapped in Mexico 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 44 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Whew. That was close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 24 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: I hope you’re trapped in Mexico Is he Still a dazzling urbanite?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Hey, it’s a good day. First the 12z candy, now the 18z has the upslope back before the new year, I’ll take it as long as I see some decent stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 WB 18Z GEFS time around Jan. 5th still looks good. 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 WB 18Z GEFS time around Jan. 5th still looks good.Didn’t you post something yesterday saying gefs shows no snow east of mountains through day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Didn’t you post something yesterday saying gefs shows no snow east of mountains through day 10 December 24 plus 10 days is Jan. 3rd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 21 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS time around Jan. 5th still looks good. P15 and most of this sub and my home sub party like it's 1999....or 1996 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 Long range models did a good job this year. We can quibble about the exact transition date, but a colder and stormier pattern appears to be on its way. Will we get a decent snowstorm or two? Hope so, there are definitely some players on the table. And the entire month at least appears to have potential. WB XMAS EURO weeklies; February is also looking good through Day 8. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterFire Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said: Let’s get some cold and snow in here. So far the projection from Nov and early Dec of change on 12/15, then Christmas, then most assuredly 12/28 or 29 did not occur. We’ve got until 1/10 or we are sunk. I take No pleasure in sunk Low pressures and clippers gotta synchronized up . Noll going nuts about the umpteenth SSW which is perpetually just about to happen when things are not going well. MJO-Well Who Knows. Arguing with a toddler is pointless; best case scenario is you win an argument with a toddler. So I say this not to argue with this specific individual but for the rest of the folks reading the thread: this is emphatically not what is happening. Reference the images a few days ago in my exchange with WW—the models advertised a pattern change for late December and a pattern change is indeed coming. Regardless of someone’s feelings, facts are facts and all of this data is freely available on sites like TT and pivotal; anyone can feel free to scroll back 10-15 days and see how the GEFS or EPS envisioned the atmosphere for this time period. The long-range models are pretty good at figuring out long wave patterns two weeks out, actually! 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 18z GEFS pattern & temps for day 9 through 16 continue to look workable. This should provide some chances. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 I may have been living under a rock but I just realized Weather Bell has soundings, including Euro out to 90 hours. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 5 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: crank this one way the hell up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 Merry Christmas to everyone! Have an exciting New Year 2024! 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 Gods I hope this happens and all the goods come to our side of the globe. Let Ivan bake. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 6 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: Let’s get some cold and snow in here. So far the projection from Nov and early Dec of change on 12/15, then Christmas, then most assuredly 12/28 or 29 did not occur. We’ve got until 1/10 or we are sunk. I take No pleasure in sunk Low pressures and clippers gotta synchronized up . Noll going nuts about the umpteenth SSW which is perpetually just about to happen when things are not going well. MJO-Well Who Knows. This was day 12-19 on guidance 10 days ago This is what it looks like now! Amazing job by guidance! You picked a weird time to start in with this anti long range crusade of yours when the long range guidance has been absolutely killing it lately. 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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