uofmiami Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, cannoliman42 said: Sustained or gusts? It's the mean over the 6hr period. I am sure there's higher gusts in there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 6 minutes ago, uofmiami said: 44kt on NAM FOUS at LGA at 48hrs, strong winds. Need these maps to show 100mph to get strong winds in reality 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 High wind watch up for CT and LI for gusts to 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 I'm sure its overdone but yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 6 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Need these maps to show 100mph to get strong winds in reality Agreed, I’d never take a wind map at face value. I’d knock 20-30 mph off the maps. Still getting wind gusts around 50-60mph. With saturated ground should be enough to drop trees and large limbs over Long Island I am sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I'm sure its overdone but yikes haha that has me at 9 inches of rain-moving too fast for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 I am going to wait until dinner time to make the call but I am leaning towards temporarily taking the Christmas decorations down from my roof,,,,I mean even if the winds verified at half as strong as depicted on those maps and they could be 35mph with higher gusts N n W of NYC and I would rather be safe than sorry. I will see what the models are showing later today to make my final call but im leaning towards caution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: haha that has me at 9 inches of rain-moving too fast for that. 12 hours of .5 to 1" stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: I am going to wait until dinner time to make the call but I am leaning towards temporarily taking the Christmas decorations down from my roof,,,,I mean even if the winds verified at half as strong as depicted on those maps and they could be 35mph with higher gusts N n W of NYC and I would rather be safe than sorry. I will see what the models are showing later today to make my final call but im leaning towards caution Keep us updated 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 19 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I'm sure its overdone but yikes Oof. That would be horrific combined with those winds. Could be looking at March 2010 type event for the island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 16 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: I am going to wait until dinner time to make the call but I am leaning towards temporarily taking the Christmas decorations down from my roof,,,,I mean even if the winds verified at half as strong as depicted on those maps and they could be 35mph with higher gusts N n W of NYC and I would rather be safe than sorry. I will see what the models are showing later today to make my final call but im leaning towards caution Leave Santa out there so he can have an early start to delivering gifts if he gets swept away . 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: Oof. That would be horrific combined with those winds. Could be looking at March 2010 type event for the island Even half that would be bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX-PA Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Oof. That would be horrific combined with those winds. Could be looking at March 2010 type event for the island That was a BIG eevent. Lived on the south shore in Western Suffolk at the time. Now out in the country of Central PA..might see a wind gust of 30 if lucky. Be safe,guys! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Even half that would be bad Yea. And the ground is completely waterlogged already. Thankfully Long Island doesn’t have much fresh water flooding to worry about with no real rivers, but some low lying areas may be in trouble 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 26 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I'm sure its overdone but yikes Every other model is way further west with the heavy rain but even the 1-2" the other models have with the strong winds will cause issues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 7 minutes ago, psv88 said: Yea. And the ground is completely waterlogged already. Thankfully Long Island doesn’t have much fresh water flooding to worry about with no real rivers, but some low lying areas may be in trouble Like my stupid basement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 Gfs brings 50-70mph nyc east 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 10 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Gfs brings 50-70mph nyc east 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Leave Santa out there so he can have an early start to delivering gifts if he gets swept away . Anthony He and the team are already down on the earth,,,I didn't wait until tonight,,,,,ps last week the winds were gusting to 30 and we had issues so even though I took precautions last week and looking and not trusting these maps I figured better safe than sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: Keep us updated Will do qg and be sure to check your inbox as I appreciate your concern and might even give you hourly updates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 Euro continues the theme 50-60mph winds from parts of Jersey east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 Surf Forecast for Westhampton Beach (Cupsogue). Swell energy is insane. Beaches are going to take a serious beating. Very lucky to not have to deal with Full/New Moon tides Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 Horrible with interpreting wind maps and hate to be the IMBY guy. But what would north central NJ be looking at for winds with this roughly. I live in morris county so not too close to the coast but only about 30 miles west of NYC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 1 hour ago, nycsnow said: Euro continues the theme 50-60mph winds from parts of Jersey east Globals more east though trending west, mesos are west. Given the dynamics with powerful LLJ I'd favor the mesos. Eastern half of NJ, NYC and LI will get a beat down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 Horrible with interpreting wind maps and hate to be the IMBY guy. But what would north central NJ be looking at for winds with this roughly. I live in morris county so not too close to the coast but only about 30 miles west of NYC Morris County? . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 6 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: Horrible with interpreting wind maps and hate to be the IMBY guy. But what would north central NJ be looking at for winds with this roughly. I live in morris county so not too close to the coast but only about 30 miles west of NYC 30-40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 30-40 Ok not too terrible. Appreciate the quick response! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 15 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Globals more east though trending west, mesos are west. Given the dynamics with powerful LLJ I'd favor the mesos. Eastern half of NJ, NYC and LI will get a beat down. Yep, not good news in terms of wind here with the last minute west trends. It’ll diminish the rain threat here, but places that upslope on SE winds will probably get 3-5”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 40 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Yep, not good news in terms of wind here with the last minute west trends. It’ll diminish the rain threat here, but places that upslope on SE winds will probably get 3-5”. That's me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 58 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Globals more east though trending west, mesos are west. Given the dynamics with powerful LLJ I'd favor the mesos. Eastern half of NJ, NYC and LI will get a beat down. Costal flooding and large breaking waves gonna cause an issue as well. Reminding me of that storm the day before Xmas eve last year but with wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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