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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion


The Iceman
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20 minutes ago, RedSky said:

The weeklies show the good pattern returns in the middle of March :lol:

Definite up/down pattern remembered this winter three weeks of mild/ten days of winter-repeat. Reminds me of winter 0/3-04 but milder.

 

 

 

 

We’ll nickel & dime our way close to average just so we can’t bitch about what an atrocious winter it really was.

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25 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

We’ll nickel & dime our way close to average just so we can’t bitch about what an atrocious winter it really was.

Bad, but boy last winter had only one good quality - the arctic snap around Christmas. Even a bad winter is a relief after that.

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2 hours ago, snowwors2 said:

That N”BM” model was pretty crappy for last event, wasn’t it⁉️

It nailed the city but was a little low for the northern fringes of the CWA.  It's not really a model per se but blends the MOS data from the main models and then gets some other ancillary data thrown in.  I've noticed that whenever we get NAM'd, it just cancels that mess out until the NAM settles down. :lol:

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10 hours ago, Albedoman said:

yep, I agree . Its show time for the HRRR with the 00Z runs which should drop the hammer with WWA lifted all the way to the LV by morning

true to form. WWA just issued for the LV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
203 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

NJZ007-009-010-012>015-PAZ054-055-060>062-103-105-162100-
/O.EXA.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.240217T0300Z-240217T1500Z/
Warren-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-
Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-
Including the cities of Washington, Flemington, Somerville,
New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, Trenton, Jim Thorpe,
Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, Collegeville,
Pottstown, Chalfont, and Perkasie
203 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 4
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern and northwest New Jersey
  and east central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Periods of light to moderate snowfall is
  expected Friday night into Saturday.

 

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