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Winter 2023/24 Short Range Discussion


Chicago Storm
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1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

It was a nuisance mist with some wet snowflakes.

 

A misty drizzly 37° day in early Dec has no more bearing on this winter than the 25° and fluffy snow did a week ago.

I’m more concerned with the fact that a certain type of storm system that usually brings a very cool airmass behind it completely lacked one. Not a great sign

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  • 2 weeks later...

Exciting times ahead in South Bend... 

Much colder air will spread over the area Monday. Temperatures
are likely to fall below freezing during the day as brief but
intense synoptic lift moves over the area. 850 mb temperatures
should fall to around -12C with lake delta T values approaching
20C. Lowered temperatures Monday. Brief but intense lake enhanced
and banded snow is likely. Snow accumulation may exceed 1" and
cause traffic impacts.
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48 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said:

Would be truly grateful if this verified. NWS thinks a general 2-4” is on the table for areas downwind of the lake on Monday/Monday night. Experience says someone under a dominant band will get more.

mkgif.php?rate=&pause=&startLabel=36&sta

With the forecast trajectories, I'm liking where I sit for some LES/Enhancement down this way. An inch or two would be nice in this otherwise "normal" December.

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  • 2 weeks later...

Sneaky potential across portions of IA/IL/MO/WI the next few days…

A big gyre-y mess of a nearly stacked low moving through the region, with several vorts/disturbances spiraling around it.

Should see a few distinct time periods with rain/snow potential. First across MO/IL Wednesday morning through Thursday morning, and then across WI/IL/IA Thursday morning through Friday morning. Both periods look likely to feature minor snowfall accumulation for some areas.


.

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8 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:


S WI, E IA and NW IL will end end up the winners with this second round.

Should end up with advisory level snowfall accumulations in that corridor.


.

Yeah saw Antioch had whitened up. We have a little snow falling now but that area will shift west of us to the areas you mentioned. This time Lake Michigan isn't the best climo 

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Overachiever here in Madison due to changeover not occurring as quickly as expected. Totals won't be super impressive but it was ripping fatties for most of the morning. That and a loose dog on the westbound Beltline Highway (variously US 12/14/18/151 across the south edge of the city) made the commute a nightmare.

https://www.wmtv15news.com/2023/12/28/dog-stops-traffic-beltline-literally/

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