wxeyeNH Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 37F Vis 1/8. Rain just started. I would not mind a few hours of 55F but we will never even make 40F. Will any of our 4" of snowcover remain? Probably. Will we have a brief flip tomorrow AM? Maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I thought you had him on ignore? Lol..not him. A few others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 I wonder if I could myself on ignore 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Surprised to still be holding on to snow cover in the yard - especially since it slopes to the south (albeit very gently). Sitting at 36.5 degrees here in Bradford. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Here it comes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Hope the hrrr is wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hope the hrrr is wrong It’s been dry here but 4-6” of rain in a short time period will definitely cause some issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Here it comes Just heard some thunder with that line. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s been dry here but 4-6” of rain in a short time period will definitely cause some issues It all comes in like 4 hours near the front and when it’s just south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s been dry here but 4-6” of rain in a short time period will definitely cause some issues Don’t worry most of it falls well wnw of you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 18z HRRR a few more tics east of 12z, Puts NW Maine now firmly in the game with a sharp cutoff east of there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 https://x.com/contentwxguy/status/1733931332974129186?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z HRRR a few more tics east of 12z, Puts NW Maine now firmly in the game with a sharp cutoff east of there. That’s a nice hit for the crown! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 16 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s been dry here but 4-6” of rain in a short time period will definitely cause some issues Drought cancelled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Here it comes Effing pouring. This is a nightmare. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amc Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z HRRR a few more tics east of 12z, Puts NW Maine now firmly in the game with a sharp cutoff east of there. Means Portland area of Maine, totally out of any action outside of rain now. Wind all moved far downeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 37.5° SHRA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 51.3/50.5, light rain, 0.21" total so far in Holyoke.. just a cloudy, dreary day.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amc Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 40, heavy rain. Very foggy, has been all day. PWM ATC has been redirecting flights all day, visibility below minimums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Impressive band. Just heard some more thunder. Have increased isolated thunder wording in terms of coverage with this update as embedded convective elements have ticked up with radar and even a lightning strike detected in Queens. A secondary warm front is currently lifting through which has aided in lift in the past couple of hours. Otherwise forecast remains on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 38 minutes ago, Hoth said: Effing pouring. This is a nightmare. I'm about a 1/2 inch away from some major flooding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 +RN, 37.6°F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Several pieces of guidance show the possibility of the low stalling, or even backbuilding a bit, overnight, which would prolong the duration of heavy precip. The overall QPF forecast remains consistent with the previous shift, with a maximum of 4-6", perhaps locally higher, forecast over east central Connecticut and central Massachusetts. HREF ensemble consistency has been rather remarkable over the last few runs, with little to no wobble in the anticipated axis of heaviest precipitation and consistency in the 24 hour LPMM (best reasonable guess for maximum precip potential) showing a widespread swath of 5- 7" across the aforementioned region. While it may seem insignificant, both the CMC and GEFS ensembles show bullseyes of 10-30% probabilities of 4" of QPF or greater over Tolland/Windham County Connecticut; which is marked as a considerable signal for significant precip in terms of global guidance. Thus, with all things above considered, collaborated with WPC and our neighboring WFOs to upgrade the Excessive Rainfall Outlook to MODERATE, to highlight the increased potential for flash flooding. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Several pieces of guidance show the possibility of the low stalling, or even backbuilding a bit, overnight, which would prolong the duration of heavy precip. The overall QPF forecast remains consistent with the previous shift, with a maximum of 4-6", perhaps locally higher, forecast over east central Connecticut and central Massachusetts. HREF ensemble consistency has been rather remarkable over the last few runs, with little to no wobble in the anticipated axis of heaviest precipitation and consistency in the 24 hour LPMM (best reasonable guess for maximum precip potential) showing a widespread swath of 5- 7" across the aforementioned region. While it may seem insignificant, both the CMC and GEFS ensembles show bullseyes of 10-30% probabilities of 4" of QPF or greater over Tolland/Windham County Connecticut; which is marked as a considerable signal for significant precip in terms of global guidance. Thus, with all things above considered, collaborated with WPC and our neighboring WFOs to upgrade the Excessive Rainfall Outlook to MODERATE, to highlight the increased potential for flash flooding. Radar shows 84 corridor near you and just to my NW the heaviest; assume this where it sets up? .47” here so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Radar shows 84 corridor near you and just to my NW the heaviest; assume this where it sets up? .47” here so far .75 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: .75 here wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Light rain arrived about 3:30, somewhat thinning the fog, which was about 1/16 mile most of the day. Temp 33-34 as the inversion holds for the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 .52 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 13 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: wow BDR 1.32 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Wind....ZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Backside Snow.....Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now