BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Why are Weatherbell's snow maps always so unrealistic? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Why are Weatherbell's snow maps always so unrealistic?Jb works there 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 21 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Why are Weatherbell's snow maps always so unrealistic? 20 minutes ago, Ji said: Jb works there Ji is right...but to play devils advocate...you choose which maps to use...most of the guidance on wxbell has snow depth maps, kuchera and 10-1. You know which ones are more likely given the situation. If you're using a 10-1 map for some light snow event with marginal temps...that isn't the maps fault that is user error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 I like what I am seeing from the euro. 10:1 from Pivotal shows 2" in the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 24 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I like what I am seeing from the euro. 10:1 from Pivotal shows 2" in the metro. Best run yet. 10-1 even the snow depth one is nice 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 hrrr both nams absolutely cooked we see changes in NS strength and orientation(more N-S, what we want), and overall they dug more and had the same tilt or more negative can also start to see some of the deformation banding on them, all have a 3 hr period of thumping snow NW of 95 with nam verabritm likely popping 3h of blizzard conds 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 WWA/WSW for western areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 WWA/WSW for western areasIf NAM / gfs / euro hold serve from last night, expecting a *possible* WWA to extend from N VA over to Frederick and Carroll counties - especially if trends continue in our favor. Early season snowfall, big temp drop after temps get to 50+ (depending on location) by 2 pm and snowing very early morning before rush hour Monday. Could see a possible WWA being issued north of 70 to grab public attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 8 hours ago, Ji said: I was looking at the NAM temps--they had me at 60--around noon...now it dosent even make past 48. Well it's 55 at 6am so I'm thinking this map might be off unless temps start dropping faster with the rain. I thought I'd wake up to rain so perhaps slower start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Well it's 55 at 6am so I'm thinking this map might be off unless temps start dropping faster with the rain. I thought I'd wake up to rain so perhaps slower start?Sitting at 50F currently. Temps are 50-55 for most areas from here down to the Carolinas. Drizzle just started with heavier returns nearby. Temps should initially go up over the next few hours, but once the deluge begins, that will stop. Going to be interesting to track temps throughout the day and to compare them to what the EC NAM and GFS depict. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Catskills in NY have a flood watch and winter storm warning for 6-10” up simultaneously. One thing is for sure… there sure is a lot of juice associated with this one. Gotta love niño. . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Raining here. 41/39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Don't be too surprised to hear thunder this morning. Quite a bit of lightning, relatively speaking, with the activity near Charlottesville. Some limited elevated CAPE is available. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Currently 51.9/50.2 and rain here. Hit 'high' for the period around 4 am (57.1) while it was thundering lol. Yesterday never crossed 50, and dropped into low 40's after sunset. NWS started backtracking off the 62 high around 9 am and never caught the actual number. Temps climbed like crazy after midnight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 The 06z NAM 3km drops 0.6" precip in my backyard after the switchover. I love that stupid weenie model. 3 2 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Moderate rain 55 started around 8:10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Moderate rain 56/54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Damn just had a lightning strike and thunder 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Moderate rain and just had thunder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, aldie 22 said: Damn just had a lightning strike and thunder Yeap. Just saw that flash from the bolt to my west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 24 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: The 06z NAM 3km drops 0.6" precip in my backyard after the switchover. I love that stupid weenie model. The 10:1 maps are obviously ludicrous for this event, but I think we went all winter last year without seeing 4-6”+ on a 10:1 map inside 48 hours. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, George BM said: Yeap. Just saw that flash from the bolt to my west. Yup - same here. Good to hear some rumble... Nice line inbound that stretches all the way back to Charlotte and beyond. The fetch trails down through the GOM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 minute ago, RDM said: Yup - same here. Good to hear some rumble... Nice line inbound that stretches all the way back to Charlotte and beyond. The fetch trails down through the GOM. Nino 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Rain and a rumble of thunder just started in Great Falls. 53 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 12z HRRR stays warm at the surface, so no snow depth accumulation for most of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Enjoying a beautiful rainy day....can't control the weather no matter how many model runs I look at. Take what we can get...Can't wait for my afternoon nap! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Thunder in Germantown! It's a treat for us because thunderstorms are so rare here in summer due to rain shadow -- I might get two or three over a whole season if I'm lucky 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Rain, 55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Had thunder and raining. Gonna set an alarm for the changeover. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Rain just started here a mile NW of Vienna - 57 atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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