Jebman Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Merry Christmas everyone. Drink up and be merry! Hit about forty IPA's! We'll be demolished by deep snows soon in the Mid Atlantic! 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 2 hours ago, MDScienceTeacher said: Right.. I dont know if anyone remembers this but the weather channel used to have a segment called "A look ahead" where they would show the jet stream pattern up to 7-10 days in the future. It was a great segment and they used it to warn people ahead of time for snow storm potential. That was probably my earliest memories of following weather models. I am sure that segment would do very well today LOL. I do remember that always gave me hope in times of despair when it came to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 4 hours ago, BristowWx said: If I wasn’t drunk on 120 min IPAs I would in fact be panicked. Now I am slightly amused Merry Christmas!!!!!!!!!!! Hey, let's make it 200! And a Happy New Year! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Hello Kevin Reilly! I see you awarded me a hot dog. I dont understand why. I am not a weenie. Oh wait. I AM a snow weenie! Model runs are NOT going down. Jan 22, 2024. That's the day. Get your shovels. Stock up on stuff that keeps you awake. On Jan 10 we are all gonna be tracking a storm. There is going to be cold air just in time. We are all going to be GLUED to the models. This storm will develop over the Gulf then make the turn and slowly lumber up the East Coast. A Siberian air mass will be filtering down. There is going to be a ton of excitement in not just our sub, but in subs up and down the East Coast, SNE is going to get clobbered as well by this, but it is going to be such a slow mover that it will dump ridiculous amounts of snow in Georgia, the Carolinas, Virginia and over the entire Mid Atlantic then bury Philly, New York City and on up into the Canadien Maritimes. This storm will reach a point, a sweet spot that in effect is the 40/70 Benchmark for a snowstorm blasting the Mid Atlantic! The Northeastern ski resorts are going to be absolutely buried, even by THEIR standards! They will get all their winter snow mojo back in one fell swoop. This storm is going to be BIG, especially for the DC Metropolitan Region. Tracker will be back in time for this one, and Northwest DC will get buried alive in snow! Much of West Virginia will get demolished by this storm as well! We can still drink ourselves right into a stupor lol. Drink up and be merry, because regardless of how many hotdogs I get awarded, Mid Atlantic is still gonna get obliterated by snow come Jan 22 2024. Merry Christmas! 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 54 minutes ago, snowfan said: That’s not the Christmas spirit, Clark. Have a drink, go for a walk, to bed, etc. let’s not be nasty with each other tonight. That can resume on the 26th. "Very well, you may take the day. But be here all the earlier the next morning!" 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Dendrimer77 said: I personally like Weather Will's contributions, including these crazy maps. Have some Christmas cheer, man....or at least have another spiked egg nog. Merry Christmas everyone! May we all be blessed with massive snows soon. We need a snow event like yesterday. It been so long since we tracked anything. People are just eating each other for nourishment. Ripping each others hearts out and frying them in oil. Then putting those hearts in a stew with lentils and carrots. Merry Christmas to all. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 It seems since chuck mentioned a SE ridge popping and we laughed at him there seems to be a SE ridge popping in fantasy land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 It seems since chuck mentioned a SE ridge popping and we laughed at him there seems to be a SE ridge popping in fantasy land. On the ensembles or just the op?Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 18 minutes ago, Ji said: On the ensembles or just the op? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Op. Still it’s showing itself. Could be noise. Don’t like seeing it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Jan 5 is the strongest signal for an east coast storm on the 0z EPS. A low develops along the Gulf coast and tracks NE to just off the NC coast on the mean. 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 6z GEFS suggestive of a storm for the 2nd with possible NS interaction/phasing. EPS has it too but somewhat weaker and develops further NE. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 6z GFS for the 5th. Strong hints of a phase. It wants to drop the TPV hammer lol. Surface low develops along the SE coast. Looks interesting. Hell of a HL look. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, CAPE said: 6z GEFS suggestive of a storm for the 2nd with possible NS interaction/phasing. EPS has it too but somewhat weaker and develops further NE. GEFS also seems to like that 4-5th. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 January 2nd appetizer, 6th we get the money shot. Willing it into existence! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 6z GEFS suggestive of a storm for the 2nd with possible NS interaction/phasing. EPS has it too but somewhat weaker and develops further NE. Do we perhaps have something to track inside one week?! Even if it’s not the stronger signal of the 2, I’d gladly take a smaller event to kick things off. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 It’s Christmas. Fight tomorrow 11 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 1 minute ago, WSWL said: You know what sarcasm is right? If you've been here long enough to read year old posts, then you know creating an account just to pick/troll a member is a great way to get a special Christmas gift where you're back to just reading only again. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Dang. That’s the quickest anyone has ever made my naughty, er, ignore list. Merry Christmas all! 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Merry Christmas everyone! Cheers to some upcoming January awesomeness! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Pattern analogs are useless right now. They’re spitting out some incredibly snowy periods (1996,2010) and some years that had almost no snow (2002, 1981). Subtle differences can tilt this either way. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Sigh. This thread. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 This morning’s ensembles show something on Jan 4-6, something coming off the gulf with cold-enough temps. Still a long ways away, lets see if that potential holds. Btw, Merry Christmas to those who celebrate! Happy Holidays all! 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Merry Christmas everyone! Cold and dry or warm and wet, we will be here to analyze, watch, and wait for those rare Christmas snow miracles. I wish you and your families a 2024 full of health, peace and happiness. Someone should start a new thread soon.... 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 16 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Pattern analogs are useless right now. They’re spitting out some incredibly snowy periods (1996,2010) and some years that had almost no snow (2002, 1981). Subtle differences can tilt this either way. You just described Nino winters in the MA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 WB 12Z 12K NAM, another midweek drought denting soaker incoming. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterFire Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 33 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Pattern analogs are useless right now. They’re spitting out some incredibly snowy periods (1996,2010) and some years that had almost no snow (2002, 1981). Subtle differences can tilt this either way. Our quest stands upon the edge of a knife. Stray but a little and it will fall, to the ruin of all… Yet hope remains while all the company is true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 16 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z 12K NAM, another midweek drought denting soaker incoming. I hope so. I sure would love for this to be accurate for out here and not underperform as the last two events did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Wow, Haymarket Va Weather.com 8 Jan. for giggles 43° 56% NW 7 mph Cloudy with rain and snow showers early changing to mainly rain showers in the afternoon. High 43F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%. Humidity61% UV Index2 of 11 Sunrise7:28 am Sunset5:05 pm Mon 08 | Night 27° 60% NNW 4 mph Snow likely. Low 27F. Winds light and variable. Chance of snow 60%. 8 to 12 inches of snow expected. UV Index0 of 11 Moonrise4:48 am Waning Crescent Moonset2:06 pm 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Merry Christmas everyone. Key is patience! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 23 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Wow, Haymarket Va Weather.com 8 Jan. for giggles 43° 56% NW 7 mph Cloudy with rain and snow showers early changing to mainly rain showers in the afternoon. High 43F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%. Humidity61% UV Index2 of 11 Sunrise7:28 am Sunset5:05 pm Mon 08 | Night 27° 60% NNW 4 mph Snow likely. Low 27F. Winds light and variable. Chance of snow 60%. 8 to 12 inches of snow expected. UV Index0 of 11 Moonrise4:48 am Waning Crescent Moonset2:06 pm Yep 8-12 pretty common around here. A Christmas miracle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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