madwx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 looking good for around an 1" tonight, like it's been said above will be very high ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 we're having some very minor accumulation tonight, the flakes are so tiny you can't even see them in the streetlight or really in person but you can feel them coming down. Definitely a bit surreal 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 Dusted Saturday evening/night around here, with a few tenths of snowfall accumulation. 0.2” at ORD, T at MDW, and 0.5” at RFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Top 5 snow happening tonight, not saying much..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 NAM selling a weenie fgen band, gonna ride it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Nice baroclinicity setting up across the region could give a long duration event over the next few days. May even reach low end advisory criteria. True arctic stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 50 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: NAM selling a weenie fgen band, gonna ride it It's not alone either. Tomorrow night could be a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 32 minutes ago, Stebo said: It's not alone either. Tomorrow night could be a surprise. And now models trying to show lake effect action afterwards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 We have tomorrow evening-Thursday evening f-gen banding to contend with and then much of the guidance except for the GFS looks pretty interesting for high ratio fluff Thursday night into Friday morning with lake enhancement potential into NE IL and NW IN. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Got an inch today from the disturbance impacting the east coast. Gave it a nice wintry feeling with 4" on the ground now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Chicago NWS The models and their ensembles are coming into better agreement with a period of snow to spread across the area Thursday night into Friday morning. While there isn`t much qpf, perhaps no more than 0.1 to 0.15 of an inch, it will be so cold that snow ratios of 15:1 to perhaps 20:1 are likely, allowing for a fluffy snow. Given these trends, have bumped up pops to categorical with at least a few inches of snow possible across the entire area. Given how cold both the ground and air temperatures will be, the snow will quickly accumulate. Winds will shift to the northwest as this snow is ending and increase and gust, possibly into the 25-30 mph range. So if we do get a few inches of new fluffy snow, blowing/low drifting snow will be possible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Looking forward to picking up, perhaps, the largest snowfall of the season. Only have to beat 2.4” - seems doable. Lake signal looks pretty interesting so far, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Anecdotally, I've found it's hard for the globals sometimes to pick up on significant lake-effect signals and both GFS and Euro are spitting out 10+ inches in the Porter/LaPorte County areas for Firday. When it gets into range, the HRRR is gonna spit out like 30" totals if the band stays somewhat stationary lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Riding the RGEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 nice 20:1 ratios to fluff up the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, mimillman said: Riding the RGEM You and me both! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 on the weenie fgen and 2 on the lake enhanced duster, final call 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, A-L-E-K said: 2 on the weenie fgen and 2 on the lake enhanced duster, final call Makes sense.You may not like the cold,but it makes snow out of nothing at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRegionRat Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Are there any reliable CAMS that can be used to forecast the lake effect on Friday? It seems like all of the American suite are poorly regarded. It's two days out, so this is probably far too early to get into those specifics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Are there any reliable CAMS that can be used to forecast the lake effect on Friday? It seems like all of the American suite are poorly regarded. It's two days out, so this is probably far too early to get into those specifics. I think while the HRRR is typically too aggressive and too far west, the 3km NAMnest can fairly decent for lake effect. The WRF-ARW and NSSL-WRF are worth a look too when they come into range, via Pivotal, Tropical Tidbits, or HREF page. Finally, the 2.5 km HRDPS (Canadian) may be worth a look when it comes into range, via WxBell or Tidbits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRegionRat Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 18 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: I think while the HRRR is typically too aggressive and too far west, the 3km NAMnest can fairly decent for lake effect. The WRF-ARW and NSSL-WRF are worth a look too when they come into range, via Pivotal, Tropical Tidbits, or HREF page. Finally, the 2.5 km HRDPS (Canadian) may be worth a look too when it comes into range. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Thanks! Very much appreciated. I'm in East Chicago, just across the line, so I'm cautiously optimistic regarding the lake effect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I almost think these two waves are being underplayed for the Toledo area. I think 2-4" with the energy rotating around the ULL tomorrow is a solid bet along the turnpike followed by 3-5" with such high snow ratios and a relatively strong clipper. May be best to put an advisory in place as 4-8" of fine powder over the course of 48 hours is going to be relatively impactful, especially from a blowing & drifting perspective Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 A disturbance and FGEN brought a bit of snow to the area last night... ORD 0.3" MDW 0.4" RFD 0.4" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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