keviepoo Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Ashburn, VA ... Rain started at 8am, 55 and we just heard thunder. Going to also set my alarm for the changeover 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 -RN 53…getting steady now. Driveway caved immediately. 3 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keviepoo Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 GFS 00z and 06z are consistent 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 light rain. 59/57. Unlikely to get stickage in UHI hell. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 12 z NAM looks to speed up a changeover but gets the precip out much quicker than earlier runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Neither NAM has any snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 12Z NAMs: enjoy the much needed rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Neither NAM has any snow here 3km went from 0.5 to 5.5" on the 10:1 map here lol. Forecast seems about right- rain/snow mix, little or no accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 13 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: light rain. 59/57. Unlikely to get stickage in UHI hell. Rain just immediately evaporated before hitting the pavement in all that heat!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Rain and thunder with 55° here in Augusta County NW of Staunton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Raining very hard at the Starbucks on Columbia Pike near Lake Barcroft. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Neither NAM has any snow hereThere isn’t much of an arctic air push behind this system. Imo the higher elevations are in a much better spot to get a side of mashed potatoes from pollo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Short range op GFS insistent on a more neg tilt while Euro has trended more neg the past 4 runs. 3K NAM trended more neutral tilt in recent run, but its a meso model so not sure how much we should weight it on synoptic trends (probably none) 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Started as rain and temps seem far from freezing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Started as rain and temps seem far from freezing Snowstorm bust? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Started as rain and temps seem far from freezing 2 minutes ago, mattie g said: Snowstorm bust? It was never forecast to start as anything but warm rain, but if it is stressing y’all out, there is a panic room! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Short range op GFS insistent on a more neg tilt while Euro has trended more neg the past 4 runs. 3K NAM trended more neutral tilt in recent run, but its a meso model so not sure how much we should weight it on synoptic trends (probably none)Not the most inspiring surface map for cold air chasing precip…but models > farmer style forecasting…so we’ll see…https://weather.rap.ucar.edu/surface/displaySfc.php?region=bwi&endDate=20230203&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: It was never forecast to start as anything but warm rain, but if it is stressing y’all out, there is a panic room! I believe the correct word is sarcasm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: It was never forecast to start as anything but warm rain, but if it is stressing y’all out, there is a panic room! He knows that 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, hstorm said: I believe the correct word is sarcasm. Sorry, at times I can’t tell the difference between those on here who have been legit panicking and debbing and those employing sarcasm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Seems reasonable 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Rapidly thickening fog over the waters as the rain approaches. 52 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 It thundered this morning as it moved through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 lol just heard a big rumble of thunder in Ellicott City. One boom lasted 15 seconds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Thunder just now in the Odenton area in Maryland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: Sorry, at times I can’t tell the difference between those on here who have been legit panicking and debbing and those employing sarcasm. Sarcasm is a poor substitute for wit…and I admit that my wit supply is quite low. Rainy and cool in Burke. Had that one burst of a downpour about an hour or so ago but it’s just a steady pitter patter right now. Had a late night at a Christmas party, so today is laaaaaaaazy… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 What’s the old saying. Thunder in winter, 1 week later it snows or something? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 51 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Neither NAM has any snow here Yeah. NAM sucks for our area. Thank god is sucks as a weather model as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, mdhokie said: lol just heard a big rumble of thunder in Ellicott City. One boom lasted 15 seconds. That was bizarre. That was the longest rumble of thunder I have ever heard by far. Seemed like it went on for 30-45 seconds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Its still very warm out this way, 49 degrees. NWS calling for 5-7" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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