Ji Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 WB 0Z 3K NAMPlease stop showing boring maps 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: 3k going all in ramping up precip totals and rates. Let’s go! Nino 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Just now, Ji said: Please stop showing boring maps I am posting realistic maps. Let's be real, at best we potentially have a couple of hours of snow trying to stick on soggy ground when it is above freezing... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I am posting realistic maps. Let's be real, at best we potentially have a couple of hours of snow trying to stick on soggy ground when it is above freezing... we know it won't stick though, we wanna see the raw totals fr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I am posting realistic maps. Let's be real, at best we potentially have a couple of hours of snow trying to stick on soggy ground when it is above freezing... it will probably melt as soon as it stops snowing or even while the snow is getting lighter but let us enjoy some weenie snow maps that we didnt see last year 4 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I am posting realistic maps. Let's be real, at best we potentially have a couple of hours of snow trying to stick on soggy ground when it is above freezing... If the banding being shown does materialize I think a compromise between the Kuchera and the depth maps are more likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, Negnao said: @Ji is this one exciting enough for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Your map sucks, I like mine a lot betterImagine 5.8” in Baltimore city as depicted here? That’d be wild. This board would implode. 10:1 ain’t happening though. Most likely outcome: Trace to 1” for the immediate metro burbs 1-2” my area over to PSU and out west to Clskins (3” jackpot in there somewhere if things turn out for the better - likely somewhere along highway 15 in elevated areas)2-3” for the higher elevations out west (4” jack if everything aligns right)Anything more would be a goddamn weather coup. I’ll say it again… just give me some nice scenery with fatty flakes falling for a few hours and I’d be happy. This looked like a deluge of rain and nothing more just a few days ago. It’s been nice to see something trend our way for a change, even if the outcome isn’t all that impressive 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If the banding being shown does materialize I think a compromise between the Kuchera and the depth maps are more likely. What did January 2011 look like a a few days before? Didnt that one sneak up on us too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If the banding being shown does materialize I think a compromise between the Kuchera and the depth maps are more likely. I was looking at the NAM temps--they had me at 60--around noon...now it dosent even make past 48. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said: @Ji is this one exciting enough for you? that works! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 12 minutes ago, Negnao said: Annapolis Jackpot for Central Maryland. lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 8” IMBY huh? I’ll take summa what the 3k is smoking please. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 I was looking at the NAM temps--they had me at 60--around noon...now it dosent even make past 48. Thank you for mentioning this. I was at work all day and forgot to ask. How are temps looking versus what models have been depicting? While it’s certainly plausible that we hit 55-60 degrees tomorrow before temps drop sharply, it’d be interesting to see where we actually land for a daytime high. If temps end up being lower than forecasted (mid to upper 40s versus 60 for instance) you’d think that would help our cause via a quicker changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 18 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said: What did January 2011 look like a a few days before? Didnt that one sneak up on us too? Jan 2000 sure snuck up on us. Woke up the next day wow 12.5 inches of fresh snow, went out and dug snow all day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 18 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said: What did January 2011 look like a a few days before? Didnt that one sneak up on us too? If I recall someone on here knew it was coming… 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 I fervently hope with all my heart, that you guys get an overperformer out of this. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If the banding being shown does materialize I think a compromise between the Kuchera and the depth maps are more likely. Yeah, I'm the biggest advocate for the depth maps for events with warm ground and marginal temps, but those maps can run low IF the rates are legit (and it helps if the snow falls at night) 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 So was driving home from VA today on 340 heading East and saw this cloud formation. Not sure the photos show it as well but was wondering about it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 10, 2023 Author Share Posted December 10, 2023 To my weenie eyes, GFS upped the ante at 00z. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, nj2va said: To my weenie eyes, GFS upped the ante at 00z. Looks like the Euro of the last 2 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 10, 2023 Author Share Posted December 10, 2023 Just had a few brief random downpours here in McHenry. Going negative tilt already? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 not saying it matters at this range, but the gefs has had a lot of spread the past few runs. looks like it's continously converging to a snowier event and reducing the spread by shifting snower. 00z (had a more - tilt fwiw): 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 4 hours ago, Huffwx said: Hey now, Howard. It's been a minute. Much much more than We got fun coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 not saying it matters at this range, but the gefs has had a lot of spread the past few runs. looks like it's continously converging to a snowier event and reducing the spread by shifting snower. 00z (had a more - tilt fwiw):Still slowly correcting towards the 90th percentile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: not saying it matters at this range, but the gefs has had a lot of spread the past few runs. looks like it's continously converging to a snowier event and reducing the spread by shifting snower. 00z (had a more - tilt fwiw): i guess there's still spread, 90th percentile shows 7" with snow still coming down lmao 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Still slowly correcting towards the 90th percentile yep, and the 90th percentile keeps increasing lmaoo. wonder if a day of trends will be enough to send this threat into something crazy (3" for nw folks? idk, j a thought but pretty absurd) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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